How to actually understand labor endorsements in New York races -
If you've got a small race - city council, state senate etc. - labor matters a lot. Few people have heard of the candidates. Labor raises name rec and mobilizes their members for you. Their money goes far.
If you've got a small race - city council, state senate etc. - labor matters a lot. Few people have heard of the candidates. Labor raises name rec and mobilizes their members for you. Their money goes far.
If you've got a BIG race - NYC mayor comes to mind - organized labor has diminished returns, UNLESS they all unite behind you. This is how Scott Stringer beat Eliot Spitzer.
If you've got a BIG race - NYC mayor comes to mind - an individual labor union won't move the needle much because most members will pay attention enough to develop their own opinions and views. DC37, UFT, 1199 can't just snap their fingers and tell 20k people how to vote.
Labor *can* spend a lot of money on behalf of a mayoral candidate, run IE's and member-to-member contact. The key for the non-labor candidate is to have lots of $$ and name recognition already. @AndrewYang does come to mind.
Truthfully, I only see organized labor moving the needle in this mayoral race in a BIG way if they team up to run negative TV ads and IE's AGAINST Andrew Yang. If they coordinated to crush Yang, they maybe could. It's what they did to Spitzer. But will they? Not necessarily.
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