Atomsk's Sanakan Profile picture
Mar 27, 2021 1 tweets 1 min read Read on X
1/J

John Ioannidis published an article defending his low estimate of COVID-19's fatality rate.

It contains so many distortions that I'll try something I've never done on Twitter for a paper:

Go thru distortions page-by-page.

This will take awhile. 😑

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ec…Image

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More from @AtomsksSanakan

Dec 14
@hausfath Within the uncertainty range of IPCC 1990 First Assessment Report's 1990-2025 projection.

x.com/grok/status/19…
x.com/AtomsksSanakan…

"predicted rise from 1990 (to 2030) of 0.7–1.5 °C with a best estimate of 1.1 °C"
nature.com/articles/nclim…

page xxii
web.archive.org/web/2019031407… Image
@hausfath 1990-2025 warming trend is ~0.25°C/decade.

psl.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/data/a…

Implies ~0.9°C of global warming for 1990-2025, i.e. close to the projected average value of 1°C.

48:40 - 55:02 :
youtube.com/watch?v=C-gdab…

x.com/AtomsksSanakan…

The red arrow is 1990:
climate.metoffice.cloud/current_warmin… Image
@hausfath Still end up with ~0.25°C/decade when starting in 1995 to avoid cooling from the 1991 Mt. Pinatubo eruption.

"1993 was the low point of the post-Pinatubo cooling"
wattsupwiththat.com/2013/01/15/mat…

x.com/mattwridley/st…

x.com/AtomsksSanakan…

psl.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/data/a… Image
Read 6 tweets
Dec 7
1/F

Dr. Anthony Fauci complained about death threats to him, his family, public health experts + staff, etc.

This thread will cover some of the rhetoric that may have contributed to that, along with surrounding context.

1:43:53 - 1:47:40 :
2/F

Fauci is not alone in receiving threats.

For example, there's Dr. Nicole Kleinstreuer:

"Death threats to NIH official spark debate over aggressive campaign to end animal research"
science.org/content/articl…

x.com/AtomsksSanakan…

theguardian.com/us-news/articl… Image
3/F

Threats sometimes lead to physical harm.

"of 510 researchers who had published on SARS-CoV-2 or COVID-19, 38% acknowledged harassment ranging from personal insults to threats of violence"
journals.asm.org/doi/10.1128/jv…

doi.org/10.1016/j.puhi…

pbs.org/newshour/natio… Image
Read 21 tweets
Nov 7
1/M

The most secure position in science is one that's both:

1) supported by an evidence-based scientific consensus
2) disputed by Matt Ridley [@mattwridley]

This thread will provide some examples.

x.com/mattwridley/st…
x.com/mattwridley/st…

archive.is/zpiYp Image
2/M

Ridley shows how one can get away with being wrong on topic after topic, as long one states the paranoid ideological narrative many conspiracy theorists want to hear.

Others made this point, such as Dave Farina.

pubpeer.com/publications/D…

youtube.com/watch?v=C-gdab…
3/M

So on to the secure positions that are:
1) supported by an evidence-based scientific consensus
2) disputed by Matt Ridley [@mattwridley]

There's an ongoing multidecadal global warming trend of ~0.3°C/decade.

x.com/AtomsksSanakan…
x.com/AtomsksSanakan… Image
Read 51 tweets
Sep 14
@curryja If it's anything like Steven Koonin's 2014 op-ed in WSJ, then it's filled with ideologically-motivated misinformation and denialism.

archive.is/FTvi1

realclimate.org/index.php/arch…
realclimate.org/index.php/arch…

web.archive.org/web/2014121322…
[archive.is/v03kY] Image
@curryja About 30% more warming occurred during the first quarter of the 21st century than during the last quarter of the 20th century.

Models did fine.

agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/20…
x.com/AtomsksSanakan…
realclimate.org/index.php/clim…
x.com/hausfath/statu…

web.archive.org/web/2014121322… Image
Read 8 tweets
May 19
@grok @19joho @WSJopinion @mattwridley x.com/curryja/status…
x.com/curryja/status…

Ryan Maue:
"Use ERA5 or JRA-55"
archive.is/tAbpF#selectio…

archive.is/zsZIh#selectio…

"[...] according to ERA5 [...].
The increase for the last thirty years, from 1995 to 2024, is 0.26 ± 0.05°C per decade."
climate.copernicus.eu/climate-indica… Image
@grok @19joho @WSJopinion @mattwridley @grok Ridley predicted less than 0.5°C of warming.

"Matt Ridley's 2014 prediction that global warming from 1995 to 2025 would be about 0.5°C"
x.com/grok/status/19…

wsj.com/articles/matt-…
[archive.is/32FiP#selectio…] Image
@grok @19joho @WSJopinion @mattwridley Re: "The increase for the last thirty years, from 1995 to 2024, is 0.26 ± 0.05°C per decade"
climate.copernicus.eu/climate-indica…

Matches the ~0.3°C/decade projection Ridley attributed to climate models

"Whatever Happened to Global Warming?"
mattridley.co.uk/blog/whatever-…
[wsj.com/articles/matt-…] Image
Read 4 tweets

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