If for some reason the #SuezCanal blockage persists, shipping can divert.
Some oil will still flow through SUMED, but for everything else: global logistics madness. For example, US EIA calculates that a US tanker from KSA would add ~2,700 miles.
INBOX: seeking expert for media thing about #EVERGIVEN
ME: I'm not the maritime industry insider you need.
DETAIL: In college I briefly had the ambition to become a captain. Read the materials & crewed summers (e.g. tall ships) to build sea time for a license. Then moved on.
Geospatial companies have begun flexing on the #EVERGIVEN..
Curious? A Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) satellite zips along, beaming down radio waves. Some stuff reflects them (🚢 = bling), water not so much (🌊= dark). Classic radar.
Then antenna movement is leveraged to make a longer 'synthetic' antenna, getting you detail & dimension.
NEW: clearest-yet image of the #EVERGIVEN from @Maxar's WorldView-2 satellite.
The @Maxar image features the dredge. Doing what beyond trying to free the #EVERGIVEN's bow?
Likely opening up the not-usually-dredged & super shallow (blue) part of the canal by the vessel's bow.
NICE: friends @bellingcat have put together a neat little OSINT synthesis!
The moon is full & the tides are high, but Italian tug Carlo Magno is late for her date with #EVERGIVEN tonight.
Re-floating attempt postponed. Another will be made tomorrow.
(Dutch tug Alp Guard arrived on time)
Sources: SCA, vessel tracking. Pic: Reuters.
BREAKING: SERIOUS MOVEMENT HAPPENING NOW.
Latest AIS data shows that the #EVERGIVEN's stern has been dramatically pivoted off the #Suez Canal's Western wall.
Stern now appears to be in the channel.
I count 17 tugs & support vessels on scene right now.
If you want to see how hard they have strained on the #EVERGIVEN I've included some of their tracks here.
Nice indirect illustration of how much the ship has shifted.
Made a quick diagram. This is a big change from the initial stuck situation...but the navigation channel is still partially obstructed by the #EVERGIVEN
The #Suez Canal is not opening to vessel traffic just yet...
So @AP now has the “partially refloated” report about this movement.
But... I think it was the wise @mercoglianos who said "partially refloated" means still "partially stuck"
Be wary of OSINT-branded accounts recycling faked & old footage of airstrikes, explosions, interceptions etc.
It happens every time, but in New Twitter they have a direct financial incentive to push out inflammatory nonsense.
There's more 1/
2/ The annoying practice of some OSINT-branded accounts of repeating headlines ginned up & borrowed from somewhere without citation as if it's their own...
Is reckless & dangerous during fast moving conflict where there is huge potential for *consequential* misunderstandings.
3/ Exercise extreme caution in what you amplify & believe.
Twitter is awash with a flood tide of falsehoods tonight.
Some is the work of people trying to farm revenue.
And some is disinformation seeking to seed specific false perceptions.
3/ If you'd like to learn a bit more about why I recommend the Access Now Digital Security Helpline & what to do if you get a threat notification from @apple, this is a helpful resource: accessnow.org/help/access-no…