This has long been my view. The FRA authorizes Fed provision of paper currency, but does not otherwise allow it to supply retail payments media; in particular it does not allow it to compete directly w/ commercial banks by taking retail deposits.
Furthermore, the Fed account plans I've seen typically assume that they would bear interest at or very close to the IOR rate. Besides posing the risk of beggaring private financial intermediaries, that procedure would have the Fed thumb its nose at the 1980 Monetary Control Act.
Fed policy, informed by the MCA, calls for it to generally avoid changes that "would have a direct and material adverse effect on the ability of other service providers to compete effectively with the Federal Reserve in providing similar services." federalreserve.gov/paymentsystems…
Alas, as we've seen in the case of FedNow, the rules are porous enough to drive a horse-and-six through: thus the Fed can make exceptions if it deems "the anticipated benefits" of a new service it provides to be "significant enough."
(This sort of thing is what happens when we let agencies decide how legislation meant to limit their powers should be implemented.)
But the Fed's rules also call for it to consider whether a "proposal’s objectives could be reasonably achieved with a lesser or no adverse competitive impact." In fact, experience elsewhere shows that many of the benefits of Fed accounts can also be achieved by other means.
In particular, FinTech's have shown themselves capable of delivering many banking services to the unbanked, to the extent that they're allowed to. weforum.org/agenda/2020/08…
In the U.S., providing special national charters for FinTechs, and making it easier for them to secure Fed Master Accounts, are crucial steps. There are many ways to do this safely w/out subjecting all FinTech's to the same regulatory requirements as banks.
I favor @DanAwrey's suggestion that FinTech payment service providers (not to be confused w/ Pass-Through Investment Intermediaries) be exempt from most bank regulatory requirements, provided they back customer deposits 100% w/ Fed Master Account balances. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
For these reasons, I not only believe that Congress should have the final say regarding Fed retail account balances. I also believe it should say "no." @DavidBeckworth @lawrencehwhite1 @FintechDiego @rachsieg @vtg2 @michaelsderby @LevMenand @PeterContiBrown @ProfKateJudge

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More from @GeorgeSelgin

26 Feb
"The Fed’s systems can take days to settle transactions. Other central banks, including those of Europe, Brazil and Mexico, do so instantly, something the Fed doesn’t anticipate doing until 2023." Quite true. But a couple points deserve attention. wsj.com/articles/fed-a… 1/4
First, the Fed's legacy payments systems, based on Fedwire, won't simply disappear once FedNow launches. Many payments will still depend on Fedwire. Legacy systems and FedNow will operate side-by-side. 2/4
Second, as @Aarondklein and I observed a year ago, payments made on the legacy systems don't have to take "days" to settle. That many do at present is a consequence of limited Fedwire and NSS operating hours. americanbanker.com/opinion/we-sho… 3/4
Read 5 tweets
22 Feb
Thread: Northern Ireland's First Trust Bank, one of the world's few remaining commercial banks-of-issue, will exit the paper currency business in 2022, leaving only three surviving Irish note-issuing banks: aibni.co.uk/banknotes
Elsewhere, Scotland and Hong Kong also have three commercial banks-of-issue each. That's 9 surviving private note-issuing banks. What few may realize is that, little more than a century ago, currency systems based on multiple, private banks-of-issue were the norm.
Still fewer people realize that many of these competitive currency systems were remarkably stable and efficient. The Scottish system, for instance, had a far better 19th-c. record than England's, where the Bank of England enjoyed many exclusive privileges: iea.org.uk/sites/default/…
Read 14 tweets
21 Feb
File under: Lies, damn lies, and statistics. Because it was an unusually sudden and steep downturn, to really get a sense of the severity of the "Roosevelt Recession," one has to look not at the annual GNP or GDP data, but at monthly measures, like Industrial Production. 1/n
Here's what the latter series looks like. As you can see, it shows that the '37-'38 recession did in fact undo a big part of the '33-'37 recovery, which had itself been disappointingly slow and (by early 1937) far from complete. 2/n.
Note how, setting aside the spring '33 "boomlet" (reflecting firms' attempts to build inventory in advance of coming NRA controls), there's no real progress until the NRA, the New Deal's keystone recovery program, lapses in '35. That's no coincidence: alt-m.org/2020/08/24/the… 3/n
Read 9 tweets
8 Feb
Thread: Fed officials are now saying that they'll be able to launch FedNow in 2023 rather than later: finextra.com/newsarticle/37…
It's understandable that they should do everything possible to accelerate FedNow's launch: RTP, FedNow's private-sector rival, has been operating since 2017, and its network now covers well over 70% of all U.S. bank deposits, with new depository institutions joining every week.
Universal or "ubiquitous" coverage was one of the key objectives of the Faster Payments Task Force est. by the Fed in 2015. The Clearing House's RTP system answered that Task Force's recommendations. By late 2018 it had 50% network coverage.
Read 19 tweets
6 Feb
Unfortunately, the errors of the past, however persistent, don't absolve fiscal and monetary authorities from responsibility for avoiding, or trying to ovoid, serious errors in the opposite direction. Life would be easier if they did. But they don't. 1/n
It's particularly unwise, IMHO, to suggest that ANY positive stimulus, now matter how large, is worth trying because of past inflation undershooting. According to this logic, why not $5 trillion; or $10, or...whatever?
Of course, many politicians will wring their hands at the prospect of piling-on to any such gravy train. They like "doing more" for their constituents. The macro consequences of excessive stimulus aren't their problem. But for that very reason, someone has to look out for those.
Read 5 tweets
27 Jan
It's dandy that 100 DIs have agreed to take part in FedNow's pilot program. That's about as many as are now directly connected to RTP (w/ many others using it through correspondents). And some of the top 15 banks are conspicuously absent from the list. 1/n crowdfundinsider.com/2021/01/171632…
Absent are Bank of America, U.S. Bancorp, Truist, PNC, the TD Bank Group, State Street Corp., and Fifth Third Bank. All save State Street are connected to RTP. So even if FedNow started now and all banks on its list connected, RTP would the bigger network by a long chalk. 2/n
And of course FedNow won't actually be ready to launch for 3 more years: in the world of payments innovations, that's an eon! 3/n
Read 5 tweets

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