I keep thinking back to this.
It makes a lot of sense. And it's also a danger sign for Republicans that their overperformance with Latino voters may be very hard to replicate once the pandemic's gone and things start recovering.
It makes a lot of sense. And it's also a danger sign for Republicans that their overperformance with Latino voters may be very hard to replicate once the pandemic's gone and things start recovering.
https://twitter.com/nrafter/status/1345123837919305730
It's not an excuse for Democrats to sit back and think nonwhite votes will fall into their laps though. Republicans saw a message opening and they took it. If it's not lockdowns, it could be something else. We need to be in these communities and engaging with voters' needs.
It's often assumed that Trump would have won without COVID. But now I'm not so sure.
He might have done a little better in the Midwest, so WI might have gone red. But I also think TX and FL might have been closer, and Democrats might have performed better in House races.
He might have done a little better in the Midwest, so WI might have gone red. But I also think TX and FL might have been closer, and Democrats might have performed better in House races.
Trump might have also won GA, because without COVID there would have been no GOP culture war against mail-in voting.
But even if we give Trump WI and GA, and assume the lack of lockdown backlash isn't enough to actually flip TX and FL, Biden still wins 276-262.
But even if we give Trump WI and GA, and assume the lack of lockdown backlash isn't enough to actually flip TX and FL, Biden still wins 276-262.
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