If you read one thing about the terrible situation in Myanmar, make it this.
Also, let me take this opportunity to explain some of the stubborn factors that make it so hard to raise attention for important issues like this coup. persuasion.community/p/dont-ignore-…
1)
Readers are more interested in issue close to home or that they already have some familiarity with.
Thankfully, Persuasion is funded by subscribers with an ideological investment in these issues, so this doesn't matter much to us.
But even then there's other obstacles.
2)
Myanmar has long been cut off from the world, so editors don't know that much about it.
I have met activists and intellectuals from a large number of countries. I have a sense of who is credible and who isn't. I know who to go to.
On Myanmar, I don't. That makes it harder.
3)
Sure, there are a small number of journalists and academics writing on Myanmar.
Most years, they toil in relative obscurity. Nobody wants to hear their pitches about how things are about to go wrong.
When they finally do, everyone wants to commission the same three people.
4)
And then of course there's the challenge of distribution.
In a printed newspaper, editors couldn't force you to read an article, but they could force you to see it.
Today, distribution is mostly on social media. If people don't retweet something, no one will know it exists.
So anyway. I'm proud of the piece we eventually managed to get on Myanmar. It's excellent, I think.
But if you ask yourself why newspapers and magazines often don't seem to give importance to key events like the coup in Myanmar, I hope this helps to explain part of the reason.
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It should also make us ask very hard questions about why it took a giant pandemic hitting the developed world for us to give a new technology that could potentially save humanity from one of its worst endemic diseases a try...
Also, there are obviously still a lot of obstacles here. I do not in any way mean to suggest that this vaccine is a done deal.
But, oh man, would it be wonderful news for humanity.
At the turn of the year, most commentators expected the current wave of the coronavirus to keep growing. Instead new cases have plummeted over the past six weeks.
Why? No one really knows.
A year into this, we remain strikingly bad at forecasting the trajectory of the pandemic.
There are lots of other puzzles around the world:
Why is India doing so much better than Europe or the United States?
Why are cases in Europe not falling nearly as quickly as in America?
Why did Manaus in Brazil do extremely well for a while and is now doing extremely badly?
After the fact, we can come up with all kinds of retrospective explanations for these events. I have potential explanations for all of them in my mind.
But the vexing fact remains that most did not think of those explanations beforehand. So we keep being incapable of prediction.
If you spend a lot of time among highly political people, it's tempting to think that, say, ~60% of the country is liberal or progressive, and ~40% moderate or conservative.
Now, there are some things small groups can push through even though much of the population opposes it.
But I think that a lot of people currently overestimate how much the very small group of true progressives can accomplish against the will of the majority over the long run.
And, no, moderates are not a cohesive political group that are united in their love of Joe Biden or Mitt Romney.
But, no, the vast majority of them aren't secret progressives who love AOC either.
If she happens to offend her peers, who are we to stop the university from expelling her, correct?
One more reason why we need a real *culture* of free speech—and why many cases should worry us even if they don't violate the First Amendment .
(Since this student goes to a state university, her case technically does fall under the First Amendment.
But if an influential private institution like Harvard University threw her out over these social media posts, I would find that similarly objectionable.)
Also, yet another reminder: Anyone who thinks that these irrational reprisals will always hit "the right people" is deeply naive.