If somebody had asked me in 2019, what my biggest concerns for the future were, I would have said war and disease.
Disease, because a pandemic is always inevitable, and unpredictable. Is the field of medicine progressing fast enough to outrun the evolution of pathogens? 1/4
Disease, because a pandemic is always inevitable, and unpredictable. Is the field of medicine progressing fast enough to outrun the evolution of pathogens? 1/4
https://twitter.com/bhalomanush/status/1377662483163451392
Looking back, the way we have handled the Covid pandemic is positive, provided it is because we have progressed in the field of medicine and not because as a disease, Covid is less dangerous than H1N1. What toll would Spanish flu have taken had it come a century later? 2/4
If the marmot/13th century origin of the plague in medieval Europe is correct, there is a line of improvement from plague to H1N1 to SARS-Cov-2. So, here's hoping we are on the right track in outrunning pathogens. 3/4
As for war, the probability will increase with increase in food prices. Fortunately, the food prices have dropped from 2011-2012 highs. However, once economy improves, so will the food prices and so will the probability of war. A societal depression is inevitable. 4/4 
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