NASA just released some interesting preliminary data from their instrumentation onboard the #Mars2020 lander that delivered #Perseverance
Here’s a quick thread w some thoughts
[TLDR: Mars entry is HOT, but we made the heat shield too big (again)]
So to start, let’s turn back the clock to 2012. While you were watching The Walking Dead and the London Olympics, the good folks at NASA were measuring the aerothermal environment of Mars entry for the Mars Science Laboratory (MSL Curiosity) mission
They did this with an instrumentation suite called “MEDLI” which stands for Mars Entry, Descent, & Landing Instrumentation
This contained, among other things, a bunch of heat transfer, pressure, and temperature measurement devices in and around the MSL heat shield
One of my favorite anecdotes about the difficulties of modeling hypersonic heat rates and ablation comes from MEDLI
NASA scientists designed a clever experiment to measure the rate of heat shield recession (it basically burns off) during Mars entry using thermocouples onboard
The idea was that as the heat shield material burned away (this is more technically called ablation) the thermocouples would stop transmitting a signal as they were destroyed. So if you bury the thermocouples at different depths in the heat shield, you measure recession. Smart
The only problem was that we overpredicted the heat transfer rates for MSL & built a heat shield that didn’t lose that much material. So even the first, shallowest thermocouple (8% depth) was not destroyed.
Notice how the thermocouple with the red dashed line (model) falls off but the solid line (measurement) doesn’t? This is showing how the simulations predicted significantly more ablation (and temp rise) from turbulent heating than what occurred
Fast forward to present-day, and NASA released some top-line results from the MEDLI2 instrumentation suite installed on the Mars 2020 capsule
While more publications will surely follow, you can read more in this initial release here: mars.nasa.gov/news/8903/sens…
A lot to unpack here already, but a few things jumped out
1) This thing got really hot! And we would expect that for hypersonic entry on Mars, but it’s still impressive to see temperature measurements made on another planet of 1,000 °C (correlating to vehicle surface T 1,400 °C)
2) We did a good job predicting pressure. This is a little easier to get than say heat transfer, so perhaps expected, but instills some confidence in modeling nonetheless
3) We repeated the same heat shield recession measurement with the buried thermocouples from the OG MEDLI and we STILL didn’t burn up the first thermocouple!
So after two missions we still don’t have recession data and we’re clearly making massive heat shields 🤯
I do wonder how intentional this was. Based on lessons learned from MSL did we try to get away with slimming down the heat shield? Or did we just stick with what worked and accept the weight penalty? I might need to do some reading but it’s curious 🤔
Okay I think they basically used the same design as MSL/Curiosity and were even planning to use the spare heat shield from that mission until it fractured during testing
Aside from the fact that you can't just wave a wand and get to Mars in 3 years (there's only one more launch window between now and then: Q4 2026)
You simply CANNOT close NASA Ames
That site has a concentration of some of the most in-demand test infrastructure in the world. Stuff we (sadly) will probably never build again. Would set US defense and space testing capability back decades just to score some political points (California BAD! NASA engineers LAZY!)
Take for example the National Full-Scale Aerodynamics Wind Tunnel Complex
Comprised of the two largest wind tunnels in the world. Basically the only places you can test aircraft at full scale
40 ft x 80 ft and 80 ft x 120 ft wind tunnels. Absolutely INSANE
There's the arc jet complex
This is really the best way we have to test thermal protection materials for space and defense applications
Wanna go to Mars? You need these
There are fewer than 10 high-throughput arc jets in the US. Ames has 4
So, if I understand correctly, it sounds like GE has successfully tested a turbine-based combined-cycle engine that incorporates: 1) gas turbine; 2) rotating detonation engine; 3) ramjet; 4) scramjet 🤯
As we approach what may be a historic Starship flight test, this Reuters report is really, really bad
No excuses: as arguably the number one launch provider *in the world* the safety culture at SpaceX has to be better. They should be setting the standard (in a good way)
If we are going to continue giving them billions annually in taxpayer dollars, they can’t keep treating workers like disposable meat puppets
And yes before you ask these numbers are much worse than industry averages
This is an absolutely total systematic failure that goes beyond SpaceX—NASA has some explaining to do about how they allowed SpaceX to operate in their own backyard allowing a > 20% injury rate
If you're ever frustrated by someone with a PhD acting like a know-it-all outside their niche field of study, just remember that Albert Einstein tried to design an airfoil but it performed so poorly during testing it's flight characteristics were compared to a "pregnant duck"
HT to @milan_tomicc for reminding me of this the other day
For a bit more technical insight, bottom line is that Einstein designed this entirely using Bernoulli theory.
Stall at 12deg AoA @ 92 L/D
He later confessed he was "ashamed" and "this is what can happen to a man that thinks a lot but reads little"
Am I being unreasonable in thinking that "clearing the launch pad" (that everyone knew would be destroyed) is a bit of a low bar for arguably the most successful launch company *ever*?
There are tons of insanely smart, hard-working, talented people there
NASA needs Starship to put boots on the moon
So I expect more than what we got yesterday
When some brand new startup or a university rocket club sends their rocket into a death spiral at T+4min we all pat them on the back and say "space is hard" and "you'll figure it out"
I hold SpaceX (and NASA) to a much higher standard. SpaceX is better than this. It wasn't ready