This is probably bad of us, by my 17yo and I are reading this story & it is prompting gales of laughter. What do you do when "charismatic Christian revivalist prophets" disagree with one another? What are the criteria for evaluating such things? politico.com/news/magazine/…
Honestly, every paragraph feels like a perfect set-up and a punchline. Image
Sincerely: how does one "reform" a movement based on supposed religious revelations of prophecy? Testing prophecies agains reality? That sounds a little like science. So ... what? What exactly is the proposal to maintain "spiritual integrity"? Image
OK but this is where we just lost it. Image
I just want to thank the universe for this paragraph, which amuses me to no end. (Imagine doing a dissertation on the empirical accuracy of fundamentalist prophecies. "Turns out they're usually wrong!") Image
Then, 3/4 of the way through the story, we get this:

"Some observers argue the prophecies at times were an attempt to curry favor with a powerful political figure and movement."

WHAAAAAAAAAAAT?!?! 🤯
Jennifer LeClaire, former editor of Charisma magazine: “I believe some prophets who prophesied a Trump win never heard God at all. They merely tapped into the popular prophetic opinion because it was what so many in the church wanted to hear.”

WHAAAAAAAAAAAT?!?! 🤯
Again: ***what would this mean?*** The entire story is shot through with vague references toward holding prophets accountable, validating prophecies, evaluating prophecies. But how? Based on what criteria, what metrics? Image
One idea: you could call prophecies "hypotheses" and test them against evidence. You could require that their predictive power be replicable. You could set up a social practice whereby prophetic claims are rigorously scrutinized by peers, perhaps in journals of some sort.
But of course, ha ha, that's science, and they don't want that. So, once you get rid of the idea that the truth value of a claim rests on its correspondence to evidence & its predictive power ... what is the "evaluation" you're doing? How do you distinguish between prophecies?
I'll quit ranting. It's just wild to me, this utterly un-selfconscious talk among religious fundamentalists about rigor or accountability. You kinda tossed those overboard when you went fundamentalist! Too late to bring them back in now. </fin>

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More from @drvolts

28 Feb
Wow this Politico piece about Marjorie Taylor Greene is so, so revealing -- not just about her, but about the kind of person who is drawn to (and becomes a star in) today's GOP. politico.com/news/magazine/…
Key line: "her seat in Congress is less the fulfillment of a dream than the culmination of a desperate, yearslong search for an identity that fulfilled a yearning for affirmation and attention."
It's getting to be a familiar story on the right, whether it's Madison Cawthorn, MTG, or even Trump himself: an insecure person in desperate need of ego reinforcement casts about for some way to be the center of attention, to get the affirmation they need. And then they find ...
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27 Feb
Interesting Obama interview by @CitizenCohn, from his (essential) new book on the history & meaning of Obamacare. Dunno if he draws the same dire conclusions I do, but to me Obamacare symbolizes ... everything about current US politics, none of it good. huffpost.com/entry/obama-in…
Primarily, Obamacare illustrates that ALL the incentives in US politics have lined up against people trying to reform things. Obama was fighting a unified, nihilistic right. He was fighting a large group of (truly terrible) conservative Dem senators. And he was fighting ...
... against an activist left convinced that if the Bully Pulpited hard enough, he could force those conservative Dems to do what he wanted. That left him, & the Democrats pushing reform, with effectively no friends, no organized popular backing -- fighting everyone.
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26 Feb
Sometimes I try to imagine what it's like, caring about who else uses the bathroom you use ... caring about how other people identify themselves, gender-wise ... caring about other people's domestic arrangements ... and I just can't get there.
Granted, no one targets their moral sentiments & advocacy purely toward issues they calculate involve the most objective harm. We're not robots.

Nonetheless, it is a moral failing to rank your social & political concerns *purely on the basis of what makes you uncomfortable*.
I mean, the entire conservative discussion of gender issues proceeds as follows: a) this makes me uncomfortable, b) therefore it's bad, c) I can't just say it's bad because it makes me uncomfortable, so d) let's create a cottage industry finding/inventing real harms.
Read 5 tweets
24 Feb
Lemme try again: read @JillFilipovic's piece on Rush Limbaugh's misogyny. (Apologies to Jill & @JessicaValenti for getting my J-feminists mixed up, which they must find incredibly tiresome at this point.) nytimes.com/2021/02/20/opi…
All conservative rage & resentment come from fear, but nowhere is that more obvious than in Limbaugh-style sexism. At the very lizard brain core of these little boys is a desperate, desperate need for care & nurturing. They aren't allowed to articulate or even acknowledge it ...
... so when they enter puberty & beyond & find themselves without it -- clueless how to get it, unable to even ask for it -- they respond with the only emotion they've been taught is legitimate for a man: anger. They become furious at women for having this power over them.
Read 5 tweets
24 Feb
Worth noting: the Texas mess wasn't a "grid crisis." The grid did just fine distributing the power it had available. It was a *generation crisis* -- thanks to inadequately weatherized natgas production facilities & power plants, there just wasn't enough power to go around.
The Texas grid certainly would have benefited from being bigger, from being connected to the other two US grids, but you would need a truly epic amount of line capacity to import enough power to cover that shortfall. Generation failure was the heart of the crisis.
Everyone keeps RTing these tweets, so I'll add to this thread: I wrote a post on all this! See here: volts.wtf/p/lessons-from…
Read 5 tweets
24 Feb
The weird thing is, I can *easily* envision his audience believing both that Q is virtuous and that Q is a myth, just as they can simultaneously believe that the attack on the capitol was virtuous and that antifa did it.

Purest tribal epistemology.
The criteria for these claims is not correspondence to external reality. It's correspondence to the interests of the conservative tribe. Two things that are mutually contradictory based on the first metric can coexist peacefully based on the second metric.
Indeed I imagine this is the standard RW take on the insurrection: insofar as it was good (brave patriots fighting a stolen election), it was conservatives; insofar as it was bad (violence, dead cops), it was antifa. These should not be understood as empirical claims ...
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