@ModelQ23@ConwayYen "What's the difference between gross margin and operating margin?"
A lot
Let's see if I can illustrate it clearly enough with my existing slides on the Auto business
1. In the picture here we can see the average selling price of a Tesla car in 2020 Q3 as $54,523
@ModelQ23@ConwayYen 2. The two Red parts of the bar represent the Cost of Goods
Which is all of the direct costs of actually making the vehicle, including :
- Raw Materials
- Parts and Components
- Energy
- Labor
- Equipment
- Factory
- Manufacturing Overhead including Factory Management
@ModelQ23@ConwayYen 3. Most of those are Costs that get paid in Cash at the time of production
- but the Factory Buildings and Equipment had to be built in advance so they are already paid for and instead get charged as a non-Cash Depreciation charge to "recover" those investments
@ModelQ23@ConwayYen 4. Here are the numbers for each of the automakers that would go into making that chart
First, the total number of vehicles that they sold
@ModelQ23@ConwayYen Second, the Automotive Revenues from selling those vehicles
@ModelQ23@ConwayYen Third, the Revenue per Vehicle that comes out of those two numbers
- that gives us the "top line" on a per vehicle basis
@ModelQ23@ConwayYen Fifth, the Automotive Cost of Goods per Vehicle can then be calculated by dividing the total Automotive Cost of Goods by the Number of Vehicles
@ModelQ23@ConwayYen Sixth, when we deduct that Automotive Cost of Goods from the Automotive Revenues we get the Automotive Gross Profit
- which is that White area shown at the top of the left-hand bar on the first chart that we started with above
@ModelQ23@ConwayYen Seventh, we can calculate that Automotive Gross Profit on a per Vehicle basis by dividing with the number of Vehicles
@ModelQ23@ConwayYen Eighth, some OEMs include their R&D Costs in their Cost of Goods Sold but others do not
So to make the numbers consistent we take out the R&D Costs and come back to them in a later part of the analysis
@ModelQ23@ConwayYen Ninth, so far we have shown these numbers in Dollars, but it is typically more useful to show them as a percentage of Revenues
- and for any industry we call this the "Gross Margin"
- it is the percent of Revenues left over after taking into account the actual Product Costs
@ModelQ23@ConwayYen 5. So now we should be able to say that we know what "Gross Margin" is
To get to "Operating Margin" we need to deduct the other Operating Costs, which are typically :
- R&D
- Marketing
- Selling
- Administration
- and General costs
The last four are often called "Overhead"
@ModelQ23@ConwayYen 6. These are reported as company-wide costs and may not just be for the Automotive business, depending on each company
Here are the R&D Costs in total Dollars
@ModelQ23@ConwayYen And here are the same R&D Costs in percent of Automotive Revenues
- again we have adjusted the numbers so that R&D Costs are separated out and shown consistently as a separate category in the previous charts
@ModelQ23@ConwayYen And here are the same Overhead Costs as a percent of Automotive Revenues
@ModelQ23@ConwayYen 8. Now if you simply subtract those Costs for R&D and Overhead from the Gross Profit calculated earlier, you will get the Operating Profit
Which shows you the real profitability of the company
- at least before counting Interest Income and Expense, any other Stuff, and Taxes
@ModelQ23@ConwayYen And we can do the same thing in terms of percentages of Revenue, which are easier to compare across companies of different sizes
This is what we call "Operating Profit Margin" or OPM
@ModelQ23@ConwayYen 9. Just to complete the story, there are several other things that still need to happen to a company's profits
First is the deduction of any other Costs and Net Interest Expense and Income Taxes
This will leave us with the company's Reported Net Income
@ModelQ23@ConwayYen Second, there are some further adjustments to this Net Income profit that get made in the "Statement Of Comprehensive Income"
- like Foreign Exchange adjustments
- and the Pension Liability adjustments that VW frequently makes
And this leaves us with the Comprehensive Income
@ModelQ23@ConwayYen Comprehensive Income is the most realistic representation of a company's true profits in their financial statements
But it is not necessarily the same as the change in their Shareholders Equity because of Dividend Payouts, Stock Buybacks, and Capital Raises
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3. Visualizing a Successful Outcome, they would have held a Competitive Duopoly with all the Advantages which that can be expected to bring
This combination of factors is leading to a broad-based failure of the Japanese Automobile Industry
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What can we learn from this ?
Now consider an alternative scenario where the Japanese Government had instead been inspired to get out ahead of BEV Supply Chain issues during the last two decades, and successfully solve for all of raw material and technology needs of BEVs
According to Colorado Public Radio, the state is considering a "Vehicle Exchange Colorado” program to give participants an instant $6,000 point of sale rebate on a new electric or plug-in hybrid vehicle cleantechnica.com/2023/05/31/col…
Or a $4,000 rebate for a used electric or plug-in hybrid vehicle
"It’s a really exciting new program,” said Carrie Atiyeh, senior program manager at the Colorado Energy Office
"This is something that is going to be new for the state"
To qualify, drivers would need to trade in a conventional car with an internal combustion engine that burns either gasoline or diesel
The vehicle needs to be a model year 2011 or older, or have failed a state vehicle emissions test
How can Apple AAPL shareholders expect to maintain the High P/E of a Growth company in a world where the Company's business has clearly become mature ?
Here is Apple's Press Release on their latest Quarterly Results
"The Company posted quarterly revenue of $94.8 billion, down -3% year over year, and quarterly earnings per diluted share of $1.52, unchanged year over year"
“We generated strong operating cash flow of $28.6 billion while returning over $23 billion… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
“Given our confidence in Apple’s future and the value we see in our stock, our Board has authorized an additional $90 billion for share repurchases"
"We are also raising our quarterly dividend for the eleventh year in a row"
PepsiCo will enter at least one of its Tesla Semis in the Run On Less trucking industry event running for three weeks starting September 11, the company confirmed on Wednesday insideevs.com/news/665498/fi…
The event showcases advances in freight efficiency, and will provide the first independent performance data for Tesla's all-electric Class 8 semi-truck, according to Automotive News
"We're really excited to participate in the run and allow the industry to have access to the insights and the learnings that we are getting from experiencing these vehicles"