1. There’s a common incredibly lazy critique of Larry Krasner among those infected with the “tough on crime” fever that basically boils down to “Krasner is a reformer therefore he is responsible for an increase in shootings in Philly.” It’s just so obviously false.
2. Setting aside the fact that shootings have been on the rise in other cities – which should complicate that narrative – let’s take a look at shootings in Philly. The data is quite striking.
3. Here are fatal shootings. Krasner became DA in January 2018. Note that he has prosecuted more than 99% of the fatal shootings that have ended in an arrest. BUT ALSO NOTE, PHILLY POLICE MAKE AN ARREST IN FEWER THAN 40% OF FATAL SHOOTINGS. 
4. The same is true of non-fatal shootings. Krasner has prosecuted more than 98% of the non-fatal shootings that have ended in an arrest. But also note, PHILLY POLICE MAKE AN ARREST IN ~20% OF NON-FATAL SHOOTINGS.
5. It is just absurd and so incredibly lazy to say “aha the reformer Krasner’s decision to give people several decades in prison as opposed to life” is the cause of shootings as opposed to “the Philly police RARELY SOLVE SHOOTINGS.”
6. Krasner is imposing *extremely harsh* penalties on those arrested for shootings. But the problem is Philly police are TERRIBLE at their most basic function. They rarely bother to solve shootings, even homicides.
7. The TYPICAL HOMICIDE and TYPICAL SHOOTING in Philly ends in **NOT EVEN A SINGLE DAY OF INCARCERATION.** Not one day. But that is caused by the fact that the Philly Police – many of whom talk like “tough on crime” macho guys – are terrible at their most basic function.
8. Maybe everyone should stop blaming shootings on the reformer and instead start blaming the police who – despite their tough talk – are responsible for the fact that the median length of incarceration for shootings in Philly is zero days.
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