Thread by @ctraywick

TEXAS UPDATE: We're piecing together what went down in Texas on Sunday night, hours before the blackouts began -- and trying to figure out when power will come back.

Here's what we know so far...

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

Around 11pm on Sunday, grid operator @ERCOT_ISO believed it had the situation in hand. Then power generators began suddenly and rapidly tripping offline.

Soon after, the flow of power on the grid dipped -- a situation that could lead to "catastrophic blackouts"

At that point, Ercot initiated the rolling blackouts in an effort to keep demand below supply -- which continued to plunge.

Capacity kept falling (grid operator says because of cold, although we're hearing different things) through Monday night.

At this point, 3 days into the blackouts, we are seeing some capacity come back online.

The red line below shows capacity at the highest level since Monday.

But system load has stayed flat, indicating that power isn't being restored to customers in tandem with supply returning

Looks like load is starting to creep back up.... about 2GW higher in the last 45 minutes or so.

2GW would be able to power about 400,000 homes

Ercot expects load to reach 52GW later tonight, @markchediak reminds me.

That's about 4GW more than where we are now.

Ercot says it's restored power to 1.8 million homes today, leaving 1.2 million still in the dark.

PowerOutage.us puts the number at more than 2.2 million customers. That would be about 6.5 million people based on size of avg household

LATEST: bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

And about 43 gigawatts of generation capacity remains offline -- enough to power 8.6 million homes.

Looks like Ercot brought about 1GW of wind/solar back online today and and 1.5GW of thermal