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The Reckoning 💥 Profile picture
@sethjlevy
Apr 4, 2021 • 6 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
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More from @sethjlevy

The Reckoning 💥 Profile picture
Jul 18
1/ Let’s talk about what we know about the entire career of Joseph Robinette Biden Jr. and how that informs this moment that he finds himself in.
2/ Joe Biden has spent a career leveraging his office to bring in money to his family.

He’s corrupt.

But he’s corrupt in a very particular way.

He sends his son and his brother out into the world to negotiate “business” deals.
3/ But… Hunter doesn’t call Joe “big guy” for nothing.

Hunter doesn’t put Joe on the phone with business opportunities for no reason.

You’ve seen Hunter, do you honestly believe he’s the one negotiating with the Chinese Communist Party?

No.

It’s Joe.

Obviously.
Read 14 tweets
The Reckoning 💥 Profile picture
Jul 12
Listen, it’s been fun mocking Biden.

And yes he’s old and decrepit.

But the media is lazy.

They want to pin where the race is on the debate and Biden’s mental decline.

Even if you accept the story about a progression that started 6 months ago, Trump was already ahead then. Image
So the debate is not the why.

Trump is ahead for other reasons.

Like immigration.

Like economic issues like inflation, energy and interest rates.

Like foreign policy.

Trump is ahead because the electorate wants a return to a Trumpian reality.

And Biden is decrepit.
What did Biden say about these core issues today at his press conference?

He said they’re all going great and if you don’t realize that then you’re stupid.

It was an arrogant and self absorbed portrayal of the country.

There was nothing to change or fix.

Just stay the course.
Read 4 tweets
The Reckoning 💥 Profile picture
Sep 14, 2023
It is possible that a tape exists that makes clear that Biden was fully aware of what Hunter was doing and reveals that at a minimum Joe was aligned with him.

In that scenario, it is possible that the powers behind the scenes are effectively already conceding the Presidency.
If that tape truly exists, it is my speculation that Trump knew it existed way back in 2020. But at that time, after the impeachment and in the middle of Covid, there wasn’t any real way to effectively prosecute the case. At that time, it would have been perceived as Trump abusing his power to hurt Joe. Now it’s not a story about Trump abusing power because Trump isn’t at the helm. Instead it is properly received and understood as a story about Biden’s corruption.
If you go back over the last six months this feels like a slow and purposeful role out. So many things link to other things and you either have to believe Republicans keep getting lucky with one thing after another or this was all known in advance.
Read 6 tweets
The Reckoning 💥 Profile picture
Aug 23, 2023
🧵

Let’s discuss what each candidate needs to get done at the debate tonight.

For each person the expectations and goals is mostly a function of their current position and their short term and long term goals. /1
Given the amount of media consumed with Trump coverage, this may be their only chance to get their message out to a broader audience.

Only a few, like Tim Scott and DeSantis, have the means to put up ads in volume.

Tonight is crucial if they hope to break out from the pack. /2
DeSantis:

No one has more on the line than Ron.

It’s not just that he has to reverse his decline, it’s that all his viability chips are in the Iowa caucus basket.

Does he need to win Iowa? Not necessarily. But he needs to over perform and close most of the gap with Trump. /3
Read 16 tweets
The Reckoning 💥 Profile picture
Aug 16, 2023
The “unite the country” theme is exactly wrong for this moment in time.

Both tactically and politically.

You don’t unite with people who support the corrupt abuse of power to destroy you.

This is a political war. We’re in the midst of battle.

You unite when the war is done
Does anyone believe that as you tear down the administrative state and reform the FBI/DOJ with the media pitching a daily fit that the 50% of the country that supports Democrats are going to seek to unite with you?

We need to fight.

We need a fighter.
Ron keeps promoting his accomplishments in Florida but any honest description of those accomplishments has to acknowledge that in Florida you have all of the political and legislative forces aligned with him, not against him.

And he has a mostly compliant media infrastructure.
Read 10 tweets
The Reckoning 💥 Profile picture
Aug 7, 2023
Since Bill Barr has been in the media so much lately, I think this is a good time for me to write my wrap up on my Spygate speculation.

I’ll say this right up front, I stand by everything I wrote.

Not just the predictions but also the analysis.

Let’s go through it. /1
Early on, after Trump fired Comey and when everyone was screaming how Mueller would destroy Trump, I speculated that Trump actually was hoping to receive what I termed a “clean bill of health”. Meaning he saw value in a person like Mueller proclaiming there was no collusion. /2
To this day Trump uses “No collusion!” in his narrative around all of the hoaxes. In fact it’s one of the most powerful weapons he has in undermining the current prosecutions by showing how from the start, all of the attacks have been baseless. /3
Read 17 tweets

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