An investment strategy: buy and forget
Another: buy and shift (from low to strengthening convictions)
Another: actively trade a well understood core
Another: actively trade market / momo
Another: bungle around just jumping on tips

(I am “buy and shift”)
A concentration strategy: widely diverse port
Another: concentrate to highest of diverse convictions
Another: heavily concentrated into conviction (under 12)

(I am “heavily concentrated”)
Selection strategy: pick specific themes or industries or sec trends to ride
Another: deeply understand a concentrated core
Another: use a selection service or trading platform
Another: pick an open guru and follow blindly

(I am “deeply understood core” in “specific themes”)
None of these are right or wrong (tho blindly following others feels pretty wrong). Every person has their own style, skill, process, and situation.

Fintwit loves to critique port decisions . Stop worrying about others moves and focus on your own. Do your DD and move.
There is all this hand wringing about “your move is wrong” or “you don’t understand its potential” when you make public your doubts on companies. Maybe I do understand, and maybe I have better options and higher convictions.
If you want to sit and wait on a turnaround or for a rev-less companies dreams, go for it. I won’t be joining you.

To judge another’s actions based on your conviction is just silly. Diff strokes for diff folks. It’s a big market that supports all these strategies at once.

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More from @hhhypergrowth

18 Feb
I am not impressed with $FSLY's performance or mgmt ... yet again.

Rev +40%, decelerating -4pp YoY. That isn't the issue; they are usage based and bounce around.

But it's their first Q of SigSci -- adj out the $6M (an analyst had to wiggle out in Q&A), and they grew 30%.
Sorry, but for my rules, 30% rev growth is NOT hypergrowth.

Looking forward, guidance for Q1 was 32-36% YoY growth, but again adj out SigSci's expected 8M, and it's really 19-24% YoY. Terrible! Clearly no Compute@Edge contribution either.
Customer growth was +20% and enterprise custs slower at +12% (+3.5% seq). This is where I see the fracture in execution - you cannot scale if you aren't intaking new custs at a rapid rate.

Good news here: A new CRO was hired, hopefully to correct this.
Read 9 tweets
2 Jan
Resolution: Greatly improve the security and privacy of the network traffic from your home network and device, with a few simple steps.

I follow @Cloudflare for their enterprise solutions, but they help us consumers out too. And a lot of it is free.

A thread... /1
The content of your web traffic is encrypted (HTTPS) - but your ISP can still see what domains you are calling. Help protect your web requests by using 1.1.1.1 (fast & secure DNS resolver), and 1.1.1.1 for Families (block known malware sites, or malware + adult content). /2
It's easy to switch your entire home network to it. Change your router's DNS lookups to 1.1.1.1/1.0.0.1 (or 1.1.1.2/1.0.0.2 for malware block, or 1.1.1.3/1.0.0.3 for adult content block). See setup instructions on developers.cloudflare.com/1.1.1.1/
/3
Read 14 tweets
27 Oct 20
Lots of folks brooding about $FSLY and asking my take over past week. My take is... “I want more info”. I am not one to rush decisions, and want to see what earnings shows on Wed before deciding. /1
Basically Fastly proved it is mortal. Rev will be at the 42% they just pegged it at (the Q in question already ended) which is right back in the high end of the range it was bouncing around at pre-pandemic. /2
They have always had a volatile top line that waxes and wanes, so is nothing new. Just a bit jarring after the huge tailwind of last Q. And this does not factor much into their future potential and long term success. /3
Read 8 tweets
13 Oct 20
Today’s new One feature is a bigger deal than I thought it’d be from yesterday’s teaser. Bold moves that are understated from the headline. Cloudflare just took a big step into ‘s lane. /1
They are angling Access to be an SSO, not only accessing internal apps via Zero Trust (like ZPA), but also for all the other SaaS apps your enterprise uses. (Which up til now was solely the purview of the Gateway secure web gateway side.) /2
They are not eliminating . They will work with them and a wide variety of other identity providers, including multiple simultaneously. But after relying on Okta and others for establishing identity, they take over SSO to any enterprise apps from there. /3
Read 8 tweets
12 Oct 20
The market sure in love with $NET today in realizing they are a $ZS competitor. Some of us have known this was coming since... uh (checks notes).... February.

Let’s refresh on a few past tidbits.... /1
“Sound familiar? It turns out Cloudflare is now a direct competitor to Zscaler. ... This new product line, Cloudflare for Teams, is a carbon copy of Zscaler.” - me back in Feb /2

hhhypergrowth.com/a-cloudflare-d…
The thing to watch now... they didn’t charge for it til Sept 1. (Very nice of them to help out in the chaos of pandemic.) This Q will have Teams contributing 1 month, while Q4 will have a full Q ... as mentioned in my recent Edge Network writeup. /3
hhhypergrowth.com/what-are-edge-…
Read 6 tweets
12 Oct 20
The Friday scoop from Forbes played out. $TWLO acquired Segment, a “customer data platform” startup. This adds integration tools, ingest pipelines, customer vision, and analytics into Twilio stack. /1
Lawson really clarifies what they went after: “Communications was just the entry point for the real opportunity, which has been really providing a comprehensive platform for customer engagement....”. /2
“... The one thing that’s always been missing from Twilio as we’ve been building up this customer engagement platform is understanding of the end users themselves. We power the communications, but we don’t actually know who the customers are.” /3
Read 10 tweets

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