I've just got figures for how much of the money borrowed by the government since April (by issuing IOU notes - also known as government bonds or gilts) now has the Bank of England as creditor (which created the money to do so from nothing). /1
Of the vast £485.5 billion being borrowed in this financial year (2020/2021), £450 billion will be owed to the Bank of England.
This is why it's wrong to say because we've got big debts, we must fix them immediately. Financially, governments aren't like households. As sovereign currency issuers, they can borrow vast sums from themselves (the Bank of England is ultimately another branch of govt).
After the financial crisis, austerity in public spending and weak private investment led to the worst decade for improvements in living standards in 200 years. Please, not again.
The pandemic put the economy and the public finances on something very like a war footing. Note in 1945, when debt was much higher, the Attlee government embarked on the biggest expansion in peacetime of the role of the state and public spending.
Far from mortgaging the futures of the children of that generation's voters, it was a long-term strategy with long-term goals in mind: a better future. And the children of that generation ended up, when they grew up, with far greater prosperity than any preceding generation.
All of which is to say that if you get the economy going with sufficient momentum, you can then grow your way out of debt - rather than cutting your way out of it. Taxes can rise later, at a time when the brake they put on economic growth won't bring things juddering to a stop.

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More from @andyverity

8 Jan
There's more today on the weirdness of a housing boom in the midst of the worst economic crisis in 300 years, helped by temporary tax breaks that will expire - probably before Lockdown3 comes to an end.
It's always puzzling why people aren't more repulsed when lenders report "soaring" house prices; we wouldn't, for example, welcome "soaring" gas or electricity prices - or soaring bread prices. But in any case that's what Halifax says they have been doing: bbc.co.uk/news/business-…
"Soaring" sounds very different if you're hoping to be a first-time buyer than if you're a potential seller who thinks 'ah - freebie time'. That something for nothing mentality has led politicians for decades to think it's bad politics to have prices fall.
Read 13 tweets
7 Jan
I know everyone's attention is understandably distracted - but there's a massive issue building up here in the UK because people and businesses simply can't pay the rent. Renters, landlords and homelessness organisations say the government must get a grip. /1
The National Residential Landlords Association, The Big Issue and Ride Out Recession Alliance, Shelter, ARLA Propertymark, the Nationwide Building Society, and the debt charity StepChange have put out a statement for immediate release... /2
“Many thousands of private renters and landlords across the country now face rent arrears due to the impact of the pandemic . Ministers have failed to address the core problem of debts which have built despite the financial package put in place so far... /3
Read 7 tweets
11 Dec 20
The Bank of England's Financial Stability report didn't seem to have many headline grabbers. And it didn't if your main concern is - are the banks strong enough to withstand the current twin crises Covid and Brexit? (answer - they can absorb £200bn losses - so probably 'yes'). /1
But there's some shockers in the detail. Whereas big corporates have had plenty of cash, even repaying bank loans or business rate relief, it's a very different story for the small and medium-sized businesses who employ most of the working population. /2
Smaller fims are now in hock to the banks like they've never been before. Lending to UK small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the year to October was more than 40 times higher than the 2016–19 average. /3
Read 21 tweets
1 Dec 20
Rishi Sunak’s come under repeated fire in the House of Commons over the millions of people excluded from support - with at least 10 questions on the issue in @hmtreasury questions just now. His response? “I don’t agree that those people have been excluded...
“There are many different ways this government has provided support to many people...”
“But surely the Chancellor can understand these people do not have any money. They have not benefited from any government schemes...why not accept he’s made a mistake?” - Chris Elmore MP.
And again from Paul Blomfield MP - citing a constituent who opened a new bar in the summer and can't access furlough because it wasn't registered for the first scheme. "Will he recognise the problem?". RS's answer implies no - he thinks he's done enough.
Read 6 tweets

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