15 new cases were reported in the region today: 1 in each PEI and Newfoundland and Labrador, 3 in Nova Scotia, and 10 in New Brunswick.
8/15 were traced at time of reporting (oof).
There are now 182 known, active cases in Atlantic Canada.
PEI reported 1 new case, a close contact of an existing case.
There are now 13 known, active cases in PEI.
NL reported 1 new travel-related case in the Central health region.
There are now 4 known, active cases in NL.
NB reported 10 new cases today: 1 travel-related case in the Moncton area and 9 in the Edmundston area (3 close contacts of existing cases and 6 still under investigation).
There are now 141 known, active cases in NB.
Updated restrictions and case levels map as well as health region level timeline with the Edmundston area emphasized.
Edmundston is about a week into it's latest outbreak. The trend line is starting to come down.
Hoping it's resolved by this time next week (speculative).
NS reported 3 new cases today: 1 travel-related in the province's Western zone and 2 in the Halifax area (1 related to travel and 1 close contact of an existing case).
There are now 24 known, active cases in NS.
Here's the updated pandemic timeline for the Atlantic region and surrounding areas, with each tick being a week since the first week of March 2020.
Provincial and Territorial Vaccine Roll-Out
Top of the ribbon is doses distributed, bottom is doses administered.
The higher the ribbon goes, the more people are being vaccinated. The wider it gets, the more doses sit unused.
National ribbon outlined in black.
Vaccine Roll-Out Metrics
1st graph is percent of distributed doses that have been used.
2nd graph shows how many days since each province had enough doses to cover their current usage.
3rd graph shows percent of eligible population that is newly vaccinated each day
This animation shows each province's vaccination pace as a percent of the pace they need to each 80% first dose coverage by the end of June (based on how many they have already vaccinated and how much time is left).
Older data becomes less visible over time.
The percent of the eligible population covered by at least one dose is going up pretty quickly.
% eligible with at least one dose / % eligible that can get a first dose with what's in storage right now:
BC: 15.2% / 5.1%
AB: 14.9% / 1.7%
SK: 16.5% / 0.0%
MB: 11.4% / 5.8%
ON: 15.0% / 1.3%
QC: 18.8% / 4.2%
NB: 12.4% / 4.2%
NS: 8.8% / 6.5%
NL: 13.1% / 3.6%
PEI: 11.5% / 4.1%
That's it for tonight's update.
Data reporting by the provinces may be spotty over the weekend, so I'm not sure there will be a report until Monday.
Tomorrow I'll be doing a thread summarizing all the Canadian provinces/territories at the health region level...
...and on Saturday I'll do my usual US/Canada comparisons, assuming the data isn't completely broken.
Have a great rest of the night!
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For all the graphs, I have the national range in the background in grey: the bottom is the lowest per capita rate by any health region and the top is the highest per capita rate.
Quick thread on vaccines, outbreaks, and why *who* is vaccinated as much as how many (although both are very important)
There's a pre-print out that gives estimates (based on sero-prevalence) of the probability of needing to go to the hospital or dying if infected with SARS-CoV-2 for a series of age brackets: medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
If you know a population's age structure, you can somewhat estimate what an outbreak of a given number of infections will look like in terms of number of hospitalizations and deaths.
And if you know vaccine coverage, you can update those estimates for those effects, too.