Fires burned 10% of Australia's land surface on average every year in 20th century
In this century, it burned 6% (2001-19)
We now have the data for 2019-20, the year with "Australia ablaze":
4% (3.95%)
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.…. globalfiredata.org/analysis.html nature.com/articles/d4158…
In this century, it burned 6% (2001-19)
We now have the data for 2019-20, the year with "Australia ablaze":
4% (3.95%)
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.…. globalfiredata.org/analysis.html nature.com/articles/d4158…
Yes, tragedies: Much more fire close to where people live (NSW and Victoria)
But we were told "Australia burns" and "this is what a climate crisis looks like"
No
Australia had one of its lowest areas burned in last 120 years
And fires inconsistent with climate impact
But we were told "Australia burns" and "this is what a climate crisis looks like"
No
Australia had one of its lowest areas burned in last 120 years
And fires inconsistent with climate impact
Along with bad media coverage, misleading graphics pushed the idea that the Australian continent was ablaze
https://twitter.com/rihanna/status/1214227610911170561
https://twitter.com/Sci_Phile/status/1213703245794693120
Australia burned area 2019-20 inconsistent with climate change
Total burn should have been *larger* — it was *much smaller*
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108…
Total burn should have been *larger* — it was *much smaller*
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108…
Everyone pointed to Australia's eucalyptus forests which burned much, much more
But climate models said they should have burned just a little more
Tropical woodland, grass and total off as well
One can't just pick the area that sort-of-fits and ignore everything else
But climate models said they should have burned just a little more
Tropical woodland, grass and total off as well
One can't just pick the area that sort-of-fits and ignore everything else
Actually, the biggest Australian fire is the 1974-75 fire, mostly documented by satellite
It burned 117 million hectares in Central Australia, or 15.2% of Australia in one year
Almost 4x the area burned in 2019-20
Few people live there, so smaller problem
It burned 117 million hectares in Central Australia, or 15.2% of Australia in one year
Almost 4x the area burned in 2019-20
Few people live there, so smaller problem
Many chastised me for using "wrong measure" of "burned area"
Yet, I use same measure as official "Australia's Environment" annual overview
It also concludes "well below average"
I suspect "wrong measure" means "doesn't support scary story"
Yet, I use same measure as official "Australia's Environment" annual overview
It also concludes "well below average"
I suspect "wrong measure" means "doesn't support scary story"
https://twitter.com/BjornLomborg/status/1369347020574646277
Here are my other replies to various claims
https://twitter.com/BjornLomborg/status/1369347010848034826
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