Higher antibody level does not mean greater ability to neutralize the virus. This Italian paper finds that the strongest neutralization activity was shown by a patient who had the lowest antibody level detected by conventional serology assays.

1/8

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.10…
Some basics:
Neutralization is the ability of the antibodies to inhibit growth of the virus. This is measured by looking at virus growth in lab cells, while bathed with serum containing antibodies - typically from those who are either recovered (convalescent) or vaccinated.

2/8
Antibody titer, on the other hand, is measured by commercially available assays such as ELISA or CLIA .

Low levels might be marked as negative if below the detection limit of the assay. Manufacturer's claim of accuracy for these is often higher than real-life experience.

3/8
The study found that a higher antibody level in a patient's serum by serology assay did not correlate with the ability of the same serum to neutralise the virus.

This means that someone could have high antibody levels, but without much use in preventing virus infection.

4/8
In other words, not all of the antibodies (spike/other) that are measured in the serology assay are of the neutralising type.

To give a metaphor, imagine a large orchestra playing papa kehte hain. There may be 50 members in the team. But how many people do we really hear?

5/8
Most of the music we hear will come from the lead singer, drummer, trumpet player and the guitarist. These are the mainstay of the orchestra - who can perform the song even without the rest if need be. They are the neutralizing antibodies.

6/8
While serological assays can only look at the whole orchestra of 50 people, neutralizing antibodies are the 4 key players whose work really matters.

The size of the orchestra (total antibody level) need not matter, it is what we hear (the neutralization) that counts.

7/8
Summary:
A person with "low or undetectable" antibody levels post vaccination (or natural infection) could well be protected against the virus; we just won't be able to measure it with existing commercially available assays.

Quality>Quantity.

(See my tweet earlier today)

8/8

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More from @RajeevJayadevan

11 Mar
EMA (European Medicines Agency) clears Astra-Oxford Vaccine

"The problems that have arisen in Austria in individuals after receiving AstraZeneca's corona vaccine were not caused by that vaccine"

-conclusion of European regulator for vaccines and medicines, EMA.

1/3
"A 49-year-old woman in Austria died of severe blood clotting. Ten days earlier she had received the corona vaccine from AstraZeneca. A 35-year-old woman developed a pulmonary embolism from which she is now recovering"

2/3

lc.nl/buitenland/EMA…
"There were 2 more similar incidents. According to the EMA, this is not exceptional, it corresponds to the number of incidents among the general population. In Europe, 3 million people have been vaccinated with AstraZeneca, and 22 of them have had thrombosis or embolism"

3/4
Read 4 tweets
11 Mar
Vaccination paused in Denmark.

“The National Board of Health Denmark is now awaiting the EU drug authorities to investigate the possible connection between the COVID-19 vaccine from AstraZeneca and the serious cases of blood clots that have been reported”
“In six other European countries, the use of a specific batch of the AstraZeneca vaccine has currently been suspended pending investigations.
Unit Manager Tanja Erichsen encourages you to take it easy if you have been vaccinated with AstraZeneca's vaccine”
"I understand well if you are worried, but you must keep in mind that no connection has yet been established between the vaccines from AstraZeneca and the cases of blood clots. That is what we now want to investigate”

- Tanja Erichsen says.
Read 10 tweets
11 Mar
The term AEFI is widely misunderstood by those who do not have a baseline understanding of public health. This worsens vaccine hesitancy.

AEFI - Adverse event “following” vaccination doesn’t mean “due to”. But the way it is discussed in forums implies it is vaccine effect.
1/5
When an event occurs “following” vaccination it simply means it occurred in the days following the injection. It takes time for experts to investigate each event and determine the exact cause. The general public (& many healthcare professionals) do not know the difference.

2/5
Deaths and illnesses occur in any population due to background rates.

But declaring that “AEFI occurred” unfortunately implies otherwise. Discretion must be followed while discussing this topic.

3/5
Read 5 tweets
10 Mar
No need to routinely check antibodies after COVID vaccination.

"A vaccinated person is very likely to get a negative result from a serology test, even if the vaccine was successful and protective"

- Dr Rachel West, Immunologist at Johns Hopkins.

1/9

jhsph.edu/covid-19/artic…
Various antibody 'kits' check for different antibodies. Some vaccines only produce anti spike antibodies: kits that are designed for N antibodies will show a negative result. Besides, some kits may not pick up low levels of antibodies. Quality variation in kits is an issue.

2/9
Is there s difference in antibodies generated by natural infection and vaccine?

Natural infection produces a wide range of antibodies, of whom kits check mostly N type. Vaccines of mRNA or adenovirus vector type generate only Spike antibodies.

3/9
Read 9 tweets
9 Mar
Coronavac inactivated vaccine Brazil trial results
~10,000 of 12000 HCW, doses 2 weeks apart.

Efficacy:
1. Overall (anyone with symptoms) 50.6 (C.I = 36-62)
2. >Mild cases (WHO Score 3, see pic) 83.7% (58-94)

ref. Hong Kong FHB, thanks @sid8998

1/3

fhb.gov.hk/download/our_w… Image
3. Moderate-severe (Score 4) = 100% (CI 56-100)
4. Severe cases = 100%* (CI 17-100, *small no. of cases)

Better efficacy for the >21 days group than 14 days.

All ages showed same efficacy, but only 419 elderly were included in this study.

2/3
Overall cases:
85/4953 in vaccine group
168/4870 in placebo group
This translates to 50.6%, but this is considered artificially low because of the fact that all participants were healthcare workers who, as a group, tend to over-report even the most minor symptoms.

3/4
Read 4 tweets
11 Dec 20
Approval of vaccine is based on risk vs. benefit analysis in each country.

“The vaccine is something the US desperately needs”

-said the experts of a committee that voted 17:4 in favour of FDA giving EUA.

Why did they decide yes?

See thread. 1/10

amp.usatoday.com/amp/3850826001
Every day in the US, about 3000 people die from COVID-19.

With the graph steadily climbing, a vaccine is something they believe could give them hope.

It is not the same situation in India. Deaths are 414/day for a population of 135 CR.

For US it is 3000/day for 33 CR.

2/10
The pandemic situation in US and India are vastly different.

US death rate is 30 times (yes, that is 3000%) that of India.

That is, for every 1000 citizens, the number of COVID deaths is 30 times more in the US.

See graphs from today.

3/10
Read 13 tweets

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