What would have happened if a single US state had said "screw the FDA" and ordered [state population] doses of the Monderna vaccine for delivery in March?
Obviously this would be illegal, but what happens next?

Does the FDA sue Moderna?
If so, how would it have gone down? I'm sure a large number of think pieces would be written about how this was "reckless" and "irresponsible".

But also, the state government could point out how every person in that state, who wanted a vaccine, has gotten a vaccine.
I'm legitimately unsure who wins that smackdown.

Maybe the institutional narrative-making systems are still powerful enough to win?

But also it seems like this might be so obvious positive to punch a hole through credibility of that common knowledge narrative?
(People would be flooding into that state from all over the country and the world, to get an "untested" vaccine. Everyone person who does this is weight against the credibility of the official narrative.)
Could a single enterprising governor have called the bluff of the official narrative and discredited the FDA, breaking open the "it's normal that we're waiting on the red-tape to resolve" equilibrium?

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More from @EpistemicHope

13 Feb
This guy drives around America in an RV, doing interviews with Americans of all stripes.

His videos are really worth checking out. They're among the best window I know into the lives of and minds of people that I never meet.

They're edited to be funny. But they're also honest.

As near as I can tell, he's just actually interested in the cultural anthropology of it. Not pushing a particular agenda or narrative. He just shows up and lets people talk.
Which is so rare that I can't think of another example?

(I would love to be introduced to more.)
Read 13 tweets
13 Feb
I know some people who seem (to me) more concerned with receiving VALIDATION for their mental health issues than solving them.

They seem to care most about other people BELIEVING their problems are real.

I'm curious about this.
Like, it's more important to them that people know how debilitating their anxiety is, than to overcome the anxiety.

Or it's important to them that others believe that they're actually depressed, not "just sad."
Or they want people buy into the narrative that they've been traumatized, and might be something like offended if someone minimizes that.
Read 25 tweets
12 Feb
I'm thinking about where and how I'm going to live over the next few years, and if I should buy a car that I can sleep in for travel + an extra, rent free "bedroom", and what I should do with all my books.

For the books in particular, it would be helpful if this was a thing.
Needing to do something with my physical books is the main one of the two main frictions that prevents me from dropping the place where I'm living on short notice and moving somewhere more interesting.
(The other is that I happen to, inexplicably, really like my current room, and the rent is cheap, and if I moved out I definitely wouldn't be able to get it back.)
Read 5 tweets
12 Feb
This thesis is basically correct. I've been watching as this happens to me over the past 10 years.

As I passed through stages in my understanding in the world (most building on the ones before), I have fewer and fewer people who can follow where I'm at.

ribbonfarm.com/2015/12/01/can…
(Despite the fact that I have actively and heavily invested in convergence technology for pushing back against this.)
I feel, increasingly, like I don't have peers.

Not because I'm so much better than everyone, but because no one is doing for the same reasons I am.
Read 6 tweets
12 Feb
It is interesting to me how media seems, often, to tell stories that venerate values antithetical to the prevailing social order.

We love stories about egalitarian underdogs rising up against oppressors, but somehow this is compartmentalized such that power remains entrenched.
On the face of it, this seems super weird.
Like, I'm reading Moral Mazes right now, which describes managers doing all kinds of shady (sometimes to the point of despicable) things as a matter of course.

But I bet those managers watch superhero flicks on the weekends.
Read 7 tweets
12 Feb
Talking with @HiFromMichaelV and @ben_r_hoffman, and thinking about what's happening in the world, I posit that this ⬇️ might be the most important macro-trend in the world right now.

If everyone tries to invest_2, instead of invest_1, nothing is built, and there's no growth.
Which I guess is exactly what @peterthiel has been saying for more than a decade.
Maybe there's a sort of control system to this?

It makes sense to invest in the market as a whole, when things are growing. And things are growing when people are making, and betting, on specific good plans.
Read 8 tweets

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