So on March 10, Texas stopped their COVID mandate. We are now almost three weeks later. What have we seen?
Well...not much.
If there is increased spread, we aren't seeing it.
Mississippi did the same with masks earlier this month...and has been horrible through out the pandemic.
The surge never came.
Florida?
Nope.
Connecticut?
They actually removed the mask mandate and are seeing an increase!
So did the mask rule cause this?
Doesn't look like it.
Here is NY....which has a mask mandate.
Their chart looks virtually identical to CT.
New Jersey too.
So what does all this tell us?
That the mask mandate removal is not driving virus cases. Maybe there is something (like weather patterns) but the masks aren't the key factor.
I still recommend wearing masks...but common sense above all else.
Masks probably work on the margins. But they aren't some magic wand, and they are not, certainly, the primary driving force in what is driving infection curves.
Especially now, after the vaccine.
Be smart. Mask when appropriate.
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So, the US is improving. Brazil is a disaster. Europe is hitting its third wave.
What about India?
India appears to be entering a new wave, which is interesting for a bunch of reasons.
First, lets note that case numbers are spiking. And this is problematic, because India really hasn't vaccinated that many people (less than 4% have received a single dose).
Deaths are a lagging indicator, but the wave appears to be starting.
The biggest problem with rules after vaccination is that it really, really depends on common sense.
Mandates aren't going to work.
If you tell vaccinated people (who often had two shots, and maybe fever and pain) that they still have to live life EXACTLY the same as before... That is a tough sell.
Scientifically, it's bets of everyone wore masks.
But we live in a society, with humans. Not robots. And we have to accept people are emotional, social beings. Ignoring fact undermines policy.
Pharmaceutical companies have come to the world’s rescue with Covid vaccines, but the Biden Administration is under pressure to steal their patents. wsj.com/articles/watch… via @WSJOpinion
I think this is right, for a myriad of reasons:
1. Opening up these patents really isn't going to increase short or mid term supply of vaccine. The supply of raw materials needed is scarce. It would take at least a year, or two, for these countries to expand production.
2. If we want to vaccinate the world....WE CAN AND SHOULD. The cost would be minimal, and the benefits would be huge (STAMP A US FLAG ON EVERY DOSE!).
3. Bush's AIDS program, PEPFAR, is the obvious model for this.