NEW w/@akarl_smith: Republicans see an opportunity to begin winning back the suburban voters they lost under Donald Trump's presidency by capitalizing on widespread frustration with pandemic life and directing it at an old enemy: Teachers unions.
nbcnews.com/politics/elect…
@akarl_smith New NRCC Tom Emmer told staff as soon as he took over to go all in on schools: "It's the teachers unions that want to keep the schools closed. Dems are ignoring the science, and they're standing with their special-interest donors instead of the students." nbcnews.com/politics/elect…
@akarl_smith Going after public sector unions is a throwback to the last time the GOP was locked out of power in DC in 2009/2010 and it's a message that every faction in the party can get behind -- with the potential for crossover appeal to indies and some Dems.
@akarl_smith The politics have changed since circa 2009, when the school reform movement was at its height w/ broad bipartisan support, including from the Obama admin.

Now, support for unions is at a nearly 20-year high and teachers unions favorability has gone up a bit during Covid, BUT...
@akarl_smith But the frustration over shuttered schools is real and Republicans think they can channel that anger into a grassroots uprising to drive a wedge between suburban voters and the Democratic Party.

"This is the suburban-parent revolt," said Corry Bliss.
@akarl_smith Dems say this won't work because schools will (hopefully) be open before voters vote.

AFT Pres. @rweingarten told me it's "a reckless and irresponsible exploitation of the fear and frustration that everybody feels right now" and attempt to "deflect blame" from Trump+GOP.
@akarl_smith @rweingarten The first real test will be in #VAGov, where GOPer @petesnyder has centered his campaign around "#OpenOurSchools."

"I think Virginia is the beginning of the nationwide earthquake on this," he told @akarl_smith.

It's not "conservative red meat,"he said just "common sense."
@akarl_smith @rweingarten @petesnyder A lot more, with polling data, more voices and other perspective in here: nbcnews.com/politics/elect…
@akarl_smith @rweingarten @petesnyder P.S. Politics is ALREADY determining school openings more than science, according to a recent study from @BrownUniversity's @AnnenbergInst, which found correlation btwn in-person learning and the district's pres. vote share + strength of teachers unions.

edworkingpapers.com/index.php/ai20…
This is in line with several other recent polls, but Republicans are betting it will change if school closings drag on and as they push the narrative that teachers unions are to blame.
Harris tells @TODAYshow teachers must be prioritized for Covid-19 vaccinations nbcnews.com/politics/white…
@TODAYshow Look at the partisan split on school reopening in this new Quinnipiac poll. poll.qu.edu/national/relea…

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More from @aseitzwald

30 Nov 20
NEW: Jon Ossoff lost the first high-profile race of the Trump era. Can he win the last one? nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…
The Trump era is ending the same way it began, with Jon Ossoff unexpectedly at the center of the political universe.

The first time, the stakes were largely symbolic. This time, the fate of the country may hang in the balance. No pressure. nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…
Jon Ossoff first rose to prominence, almost as a fluke, in early Trump days when progressives looking to "make Trump furious" made his the most expensive House race ever.

Now, in the final days of the Trump era, he in what is likely to be the most expensive Senate race ever.
Read 8 tweets
3 Nov 20
Fine, I’ll be the Dixville Notch truther: It’s not a real town. It’s an old hotel that had some employees living there, but barely does anymore. This started as a marketing campaign. There are two actual NH hamlets that also do midnight voting (though one suspended for Covid).
I was as disappointed to learn this as I’m sure you are now when I went up to Dixville Notch for a magazine story years ago (paywalled). nationaljournal.com/s/55912
The other two towns (Millsfield and Hart’s Location) get less attention but actually have more people. All three are stunningly beautiful.

Hart’s opted out of midnight voting this time due to Covid but Trump won Millsfield. wmur.com/article/2020-n…
Read 4 tweets
2 Nov 20
NEW: On election eve, this country is just unbelievably stressed out.

Dispatch from a capital city that feels like it’s preparing for a siege. nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…
A deeply divided nation is on the edge as it plunges deeper into a pandemic and unemployment rages while everyone holds their breath in anticipation of what some fear could be a potential breakdown in law and order or democracy depending on what happens Tuesday.
The White House has been fortified, the National Guard called out and gun sales are booming.

Traffic is surging to Prepper websites, psychologists report widespread anxiety and groups that typically monitor crises in overseas are warning all the ingredients for unrest are here.
Read 6 tweets
13 Apr 20
The most ambitious crossover event of 2020
NEWS: Bernie Sanders endorses Joe Biden. "Today I am asking all Americans…to come together to support your candidacy, which I endorse."
Bernie Sanders to Joe Biden: "We need you in the White House and I will do all that I can to see that that happens, Joe."
Read 6 tweets
25 Feb 20
NEW: Elizabeth Warren opens up in intvw with me about the surreality of running for president and her conversations with former candidates -- some of the only people who get it, w/@alivitali.

"Running for president can be thrilling but also very lonely."

nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…
@alivitali Elizabeth Warren has called "close to 100 percent" of the candidates who dropped out to talk policy, but it also sometimes gets more personal.

"Kamala and Kirsten, in particular, ask me am I getting rest? Am I eating? And am I having some fun out there?"

nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…
@alivitali It's part of Warren's effort to argue she's the candidate who can unite all the factions of the Democratic Party, melding together from the coalitions and policies of "Cory" and "Julian" and "Kamala" as she often mentions on the stump.
Read 4 tweets
29 Jan 20
NEW: Here's the ad hitting Sanders that will start running in Iowa.

It features testimonials from Iowans, including one who brings up his heart attack.
nbcnews.com/politics/meet-…
“I like Bernie, I think he has great ideas, but Michigan, Pennsylvania, Iowa — they’re just not going to vote for a socialist," one man says.

“I do have some concerns about Bernie Sanders’ health, considering he did have a heart attack,” says a woman.

nbcnews.com/politics/meet-…
Read 5 tweets

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