Q for power system modeling nerds: does a forced outraged adjustment to calculate UCAP inherently assume that generator outages are 1) equally likely over time and 2) of equal magnitude? Is there anywhere that UCAP is adjusted based on weather covariates, at least for planning?
And for that matter, would an ELCC calculation capture the relative impacts on one resource type having many units of same type with outages? Or does Elcc necessarily focus on a single unit and assume the rest of the portfolio is stable?
Cc @SimonMahan
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