Alfred Twu Profile picture
Mar 9, 2021 30 tweets 10 min read Read on X
Missing middle housing - fourplexes, townhouses, etc - is great for most places. However, in places like Palo Alto, where land is north of $20 million an acre, it's time to look at Missing Large Housing, specifically, ways to build, plan, & finance big buildings cheaper. 1/ Missing Large Housing: buil...
For all the stereotypes about individualism, Americans are social people. From block parties to music festivals to professional sports, many of us love being in a crowd. However, as we've grown rich and want more living space, we've outgrown our Main Streets. 2/ New York City in the early ...
Now, not only is their a shortage of housing, there's also a shortage of customers for local businesses. As a result, a low-rise Main Street that used to have enough people to support lots of stores no longer does today. 3/ Main Street 100 years ago: ...
The places where Main Streets are still thriving are ones where there's still overcrowded housing: college towns, immigrant neighborhoods, and tourist towns, where hotel rooms provide high customer density. 4/ San Francisco Chinatown. Ph...
For most of us Americans though, we like to have more space than a bed in a shared room. Having a successful local economy should not mean having overcrowded housing. 

And therefore, if Main Streets are to stay in business, there needs to be more living space above. 5/ There's a difference: Overc...
Main Street 100 years ago: crowded, low rise buildings. Main street today: uncrowded, but stores closed.
Main street tomorrow: Tall building with spacious housing and active businesses.

6/ Main Street 100 years ago: ...
How much housing space does it take to support a business? On average, 600 square feet of housing (a one-bedroom apartment) for every 10 square feet of retail. This doesn't mean 60-story buildings - not every street needs to be a shopping street, but it does mean a lot more. 7/ a typical household of two ...
The go-to method for urban housing is the mid-rise podium building: 5 floors of homes above parking & stores. This design can be costly, requires large sites, & when limited to major streets, there aren't enough people in the city to support businesses to fill the storefronts.
8/ 4-over-1 and 5-over-1 podiu...
Let's look at some other ways to do it.

Small Lot Redevelopment:
When most land in a city is already divided into small lots with individual houses, even if zoning is changed, larger buildings come slowly since most homeowners don't have the money or skills to be a builder. 9/
In Greece, the issue of homeowners with land, but no money to redevelop, led to Polykatoikias being built using the antiparochi, or "Supply in Exchange" system. The homeowner supplies the land, and in exchange gets a few apartments in the new building. 10/ Polykatoikia: Homeowner pro...
Learn more about Greece's Polykatoikias here: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modern_ar…
11/ Polykatoikia in Athens, Gre...
In Vietnam, narrow lots - some just a single room wide - led to tall row houses. Known as tube houses, this pattern went vertical as families grew wealthier, allowing extended families that had previously crowded into a single floor to spread out across many floors.
12/ Shophouses in Ho Chi Minh C...
In Germany, building groups - baugruppen - is a system where friends gets together & develop for a building that they'll all live in. In addition to savings from pooling resources, there is also an opportunity for greater customization. housing.wiki/wiki/Baugruppe @housing_wiki 13/
For those who want more shared space in their custom community, cohousing includes shared spaces such as playgrounds, a clubhouse, or gardens. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cohousing 14/
Prefabricated concrete panels save costs by mass production & shifting work from construction site to a factory. Panels reached their height of popularity during the Communist era, & still exist in large numbers today. For example, in Czechia, 1 in 3 people live in a panelak. 15/ By Rovibroni (Barna Rovács)...
Concrete panel apartments continue to be built today, including in the United States. forconstructionpros.com/concrete/press… 16/
While panel buildings only prefabricated the walls, modular buildings come as pre-assembled rooms. While modules are also long and narrow to allow them to be trucked to the site, they are wider, taller, and better insulated than shipping containers. 17/ Modular building in Czechia...
Mid-rise modular buildings use load-bearing modules stacked directly on top of each other, while high rises attach modules to a frame. 18/ Modular housing at Wolverha...
Even modular concrete & steel are expensive & require a lot of energy. As a result, most housing in the USA is built using wood - 2x4's & plywood. Structural strength / fire hazards limit conventional wood to several floors.A new system has been invented: Mass Timber. 19/ Mass timber building in Bru...
Also known as Cross Laminated Timber, it involves gluing wood into giant beams & slabs strong and fire resistant enough for high rise construction. 
In the 2021 International Building Code, mass timber buildings will be allowed to have 18 floors. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cross-lam… 20/
One challenge the private housing market faces is the boom & bust cycle. In the boom, labor &materials get scarce. In recessions, suppliers go out of business & workers change careers, slowing recovery. US homebuilding collapsed during the 2008 recession & has yet to recover. 21/
A public sector developer stabilizes the market, providing the steady demand needed for investment in modular building factories, job training, and material suppliers. It can also ramp up construction during recessions as part of the stimulus. 22/ Construction capacity showi...
In the past, the US government subsidized suburban housing with cheap mortgages & money for highways that brought lots of land within commuting range. Nowadays, transportation projects - both road and rail - are popular during recessions to stimulate the economy. 23/
In addition to infrastructure that helps get people to work, stimulus could also build homes close to jobs. With a large economy of scale, public sector developers pass savings onto residents and can cross-subsidize some homes to be even cheaper for low income residents. 24/ Social housing: middle and ...
Large social housing complexes contain more than housing. Like any large planned development, they are often built with businesses, schools, parks, transit stations. 25/ Alt Erlaa in Vienna, Austri...
At the very large scale, there is the satellite city. More than just a bedroom community, these are real cities with a downtown, anchored into the regional economy by a large institution such as a college, government agency headquarters, or medical center. 26/ Map showing a satellite cit...
Satellite cities do not have to be brand new. They can be grown from an existing suburb. Large sites such as shopping malls, golf courses, or train station parking lots are good locations for building a new high density core for a satellite city. 27/
same info in article format: alfredtwu.medium.com/missing-large-…
and that's all for tonight. coming around next time: missing small housing, a look at mobile home parks, small lot subdivisions, dome homes, and more. 28/
And here's the thread on Missing Small Housing. 29/

