If for some reason the #SuezCanal blockage persists, shipping can divert.
Some oil will still flow through SUMED, but for everything else: global logistics madness. For example, US EIA calculates that a US tanker from KSA would add ~2,700 miles.
INBOX: seeking expert for media thing about #EVERGIVEN
ME: I'm not the maritime industry insider you need.
DETAIL: In college I briefly had the ambition to become a captain. Read the materials & crewed summers (e.g. tall ships) to build sea time for a license. Then moved on.
Geospatial companies have begun flexing on the #EVERGIVEN..
Curious? A Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) satellite zips along, beaming down radio waves. Some stuff reflects them (🚢 = bling), water not so much (🌊= dark). Classic radar.
Then antenna movement is leveraged to make a longer 'synthetic' antenna, getting you detail & dimension.
NEW: clearest-yet image of the #EVERGIVEN from @Maxar's WorldView-2 satellite.
The @Maxar image features the dredge. Doing what beyond trying to free the #EVERGIVEN's bow?
Likely opening up the not-usually-dredged & super shallow (blue) part of the canal by the vessel's bow.
NICE: friends @bellingcat have put together a neat little OSINT synthesis!
The moon is full & the tides are high, but Italian tug Carlo Magno is late for her date with #EVERGIVEN tonight.
Re-floating attempt postponed. Another will be made tomorrow.
(Dutch tug Alp Guard arrived on time)
Sources: SCA, vessel tracking. Pic: Reuters.
BREAKING: SERIOUS MOVEMENT HAPPENING NOW.
Latest AIS data shows that the #EVERGIVEN's stern has been dramatically pivoted off the #Suez Canal's Western wall.
Stern now appears to be in the channel.
I count 17 tugs & support vessels on scene right now.
If you want to see how hard they have strained on the #EVERGIVEN I've included some of their tracks here.
Nice indirect illustration of how much the ship has shifted.
Made a quick diagram. This is a big change from the initial stuck situation...but the navigation channel is still partially obstructed by the #EVERGIVEN
The #Suez Canal is not opening to vessel traffic just yet...
So @AP now has the “partially refloated” report about this movement.
But... I think it was the wise @mercoglianos who said "partially refloated" means still "partially stuck"
NEW: 🇨🇳Chinese hackers ran massive campaign by tricking Claude's agentic AI.
Vibe hacking ran 80-90% of the operation without humans.
Massive scale (1000s of reqs/sec).
Agents ran complex multi-step tasks, shepherded by a human.
Long predicted. Welcome to the new world.
Fascinating report by @AnthropicAI 1/
2/ The old cybersecurity pitch: unpatched systems are the threat.
The next generation concern might be unpatched cognition.
The attacker jailbroke the cognitive layer of @anthropic's Claude code, successfully convincing the system of false intent (that it was a security exercise)
3/ One of the key points in @AnthropicAI's report is just how limited the human time required was to run such a large automated campaign.
Obviously powerful stuff, highlighting the impact of orchestration.
And concerning for the #cybersecurity world for all sorts of reasons, ranging from attack scale, adaptability & cost reductions...
A "damaging" leak of tools from a five eyes exploit developer?
Concerning. We need to know what's under this rug.
Big picture: "trusted, vetted" private sector players offensive cyber are not immune to losing control of tooling... with national security consequences 1/
2/ If true, a tooling leak at boutique firm Trenchant wouldn't be the first time that exploits from commercial offensive vendors wind up... in the wrong place.
Many questions.
In the meantime. Remember when Russian APT29..was caught with exploits first used by NSO & Intellexa?
3/ There will always be a push for states to turn towards the private sector to meet offensive needs.
It's appealing. For some, it's very lucrative.
But in practice it brings unavoidable counterintelligence & national security downside risk that shouldn't be downplayed.
NOW: US court permanently bans Pegasus spyware maker from hacking WhatsApp.
NSO Group can't help their customers hack @WhatsApp, etc ether. Must delete exploits...
Bad news for NSO. Huge competitive disadvantage for the notorious company.
Big additional win for WhatsApp 1 /
2/ Although the massive punitive damages jury award against NSO Group ($167m) got reduced by the court, as is expected in cases where it is so large (to 9x compensatory damages)...
This is likely cold comfort to NSO since I think the injunction is going to have a huge impact on the value of NSO's spyware product.
Comes as NSO Group has been making noises about getting acquired by a US investor & some unnamed backers...
3/ NSO also emerges from the @WhatsApp v NSO case with just an absolute TON of their business splashed all over the court records..