Biden press conference so far: he's doing fine. Rambling a bit, pivoting to key messages but sounding sensible and on top of his brief, and he's managed 15 minutes without insulting any of the journalists which makes a change from the last guy
Biden managing to avoid obvious traps, eg "are you worried the GOP's voter suppression will make it hard for Democrats to be elected?", he didn't say Yes but pivoted passionately to why the voter suppression is unfair instead
And on "do you expect to be running against Trump?" he said "I've no idea. I've no idea if there will still be a Republican party". He has a scatterbrained style and senior moments but he's sharp and on message.
Biden says our grandkids will be doing their PhDs on "who succeeded: autocracy or autocracy?" and how democracies can continue to compete in Fourth Industrial Revolution... Actual political theory from a President. It's been a while.
No obvious bad headlines from that Biden presser. On a Pass/Fail grade it was clearly a pass.

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More from @ariehkovler

24 Mar
Few thoughts on this:

1. The first messages about Jan 6 come just hours after Trump called for his supporters to come to DC that day. No Trump call, no mass protest, no Oath Keepers plot.
2. Now we'd think about this chatter (Emergency Broadcast System, Insurrection Act) as QAnon theories, but in November and December they were also a big part of what hardcore red hat MAGA was talking about. Trump told them they were going to win and they believed him.
I remain astonished that the FBI wasn't actively monitoring the Oath Keepers, 3%ers and Proud Boys. They were the obvious ringleaders here.
Read 4 tweets
23 Mar
All three initial exit polls in Israel predict Gidon Saar's New Hope party collapsing to just 5-6 seats, and Benny Gantz's Blue and White doing rather better than expected. Updated exit poll in two hours is usually a little more accurate, though.
In all three initial exit polls, Netanyahu's bloc has a one-seat majority. But Israeli exit polls aren't very accurate, so that doesn't mean all that much yet.
At the moment, the thing that could most dramatically change the balance of power would be the Ra'am party crossing the threshold, winning 4 seats and shifting the blocs.
Read 7 tweets
23 Mar
Israel's voting system – the actual, mechanical part of how people vote – is terrible. There's no ballot paper. At the polling station, each voter is given a voting envelope and walks to the booth, where they're faced with this:
Each party has its own slip, represented by a couple of letters. To vote, you put the slip of your chosen party in the envelope, and the envelope in the voting box.
Why the weird system? Partly because before widespread literacy, voters needed to remember which party they were voting for. Today perhaps they'd use symbols or logos instead. But the system had a more problematic purpose too:
Read 9 tweets
18 Mar
Wow. The far-right website Veterans Today is run by the Russian security services, according to US officials. That's huge. newsy.com/stories/u-s-ve…
Veterans Today was founded in 2003. It's accused Israel of being behind 9/11, hosted antisemites and conspiracy theorists for years. I'd call it far right, though it also pushes far-left conspiracies too.
VT's editor told @SashaIngber that the site is under investigation and that he's suspected of being a Russian agent, which he denies.
Read 6 tweets
17 Mar
How is QAnon handling Trump's call on Fox to get vaccinated? One major QAnon Telegram channel is pushing the message that Trump didn't mean it, he's only playing along to expose the pharma companies.
This message is... not popular. "How many will die because they believe every word out of trump's mouth?" says one antivax QAnoner, unironically. "Trump would not tell us to do this", says another.
That logic is taken further by QAnon influencer GhostEzra: Trump *didn't* say to take the vaccine, because it wasn't really Trump in the interview. Anyway, don't listen to Trump even if it is him, listen to Lin Wood(!). "Vaccines" is code for arrests.
Read 6 tweets
16 Mar
The tl;dr of the US Intel report into 2020 election meddling:

1. Russia tried to help Trump and smear Biden.
2. Iran tried to hurt Trump.
3. China sat this one out.
4. Other countries tried minor interference
5. Nobody messed with voting tallies

dni.gov/files/ODNI/doc…
The report again notes that one of the key Russian election influence campaigns was run by Andriy Derkach, who fed anti-Biden smears to Trump's personal lawyer, Rudi Giuliani.
Russia both smeared Biden and boosted Trump. Iran tried to damage Trump but didn't promote Biden.
Read 5 tweets

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