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More from @alfred_twu

Dec 15, 2022
Five shapes of apartment buildings, each with 60 homes. Top left, a wide block with doors off a long hallway, is the most common type built today in the US.

Top center is common in Europe. Today we'll also look at a few other styles.

Which do you prefer?
1/ 3D views of five types of a...
In the last few decades, as codes in the US have allowed large wood buildings, the hotel-style floorplan has become standard for 4-8 story apartments.

It's the most efficient plan that meets code requirements of 2 stairs. Downsides: most people only get windows on one side.
2/ a five story apartment buil...
In places where code allows a single stair, the layout often looks like this: a long building might actually be several connected buildings, each with its own stair and elevator.

Advantage: cross ventilation, two views, also can put bedrooms on quiet side.
3/ an 8 story perimeter block,...
Read 12 tweets
Dec 7, 2022
Thoughts on what AI means for artists: AI art often has a sci-fi / fantasy style to it as it's one of the last big industries for illustrators. In 1960s-70s, color photos took over most work depicting things that exist, but artists were still needed to draw things that didn't. 1/
The style of a lot of AI art - realism with high contrast and bold colors - is similar to that used in video, card, and board games, which often have sci-fi or fantasy settings. It's likely the AI was trained on images from websites such as DeviantArt or ArtStation. 2/
A physical game will have a couple hundred pieces of "card art" - standalone images to represent a character, object, event, or place. Video games have even more. This is likely one of the first things that AI images would replace. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Dec 7, 2022
Hello from #pinolemtg !
#VisitPinole 🍐 A meeting in Pinole city hall
Most of tonight's meeting is ceremonial but we do have some public comments, including one about the need to act now to improve pedestrian safety at a downtown crosswalk #pinolemtg 🐦
And it's official! @MaliaCohen swears in the new Mayor of #Pinole, @DevinMurphyDTM ! 🎉🎉🎉🍐🐦 City council meeting at Pin...
Read 5 tweets
Dec 6, 2022
I don't think I've seen a city council meeting go this late before, 2:59 am might be some kind of record.

San Mateo has a five person council but there is one vacant seat, so they are stuck at 2-2 on both filling the vacancy and appointing a mayor (who could break the tie)
Like most cities where members of the city council take turns being the mayor, the process in San Mateo is supposed to be just a formality, until now
Read 4 tweets
Nov 28, 2022
The growing protests in China reminds me of the research that revolutions are most likely when the standard of living rises but then goes in reverse, causing anger due to unmet expectations.

China's last 20 years have got to be one of the most extreme versions of this.
1/
China's economy today is several times larger than it was in 2000, but the lifestyle changes are more than just about a number, the two decades saw an even bigger change in mobility: high speed trains, car ownership, international travel.

With lockdowns, mobility went to zero
2/
During the first couple years of the pandemic relatively few places were locked down in China, and at the same time, people in other parts of the world were also staying home.

2022 is different. People are out and about everywhere else, while China has had more lockdowns
3/
Read 6 tweets
Jul 6, 2022
My thoughts on the San Francisco fourplex debate.... Because SF lots are tiny and prices are so high, for a house in San Francisco to be worth more as a site for apartments than as a luxury house, it's got to be zoned for a lot more than 4 homes. More like 15-30 of them. 🧵🏠1/ a skyscraper next to a house
Houses in San Francisco sell for median price of around $2 million. Even the cheap ones are well over a million. In comparison, new apartment projects pay $100,000 to $150,000 per unit of zoned capacity for a site. (For example, 1.5 million for a site that allows 10 units) 2/
That means that someone who wants to build a fourplex might only offer $600,000 for a house, while someone who wants to use it as a house will be willing to pay at least double. 3/
Read 6 tweets

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