18 new cases were reported in the region today: 9 each in New Brunswick and Nova Scotia.
17/18 were traced at the time of reporting.
There are now 195 known, active cases in Atlantic Canada.
PEI didn't update their numbers today, leaving them with 13 known, active cases.
NL likewise didn't update their numbers today due to the holiday.
There are 4 known, active cases in NL.
NB reported 9 new cases, all in the Edmundston region.
Of these, 8 were close contacts of existing cases and 1 is still under investigation.
There are now 147 known, active cases in NB.
Updated case levels/restrictions map, and health region level timeline for NB with Edmundston emphasized.
Things continuing to improve (gradually!) in the Edmundston region. Fingers crossed.
NS reported 9 new cases today: 5 in the Western zone and 4 in the Halifax area. All were related to travel.
The 5 in the Western zone appear to be a group of international travelers entering together, explaining the uptick.
There are now 31 known, active cases in NS.
Here is the updated pandemic timeline for the Atlantic region and surrounding areas.
That one group of travelers today was enough to (barely) tick the NS Western zone to being visible on the map.
That 0.5 per 100k pop cutoff is unforgiving.
Provincial and Territorial Vaccine Roll-Out
Top of the ribbon is doses distributed, bottom is doses administered.
The higher the ribbon goes, the more people are being vaccinated. The wider it gets, the more doses sit unused.
National ribbon outlined in black.
Vaccine Roll-Out Metrics
1st graph is percent of distributed doses that have been used.
2nd graph shows how many days since each province had enough doses to cover their current usage.
3rd graph shows percent of eligible population that is newly vaccinated each day.
NL continues its efforts to make my vaccine graphs unreadable.
This animation shows each province's vaccination pace as a percent of the pace they need to each 80% first dose coverage by the end of June (based on how many they have already vaccinated and how much time is left).
Older data becomes less visible over time.
Here is the percent of the eligible population that has received at least one dose (2nd graph shows the Territories).
% eligible with at least one dose / % eligible that can get a first dose with what's in storage right now:
BC: 15.9% / 4.6%
AB: 15.4% / 5.5%
SK: 17.2% / 3.4%
MB: 11.9% / 8.8%
ON: 15.7% / 4.4%
QC: 19.4% / 3.6%
NB: 13.2% / 7.0%
NS: 9.3% / 9.4%
NL: 13.1% / 3.6%
PEI: 11.5% / 4.1%
Quebec about to hit 20% vaccinated - very cool!
That's it for tonight's update.
I was planning on doing a all-Canadian summary thread, but I want to get all my ducks in a row and will just do it tomorrow.
Have a great rest of the night!
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For all the graphs, I have the national range in the background in grey: the bottom is the lowest per capita rate by any health region and the top is the highest per capita rate.
Quick thread on vaccines, outbreaks, and why *who* is vaccinated as much as how many (although both are very important)
There's a pre-print out that gives estimates (based on sero-prevalence) of the probability of needing to go to the hospital or dying if infected with SARS-CoV-2 for a series of age brackets: medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
If you know a population's age structure, you can somewhat estimate what an outbreak of a given number of infections will look like in terms of number of hospitalizations and deaths.
And if you know vaccine coverage, you can update those estimates for those effects, too.