This area's been the main front line in Jalisco Cartel v Cárteles Unidos battle for years
All levels of gov are well aware of it, also of the humanitarian crisis incl. hundreds of displaced civilians
But none has an interest to make this a story, esp. vis-à-vis 6 June elections
The National Guard, fed gov's flagship security institution, is around but refrains from protecting
Contacts from both criminal sides say it actively intervenes only to favor one side over the other, e.g. by sending the occasional helicopter, allowing certain lines to be held
Activists looking to protect & assist displaced persons describe a scenario in which National Guard, other state actors, and illegal armed groups take agreed-upon turns in "using" the territory - for showing presence and making war, respectively
Media will report when a certain spectacle of violence is reached, but do not investigate state-crime entanglements that have rendered this and other regionalized armed conflicts perpetual
Law and state action continue to be negotiable, undermining implementation of any policy
Armed group contact says C. Unidos are looking for a truce with Jalisco by giving up one of their allies & a patch of territory. While uncertain, this could bring down violence in the short term. But such deals are always volatile, far from anything resembling a durable solution
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
El Aguaje sits on a key overland road connecting the Hot Land region w/ the Sierra Madre, and was once a stronghold of the Milenio Cartel, big-time coke runners in the 90s/early 2000s. They had built modernist narco-mansions here, very untypical w/out the usual greco-roman kitsch
When I went for research in 2011, Milenio drug lords had been literally dragged out of their villas and executed, when from 2004 Los Zetas and later La Familia took over.
Then came Federal Police&Military offensives under Calderón, and thus true scenes of war.