Latest EU vaccine stats:
- Exported: 77 mln (lion's share to UK, 21 mln)
- Delivered to EU: 88 mln, 62 mln administered
- By June: doses to fully vaccinate 255 mln people (even with AstraZeneca shortfalls)
- That's ~70% of EU adults but ~78% of Irish adults (we have more kids)
What are the proposed export controls?
- companies need a permit to export vaccines to some countries
- it can be refused if the company has an unfulfilled EU contract, if the destination country has a higher vaccination rate, or if it isn't exporting vaccines in turn to the EU
- govt of country where factory is located issues or refuses the permit. Commission has the final say
- if refused, doses remain the property of the pharma company; up to them to choose what to do next
- 92 Covax developing countries are exempted
- it could affect Israel, UK, US
🚨“Companies have to honour their contract to the EU before they export to other regions in the world. This is of course the case with AstraZeneca,” @vonderleyen announces.
"I think it is clear for the company that first of all the company has to catch up, has to honour the contract it has with the European member states, before it can engage again in exporting," @vonderleyen says.

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More from @NaomiOhReally

27 Mar
I'm told this is related to the large number of doses that were in the Rome finishing site
The background is that a Dutch factory waited until this week to apply for cert to supply the EU, for unexplained reasons. It was approved yesterday, bringing it into the EU AZ supply chain
The Dutch Halix site previously sent a small number of doses to Britain, the kind of amount you would send for quality control, before following with a big batch.
Then the EU introduced a system that would require AstraZeneca to request a permit to send any such batch to UK.
Next thing, Italian authorities find an unexpected trove of 29 million doses in a Rome finishing site.
AstraZeneca announced that 13 million of these were for Covax and 16 million were for the EU.
Read 6 tweets
25 Mar
Thread on a sub-fight at the European Council.
Austria appointed itself champion of countries that are lagging in vaccinations because they initially turned down Pfizer/Moderna jabs, and are now worse affected by AstraZeneca shortfalls.
A breakdown of EU vaccine rates is here: Image
There's an argument that 10 million extra doses that are coming from Pfizer shouldn't be given pro-rata, but instead weighted towards countries with more infections and less vaccines.
Austria champions this, but insists that it must be among the countries to get extra.
A glance at the chart shows why this argument from Vienna has not gone down well, and indeed has held up agreement on whether to divide according to need rather than population.
Read 6 tweets
17 Mar
Ursula von der Leyen says the EU has exported 44 million vaccine doses to 33 countries, and some countries that are receiving EU vaccines have blocked exports in the other direction (eg US).
The EU will evaluate whether to make exports conditional on reciprocity, she says...
In addition, the EU will evaluate whether to curb exports "to countries that have higher vaccination rates than us", European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announces.
Figures for EU vaccine deliveries from von der Leyen:
100 million in Q1 (Pfizer and Moderna as expected, AstraZeneca cut from 90mln to 30mln)
In Q2:
- 55 mln Johnson & Johnson
- 200 mln Pfizer (an increase)
- 30 mln Moderna
- 70 mln AstraZeneca (down from 180 mln)
Read 5 tweets
16 Mar
"We need to have the facts first, we cannot come to a conclusion until we have done a thorough scientific analysis," says the European Medicine Agency chief Emer Cooke. "We owe it to our citizens."
Safety committee met all last week, and received extra info it is examining today.
"A situation like this is not unexpected," EMA's Emer Cooke says, "when you vaccinate millions of people it’s inevitable" that there will be cases of illness.
The role of the EMA is to figure out "is it a real side effect of the vaccine, or is it a coincidence."
"Vaccines for Covid-19 help to protect individuals from becoming ill," EMA's Cooke says.
"While the investigation is ongoing, currently we are still firmly convinced that the benefits of the AstraZeneca vaccine in preventing Covid-19… outweigh the risks of these side effects."
Read 8 tweets
15 Mar
EMA says AstraZeneca benefits outweigh risks as more countries pause use of vaccine.
"The decision in Ireland has been driven by an abundance of caution," said @Paschald.
"I believe the right decision has been made." irishtimes.com/news/world/eur…
The EMA says it has been working with blood disorder experts, AstraZeneca and national regulators including Britain's to analyse the blood clotting incidents.
They are set to release conclusions on Thursday. Pending that, some national regulators made the decision to pause.
Authorities in Germany and Norway say the blood clotting rare, but there was a cluster in both countries of a specific unusual type.
This is what prompted regulators including Ireland's to pause AstraZeneca as a precaution.
Germany's regulator explains: pei.de/EN/newsroom/hp… Image
Read 4 tweets
23 Feb
AstraZeneca expects to deliver less than half of contracted second-quarter vaccines to EU -- a shortfall already taken into account that does not affect Ireland's vaccination schedule irishtimes.com/news/world/eur…
Looks like this Reuters report was old news that EU governments already knew about.
Came out at an unfortunate time for Ireland, muddying the announcement of the national vaccination schedule.
The European Commission tells me talks with Astrazeneca are ongoing and it expects deliveries to revised up, potentially by tapping production sources outside of Europe.
As it stands, Ireland expects to give 82% of adults at least one jab by end June irishtimes.com/news/world/eur…
Read 5 tweets

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