Nicola Sturgeon is pursuing an elimination strategy - also known as Zero Covid.

So what does this approach mean for the UK as a whole, for the Scotland-England border, etc?
Prof @LindaBauld says changes announced by the PM are “consistent with pursuing a suppression rather than an elimination strategy in England”. “This is different from the approach previously set out by the Scottish Government which focuses as much as possible on elimination"
Prof Bauld adds: "The framing is different. The extent to which the policies are different will become clearer when we hear more about the Scottish Government’s plans going forward.”
Prof Bauld said there would be “tensions” if England “allows the virus to circulate even at low levels because the risk of outbreaks remains and what happens in England will affect Scotland because of travel between the two countries”

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More from @ChrisMusson

25 Feb
Edinburgh Uni's Prof Mark Woolhouse (Scot Gov adviser) tells Holyrood's Covid committee: “Scotland was not close to elimination at any stage during this epidemic.”

Other experts (eg Prof Devi Sridhar) and Nicola Sturgeon have said that Scotland was close to elimination in summer
Prof Woolhouse, chair of infectious disease epidemiology at Edinburgh University, says there were low numbers of "reported" cases during the summer in Scotland, but modelling using a method that has been “very well validated since” show elimination was not close
Prof Woolhouse casts doubt on whether an elimination strategy in Scotland (seemingly favoured by Scot Gov) could work. He says there is "no route" for Scotland to get to where New Zealand (which has adopted a successful elimination strategy) is now
Read 11 tweets
23 Feb
The Scottish Parliament is removing Alex Salmond's evidence to its inquiry into the unlawful gov investigation into him, after concerns were raised by Scotland's prosecution service, the Crown Office. It will be republished - redacted - later, the parliament says
Scot Parl: “Following representations from the Crown Office on Monday evening, the SPCB agreed collectively this morning that it will remove the Alex Salmond submission on the Ministerial Code from its website with immediate effect and republish it later today in a redacted form"
The SPCB is the Scottish Parliamentary Corporate Body, which is the cross-party body responsible for the administration of parliament.

You have to wonder how - given wide debate around this issue - Scot Parl managed to publish a submission that the Crown had grave concerns about
Read 4 tweets
13 Jan
EXCL: Scotland's Health Secretary Jeane Freeman criticised for revealing UK vaccine storage location in parliament, prompting security concerns thescottishsun.co.uk/news/scottish-…
Odd sequence of events tonight in relation to this story. The location was repeated by officials at a background briefing for media this afternoon. After the briefing, Scot Gov told journalists at 5.30pm NOT to report the location due to security fears
The problem is, Jeane Freeman mentioned it in parliament this morning.

So we asked Scot Gov about this by email at 5.51pm and in a call at 6.38pm, where we also told them of UK Gov concerns about the location being spoken about by Ms Freeman in parliament.
Read 4 tweets
11 Jan
Figures coming out today raise Qs on whether vaccination rollout is moving as quickly as it could in Scotland, given supplies.

In summary: 500,000+ jabs in Scotland to date, with total due to rise to 900,000 this month.

Scot Gov stated aim: 560k jabs in arms by early Feb
Finding out precise figures on vaccine plan/supplies is proving difficult.

On supplies: Nicola Sturgeon said today it was "broadly right" half a million doses had been sent to Scotland so far (Q from @DSanderson_85)

UK Gov sources today: 560,000 doses sent to Scotland so far
Nicola Sturgeon last Thurs: "We think we will have by the end of January just over 900,000 doses of the vaccines."

So, 500,000-560,000 now, and 340,000-400,000+ more expected to come this month
Read 4 tweets
20 Nov 20
EXCL: Patients catching Covid-19 in Scotland's hospitals nearly doubles in a week.
* 189 definite or probable hospital-onset cases (116 'definite', 73 'probable') in week ending Oct 25
* Up from 98 in previous week
* Weekly cases peaked at 250 in April
thescottishsun.co.uk/news/scottish-…
* Weekly hospital-onset Covid cases in Scotland appear to be rising back towards April peak.
* But Scot Gov's national clinical director claimed today: “It would appear in wave two, the numbers are much, much lower than they were in wave one.”
* Labour's @MonicaLennon7 says failure to prevent the spread among patients and staff "has contributed to Covid getting out of control" and second lockdowns
* Scottish Greens' @AlisonJohnstone: "It’s clearly not the case that infections are much lower than they were in wave one."
Read 7 tweets
10 Nov 20
EXCL: Scotland's test and trace system - Test & Protect - is performing much worse than official data had claimed.

Public Health Scotland botched its reporting, meaning official data the public has been fed for weeks was far rosier than the reality. 

thescottishsun.co.uk/news/scottish-… Image
Corrected Public Health Scotland data shows that in 5 of 8 weeks in Sep & Oct, Test & Protect failed to interview approx half of positive "index" cases within 24 hours of being notified (see bold below in my summary).

Public health experts say speed is of the essence. Image
Here are some of the Test & Protect figures that have been corrected. These are the 3 key measures related to T&P taking **less than 24 hours** to:
a) interview +ve person after test takes place
b) interview +ve person after T&P notified of result
c) complete contact tracing Image
Read 7 tweets

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