Another environmental scare debunked:

Acid rain killing all forests was the main environmental scare in the 1980s

A new half-century study shows acid rain doesn't kill trees

— actually, trees grow more with acid rain!

sciencedirect.com/science/articl… Acid rain scare in the 1980s delivered full-on panic

No more so than in Germany, where papers claimed "the forest is dying," called it an "ecological Hiroshima" and claimed ‘‘the dying of the forests will have a greater impact on our country than World War II’’

All false

Today, the Great Barrier Reef is better than ever

But 12 years ago, we were told about the "Great Reef Catastrophe"

and how the reef would be almost gone today

Moral of the story: Don't always believe the scare stories

Refs in🧵 Here is the official data

apps.aims.gov.au/reef-monitorin…

https://x.com/BjornLomborg/status/1808134536854700215

Doesn't fit the narrative, but

2024 record coral cover for Great Barrier Reef

Based on official data for all 11 sectors of GBR,

Last three years, 2022-2024, have been unprecedented

Data: apps.aims.gov.au/reef-monitorin… Official, reef-wide average widely published as the Great Barrier Reef got worse

But when it got better, official average stopped

Here is the optimal average (least-square) based on their 11 published sectors,

Last official reef-wide average: apps.aims.gov.au/reef-monitorin…
aims.gov.au/reef-monitorin…

Misinformation:

New York Times tells you that heat is “the deadliest of all extreme weather events”

But NYTimes simply ignore their own data, which shows

Cold is 9x deadlier

But, of course, this doesn't fit the climate narrative

NYTimes:
WMO:
Data from Lancet: nytimes.com/2024/06/21/cli…
library.wmo.int/viewer/68500/d…
thelancet.com/journals/lanpl… Not just the New York Times misinforming on heat deaths:

The Guardian misinforms and misdirects, trying to avoid telling you that cold deaths vastly outweigh heat deaths

https://twitter.com/BjornLomborg/status/1483775037333295104

Climate alarmists are annoyed that global climate-related disaster deaths have declined dramatically

Then they discovered how to cherry-pick deaths to look like they’re increasing

— just (indefensibly) remove the top 50 most deadly mega-disasters and rig the scales

🧵+refs After manipulating their stats, they have the temerity to claim “Misinterpreting statistics could be harmful if it supports a discourse minimizing the importance of climate action”

I’m pretty sure misinterpreting statistics is wrong no matter what

, p7cred.be/sites/default/…

CO₂ and climate make the world greener

Over 2001-20 the world added so many new leaves

the additional leaf area is equivalent to 1.4x the area of the Contiguous US

Climate net problem

but breathless reporting ignores an ever-greening world

sciencedirect.com/science/articl… CO₂ makes world greener

Every two seconds global leaf area grows by 5 soccer pitches

Every year, the world adds almost three Great Britains of additional leaf area

Climate net problem, but breathless reporting ignores an ever-greening world

sciencedirect.com/science/articl…

Gasoline, not electric cars:

Two-thirds of American's want their next car to be fossil fuel driven, with just 6% battery-electric

Deloitte new 2024 Global Automotive Consumer Study

Key trend: "Slowing EV (electric car) momentum"

deloitte.com/global/en/Indu… Electric cars: Consumers worry

They worry about charging time, range anxiety,
cost, battery safety, and availability of charging infrastructure

deloitte.com/global/en/Indu…

Climate alarmists incessantly hype extreme weather

But global climate-related disaster costs are declining

This decline is not just evident globally but also for rich and poor countries, and for flood, flash flood, coastal flood, cold, drought, wind, and all damage

Why don't we hear this?

Notice, damage is measured in % GDP, as even the UN insists on measuring it (e.g. SDG 11.5.2, )

This is because the same flood or storm will create much more damage in a much richer world:

If there are twice as many houses, a flood will tend to damage twice as many houses

Update of academic paper:


unstats.un.org/sdgs/metadata/…
tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…
rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/global-disas…

https://twitter.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1746205926074253771

Cost of climate-related disasters has dropped nearly 5-fold since 1980

True for both richer and poorer countries and for all countries

sciencedirect.com/science/articl…

As cold envelops the Northern Hemisphere, stay warm!

Despite the climate narrative, almost everywhere cold is much more deadly than heat

Cheap and reliable energy to keep us warm used to be the hallmark of prosperous countries

no more because of our climate obsession

🧵+refs Why is cold dangerous?

Because it causes outer blood vessels to constrict to conserve core body heat, driving up blood pressure

Here 2+ million measurements, 6 cities in the US

130+ is classified as high blood pressure
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29677012/

Despite breathless climate reporting about ever more fire

The US burned area last year was the lowest this century

It was less than 7% of the 1930s

Climate does increase the burned area

but zoning and forest management are much more important

Thread + refs We actually have good decadal estimates of US burned area from 1900

2023 saw less than 3% of the area that burned each year in 1900s (1900-1909)



data credibility: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.…
nifc.gov/fire-informati…

https://twitter.com/BjornLomborg/status/1353012754462998529

Congrats to Germany

Super-expensive but ineffective climate policies mean

De-industrialization

with small climate benefit


telegraph.co.uk/business/2023/…
archive.ph/uHOKy
Germans pay ever more for power

Even before war in Ukraine, costs had increased more than 50% from 2000 to early 2022

to 35 euro-cents per kWh (or 38 US¢)


destatis.de/EN/Themes/Econ…
ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/e…

Climate-related disasters have declined 97+% over the century

Richer, smarter and more resilient societies reduce disaster deaths

This swamps any potential climate signal

Why is this not reported?

