@BobMurphyEcon@Coach_JIB@intangiblecoins@WilliamJLuther 1/n While a currency may have a USD exchange rate it does not have a $ 'market cap'. Bitcoin displays the monetary scarcity/liquidity paradox obscured by gold's residual utility: to the extent a currency is scarce it is not liquid & to the extent it is liquid it is not scarce.
@BobMurphyEcon@Coach_JIB@intangiblecoins@WilliamJLuther 2/n In my analysis, at the heart of the monetary relationship is the credit obligation (promise). This is not an exchangeable object, but an assignable (IOU) relationship between subject & object returnable in exchange for useful goods & services to be provided by the promissor
'Oil war' bollocks hid the reality of a Covid demand shock blowing through a Saudi-funded WTI peg. So Saudi pumped like mad & sent a fleet to deliver into the May 2020 WTI delivery window. Why? The reason is USO oil fund
@Big_Orrin 2/n Both @petromatrix & @izakaminska documented strange 'bloat' of USO (in 2009) when Supercontango bizarrely combined with a rising market. They both remarked on a similar bloat in 2015 (I think) & Izzy wrote some great stuff on #DarkInventory@FTAlphaville
@Big_Orrin@petromatrix@izakaminska@FTAlphaville 3/n Now, a $2bn USO pool of physical crude oil which required only 30m bbl at $70/bbl required 80m bbl at $25/bbl. Hence Saudi panic pumping & wave of oil to the Gulf during the May 2020 window. This informs the barking mad April 20 May WTI 2020 expiry