Real journalism serves an important function in society. I've just subscribed to @TheEconomist to do my part and underscore this point: my call to bury the rotting corpse of the NYT is not meant as an attack on the very few real journalist institutions remaining. We need more.
Clarification: I think having Big Buildings Containing People With Press Passes, that do at least some real journalism, is still horrifyingly vital to modern society. If you just want one more honest blogger, sure, support them directly via Substack.
"Why?" you ask. (A): Because some investigations work better when you show up with an Official Press Pass that places you in the recognized social role of an Investigator to the bureaucrat, and announces you have a non-dismissable moderately powerful institution behind you...
(B): Because many people live halfway in the shadow-world of what they believe that other people believe. They may not believe-and-bet-on what newspapers say, but *do* take what's in the newspaper as their *social* reality. Announcing social reality takes a big building.
Society has yet to be redesigned to work without either of these roles, and given that's how society works, it actually matters a lot that *somebody* can do Press Investigations, and *some* social reality *somewhere* be announced by a big building that is relatively more sane.
That said, I'd be even more eager to support any real, press-pass-issuing, relatively-saner-coverage institution that didn't have a paywall! It is a surprisingly large problem for our society that @TheEconomist has a paywall and Faux News doesn't.
Huh. Didn't know that. That said, I prioritize the social-reality function over the investigative function, and I'm not sure I'd rate FT coverage on the same level of facilitates-saner-social-reality as the Economist.

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More from @ESYudkowsky

14 Feb
It's honestly really really easy to filter out this entire class of mistakes if you're a "high-decoupler", as I expect most real scientists are, and know about the is-ought type distinction and the naturalistic fallacy. Low-decouplers are endlessly paranoid about such, mostly...
... realistically speaking because it's a political performance, for which you are not the intended audience. But also because they genuinely can't do an easy mental slice that distinguishes eg "how people evolved" and "what is good"...
...and they genuinely can't imagine what it's like for that mental motion to produce a clean slice that just works. Or so I suspect.
Read 5 tweets
5 Feb
Does a known cryptographic system exist which:
- Enables proving who voted
- Enables proving the result of the vote
- Doesn't prove who voted for what
- Doesn't let anyone prove who they voted for, even voluntarily by revealing a key or a calculation
(I realize this sounds pretty impossible; but, to me, it sounds substantially *less* impossible than zk-SNARKs, so at my level it's a fair question.)
Clarification: By "proving who voted" I mean being able to verify a complete list of all the voters/keys who voted, and that no extra votes outside the list occurred. We'd like it to be publicly verifiable that there were no extra or illegal votes.
Read 4 tweets
24 Jan
Remember: If it had been legal to sell half of the first million doses of vaccine for $10,000 each, BioNTech could've easily gotten a $5 billion loan in April, and used that money to help scale up mRNA vaccine production to billions of doses. This is not the market outcome.
The bottleneck on the mRNA vaccines is the (new) encapsulation. There's a creative will to invest $5B in that exact step in March, that happens when there's a huge payout for getting that part right. "Do your job and get paid by the govt", not so much.
The key phrase isn't "$5 billion", it's "and used the money to...", the incentive structure that would've paid & motivated BioNTech to make a lot of vaccine as early as possible. Govt carelessly set up an incentive structure to deliver X doses eventually.
Read 11 tweets
23 Jan
To make predictions explicit and public: With the huge number of people who've gotten Covid, "long Covid" is going to be a huge deal in reality, adding millions of disabled and chronically fatigued people. Don't know what the news stories will be, but that will be the reality.
To be clear, this is not the word of a medical authority. This is me saying my current guesses out loud so that, if I'm guessing wrong, I'm clearly wrong in public. So far Covid-19 has gone better than I expected in most ways, and maybe that trend can continue.
My even larger-looming worry is that - since we didn't shut down the pandemic around the entire planet fast enough - there may be enough mutations that bypass the vaccines, or even previous infection, that Earth struggles on in lockdown for another year and then gives up.
Read 5 tweets
22 Jan
In which Democratic congressionals try to communicate through subtext that their AGI timelines are less than 4 years - there's no future in which any other party controls the government again, because nothing exists after 2024. Or they're just very short-term thinkers, I guess?
Some people are responding with claims that abolishing the filibuster is a positive-sum move across administrations. If so, shouldn't we occasionally see a member of the party *not* currently in power saying to abolish the filibuster that year?
The way this call is being issued *right after* the change of administration... seems a bit hard to read as anything but, "Sure, it's a great idea now that we've got a Democratic administration!" Which, well, sure, if no human government still exists after 2024, but...
Read 4 tweets
31 Dec 20
_Screwtape Letters_ is close enough to being Good and True that I'm having trouble reading it, on account of it feeling like something *I'd* write but full of errors I need to correct by editing. I may just rewrite the whole thing with Tapescrew and Woodworm.
"Woodworm, I note with displeasure that your latest reports are showing a falloff in the amount of time your patient is spending on social media, and in particular, the extent to which your patient is angrily retweeting and subtweeting positions with which he disagrees..."
"It is a grave mistake to think that our task is to lead our patients into wrong answers. Better is to convince the patient to ask the wrong question, and better still by far is to instill the patient with a brief but powerful flinch of revulsion away from the whole topic."
Read 11 tweets

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