Instead, media only delivers climate doom

facebook.com/photo/?fbid=93…
The risk of dying from climate-related disasters has declined 99.4%

As the global population quadrupled over the century, the risk per million declined from 241 in 1920s to 1.5 in 2020s

Compare, global risk of dying in traffic is 163

Update of sciencedirect.com/science/articl…

Wrong:

Just 6 months ago, the International Energy Agency predicted that rapid replacement with electric cars would mean gasoline demand peaked in 2019

Climate political correctness = bad predictions
🧵

archive.is/JPsdh
The International Energy Agency has gone all-in claiming/hoping that the end of fossil fuels is just around the corner

It puts them in sharp disagreement with Biden's Energy Information Administration, which sees more gas, oil and coal use up to 2050

rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/going-all-in…

Climate alarmists scare us of ever more fire

But NASA satellites show that the world is burning 𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙨

Why don't we hear this?


wsj.com/articles/clima…
archive.ph/WfDJh
modis.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/dataprod/…
Data: Fire has burned 𝙡𝙤𝙬𝙚𝙨𝙩 area in Europe in a decade

Media: constantly showed fire from Greece (much more burn), but ignored France, Spain, Bulgaria, Ukraine, Portugal and all other places with much less burn

We need better information
gwis.jrc.ec.europa.eu/apps/gwis.stat…

China is super-cold, with Beijing coldest in seven decades

Yet, some just can't help themselves: claiming it is caused by global warming

Apart from sounding stupid, it is also simply wrong

reuters.com/world/china/ch…
Apparently, a climatologist claims that the China cold fits with climate change, because we'd expect more extreme cold waves

But no, that is *not* what the 2023 UN Climate Panel summary report tells us



, p46 scmp.com/news/china/sci…
ipcc.ch/report/ar6/syr/

We're told solar and wind future

But when there is no wind and sun?

Batteries!

But

In 2024, storage just 5min

After that, need 100% backup, mostly fossil fuels

In 2050: 47min

Yet, 100% Solar&Wind needs almost three months



frontiersin.org/articles/10.33…
eia.gov/outlooks/ieo/d…
Lots of people suggest batteries can fix intermittency

Yes, but makes 𝗿𝗲𝗻𝗲𝘄𝗮𝗯𝗹𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘀𝘁𝗹𝗶𝗲𝗿 because we need to pay for backup

More realistic solar & wind 2x or more

from cheap but very unreliable to expensive and only less unreliable

lazard.com/research-insig…

Paris climate policy will cost a sizable fraction of 21st century prosperity

Two new, explosive, peer-reviewed papers show net-zero/1.5°C :

Benefit $4.5 trillion/year

Cost $26.8 trillion/year

Total loss is $1,800 trillion over the century

We must do better

🧵 + refs New special issue of peer-reviewed journal 𝘊𝘭𝘪𝘮𝘢𝘵𝘦 𝘊𝘩𝘢𝘯𝘨𝘦 𝘌𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘰𝘮𝘪𝘤𝘴

First climate economic article shows cost and benefit of 1.5°C target

worldscientific.com/doi/10.1142/S2…
worldscientific.com/doi/10.1142/S2…

US electric car sales are overwhelmingly concentrated in the most left-leaning counties

In most of the US, the share of EVs is zero or near-zero

This is still true for 2022, where half of all EVs went to the 10% most Democratic counties

aeaweb.org/articles?id=10…
Most US electric cars sold in very left-leaning counties

Hard to see how EVs gain broad appeal

Part of the reason Ford Lost $62K for every EV sold


haas.berkeley.edu/wp-content/upl…
substack.com/home/post/p-13…

No, electric cars aren't taking over the world

Even in 2050, two-thirds of all cars globally will still be gasoline and diesel cars

Electric cars will be one-fourth

Acc to Biden's Energy Information Administration's October 2023 Reference projection eia.gov/outlooks/ieo/d…
According to Biden's Energy Information Administration's October 2023 projection

Sales in 2050 will still be 62% gasoline and diesel cars and electric cars 28%

https://twitter.com/BjornLomborg/status/1721490042411962403

According to Biden's Energy Information Administration, what percentage of US cars on the road in 2050 will be electric?

Pls answer the poll in the next tweet

before seeing the answer below

International Energy Outlook, October 2023
eia.gov/outlooks/ieo/
According to Biden's Energy Information Administration, in its reference scenario,

what percentage of US cars on the road in 2050 will be battery electric vehicles?

From October 2023, eia.gov/outlooks/ieo/

Alternative energy is bleeding money

If your pension fund invested $100 in the global stock market 15 years ago, it would now be $461.61

But if they went all-green, your pension will now only be $73.56

(Since Sept 23, global lost another 2%, green 11%)

msci.com/documents/1019…
NY City Pension Fund is proud divesting $4bn of fossil fuels stocks

— could have been smart as fossils done less well than general stock market over past 15 years

But they divested stupidly in 2021, after which fossils rallied


msci.com/documents/1019…
climate.cityofnewyork.us/subtopics/dive…