With Joe Biden (and, uh, Mitt Romney) proposing to send out direct cash payments to parents, there’s a pretty direct parallel we can look to to see what the impact would be — Canada!
Biden’s proposing to give parents $3,600 per child under the age of six, as well as $3,000 per child aged 6-17.

washingtonpost.com/us-policy/2021…

This is almost exactly the same program as the Canada Child Benefit introduced in 2016.
The Canda Child Benefit is more generous (around $6,700 for young kids per year, $5,700 for older kids) but has basically the same structure, including phasing out for higher-income families. So how did it go?
At the time the Liberal government was targeting a 20% decrease in the poverty rate by 2020. Did that happen? No.

They hit it by 2017.
In a year of the CCB being enacted, the number of children living in poverty was reduced by 278,000.

It also ended up being a major boost to the economy, with the former Bank of Canada governor saying the program was “highly stimulative."
There’s nothing novel about what Canada did. Most rich countries give money to parents to help raise children. The US, however, is stingier and, surely coincidentally, has a high child poverty rate by developed world standards (though things were improving pre-Covid)
Anyway the shocking lesson here is if you give money to parents to raise children, fewer children will be raised in poverty. Also parents will spend that money and stimulate the economy. Canada did what Biden/Romney are proposing and it went great.

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More from @pdmcleod

10 Feb
On day 2 of Trump’s impeachment trial begins with Rep. Jamie Raskin laying out Trump’s tweets calling people to DC on Jan. 6, then telling a crowd of supporters that day to “fight like hell or you’re not going to have a country anymore."
Raskin: “He told them to fight like hell and they brought us hell on that day.”

Raskin says for hours Trump did nothing to call off the mob once the Capitol attack started. “He watched it on tv like a reality show. He reveled in it. He did nothing to help us.”
Raskin closing: “Can our country and our democracy ever be the same if we don’t hold accountable the person responsible for inciting the violent attack against our country, our Capitol, our democracy and all of those who serve us so faithfully and honorably. Is this America?”
Read 18 tweets
9 Feb
Republican Senator Bill Cassidy blasts the performance of Trump’s lawyers today: "It was disorganized, random. They talked about many things but they didn’t talk about the issue at hand… The House managers made a compelling, cogent case and the president’s team did not.”
Cassidy switched from his previous position and voted that the trial is constitutional. Longer quote:

“Anyone who listened to those arguments, the House managers were focused, they were organized, they relied upon both precedent, the constitution, and legal scholars...
...President Trump’s team were disorganized, they did everything but to talk about the question at hand, and when they talked about it they kind of glided over it almost as if they were embarrassed of their arguments.
Read 5 tweets
9 Feb
And here we go, arguments in Trump’s second impeachment trial in the Senate are beginning.

Rep. Jamie Raskin, the lead House impeachment manager, assures senators they won’t have to listen to lectures about the Federal Papers because his case will be based on “cold, hard facts"
Raskin kicks off by showing a supercut of rioters storming the Capitol on Jan. 6 spliced with Trump talking about how the election was a fraud. “If you don’t fight like hell you’re not going to have a country anymore” etc. I’d expect to see a lot of this.
You can follow along here. c-span.org/video/?508293-…

I don’t know how many hours of riot footage I’ve watched in the last month but it’s still shocking to see.
Read 31 tweets
6 Jan
I don't have the signal to tweet photos but the scene outside the Capitol is pretty wild. They've broken down fences to get up to the outside doors of the Capitol. To be clear, most people are standing around chanting or taking photos.
I've never seen anything like this. Protestors crawling all over the Capitol steps, massive crowds outside chanting. "This is our house, let's take it back!" A guy next to me yells.
Smoke bombs of some sort deployed on the west side of the Capitol to clear people out
Read 35 tweets
6 Jan
Trump is vowing to never concede the election he lost.
Trump is promising to lay out the evidence today that he won “by a landslide.” These deadlines of providing irrefutable proof (remember The Kraken?) keep coming and going.
Trump is again putting public pressure on VP Mike Pence to attempt to override the election results certified by the states. “If Mike Pence does the right thing, we win the election.”

Pence has reportedly told Trump he can’t do this (he can’t) but Trump tweeted that they agree.
Read 14 tweets
4 Jan
Before fully diving into 2021 I'm gonna do this thing again where I recap some of the movies I liked or loved in 2020.

I watched 179 movies (had a lot of time to spend indoors.) My favorite new releases of the year were Portrait Of A Lady On Fire and The Vast Of Night.
Some movies I had never seen before that I liked/loved: The Taking of Pelham One Two Three (1974), Shazam (2019), The Swimmer (1968), Under the Silver Lake (2018), I See You (2019), Sorry To Bother You (2018), Leave No Trace (2018), The Howling (1981), Contagion (2011)...
Sleuth (1972), Shin Godzilla (2016), Blow The Man Down (2019), Sneakers (1992), Bloodsport (1988), High And Low (1963), The Barbarian Invasions (2003), Sudden Death (1995), Prospect (2018), Tokyo Drifter (1966), The Trip To Greece (2000), The Addams Family Values (1993)...
Read 5 tweets

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