"I intend to continue doing what I and the government have done for the last give years, is making the progress, taking the decisions, making the investments to progress [closing attainment gap]" Nicola Sturgeon, FMQs, March 24th
Let's analyse some of this.
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➡️'Making the progress'
The FM talks about progress being made toward closing the attainment gap.
How accurate is it to claim progress has been made?
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While the latest Audit Scotland report does speak of 'limited progress', this disguises a wider pattern of very real failure.
For example, data shows that 93.3% of 2019-20 school leavers were in a “positive destination".
Looks great, right? But wait...
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The 93.3% figure is a DECREASE from 95% recorded in 2018/19.
This represents the lowest figure since 2014/15. Plus, the drop has been felt in greatest extent amongst those from most deprived areas.
No progress closing the attainment gap regarding positive destinations.
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The picture gets even worse if we look at the number of school leavers in employment.
That has collapsed from 22.9% in 2018/19 to 16.2% in 2019/20.
Again, I fail to see the 'progress' the First Minister was speaking of.
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But wait! Surely the pandemic is responsible for this?
The pandemic can't be blamed for the fact that Scotland's education system recorded its worst ever rating for maths, reading & science in 2016.
Scottish schools have been under-performing under the SNP for years.
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And where the attainment gap has narrowed...it's perhaps for the most terrible of reasons.
The rate of decline in achievement among wealthier pupils has been greater than the rate of continuing decline among poorer kids.
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Tom Harris, former Scottish Labour MP wrote in his column that, "In Scotland, a land which once boasted of having the best education system in the world, this is seen as progress. We’ll gladly settle for bringing the rich down instead of levelling up the poor"
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So I ask you all to think very hard, and ask yourselves, what progress is the First Minister talking about regarding closing the attainment gap on education?
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I did a thread not so long ago on the attainment gap statistics, it has more data across the board than this thread. I'd ask you to please read that for a deeper dive into this topic.
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FM spoke of the importance of equality of opportunity in her 2016 priorities for Gov speech: “It will help to create not just a fairer nation, but one that is wealthier, healthier and happier”
Let’s look at food insecurity & childhood health to see if she delivered.
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📈 Food Insecurity Rising 📈
The 2019 Scottish Health Survey showed that 9% of adults experienced food insecurity in the preceding 12 months.
While this is bad, it’s actually worse than you think.
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The percentage food insecurity was 8% in 2017. It actually increased to 9% in 2018 and has stayed there through 2019. So food insecurity got worse under the SNP 2017-2019.
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Let's try explain why the SNP are being so personal in their attacks on defectors to Alba; and what is worrying them.
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1. Even before Alba launched their party, it was touch and go if the SNP would even secure the necessary extra list MSPs they craved to land a majority.
You can see, even before Alba launched, the SNP list support had been dropping significantly since August last year.
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2. Constituency polling numbers over roughly the same time period have also been dropping.
SNP's fear that Alba dog-&-pony show could further erode SNP support on constituency. Divided parties lose elections, Alba stripping SNP of strategic control of media narrative.
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The Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) reveals Govanhill is ranked in the 10% ‘most deprived areas’ in income, education, housing and crime. Second most deprived in employment & health. (as of 2020)
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If we flip to the 2016 SIMD map, we also see huge amounts of 'most deprived 10%' deprivation, around Govanhill. Some progress has been made, but not much. Not enough for those suffering severe deprivation.
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"If the SNP is re-elected in May, we will make sure every school pupil from P1 to S6 gets a laptop, Chromebook or tablet." - Nicola Sturgeon, 28 March 2021
Why didn't she do this last April?
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'Thousands of laptops bought for vulnerable schoolchildren remain in storage', July 6th 2020
They weren't competent enough to distribute 25,000 laptops after spending £9m.
Well, Mr Salmond's talk about taking to the streets to obtain independence is precisely the sort of thing I had in mind; hurting Nicola Sturgeon & the SNP. [2/4]
'Alba technical fault reveals thousands of names who signed up for party events' reports the Sunday Herald.
And they report a few interesting names. [1/7]
The 'breach' happened because Alba Party website had a flaw in its design.
If someone registered to an Alba Party event on website, they were given a unique 'recruiter ID'. This ID allowed them to 'share' links to the Alba event with others, encourage them to also attend. [2/7]
"at least eight members of SNP's ruling body, National Executive Committee & its sub-committees appear to have registered for Alba events"
➡️Caroline McAllister - Alba 'recruiter' ID 1129
➡️Lynn Anderson - Alba 'recruiter' ID 1466
➡️Brian Lawson - Alba 'recruiter' ID 1019
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