In press at @apsrjournal: "Partisan polarization is the primary psychological motivation behind political fake news sharing on Twitter" (psyarxiv.com/v45bk). We find that fake news sharers are not less reflected or literate. They just hate the other party more. 🧵[1/13]
Method: We received permission from 2,300 survey users collected by YouGov to scrape their Twitter accounts. We matched their tweets against lists of "fake news" and "real news" web domains and categorized them according to their political slant. [2/13]
How much is shared? Consistent with prior work, fake news seems a small problem. 3 % of tweets link to a fake news domain & only 1 % of the panelists share 75 % of all fake news. Most fake news stories are pro-Republican. Most real news, in contrast, are pro-Democrats. [3/13]
Who shares? We examined 3 accounts: (1) Ignorance (e.g., reflection, knowledge and digital literacy), (2) disruption (e.g., trolling) and (3) polarization (e.g., hatred of the other party). Measures are coded such that *positive* coeffs are consistent with the account. [4/13]
Results: No support for the role of ignorance in these data; some support for disruption; & strong support for polarized sentiments. BUT: (1) The same factors are associated with *real* news sharing. (2) Outparty hatred is better predictor for sharing of pro-Rep. sources. [5/13]
How to explain the symmetry in fake & real news sharing? For partisans, fake news is simply another (but extreme) source of "useful" info for denigration. Thus, partisanship is a stronger predictor when moving towards these extreme ends of the partisan news spectrum. [6/13]
Similarly, there is a strong overlap in those sharing links to fake news sources and those sharing linkes to strongly partisan but real news sources. [7/13]
How to explain the asymmetry between Dems and Reps in fake news sharing? To this end, we analyzed all shared news headlines for sentiment and whether they were about Dems or Reps. We replicated this for all 500,000 news stories published on the websites in the same period. [8/13]
Our analysis suggets that, for Republicans, fake news sources are simply much more *useful* then for Democrats. Dems can find negative news stories about Reps in mainstream media. To find very negative news about Dems, Reps need to go beyond the mainstream. [10/13]
As discussed, this doesn't necessarily imply that there is strong media bias. It could reflect a "bias in reality". But it does suggest that Dems and Reps are not psychologically different & cares equally about truth (which, however, may not be alot for strong partisans). [11/13]
Overall, this shows that "fake news" is partisan business-as-usual: A search for info to denigrate opponents. While a small problem in itself, "fake news" is thus a canary-in-the-coalmine: Revealing the massively polarized sentiments that currently drives all news sharing [12/13]
We surveyed experiences of victims in 30 countries across the world (N=15,202) to show that political & economic inequality drive global differences in abuse on online platforms:
Our preregistered study show that experiences of being a victim to online hostility vary widely. West Europeans experience political hostility less than once a month but hostility is much higher in other parts of the world. 2/12
These differences reflect basic societal conditions of inequality. Political equality (i.e., presence of democracy) is highly correlated with online abuse (corr = -.69) as is economic inequality (corr = .45). 3/12
“The unvaccinated, I really want to piss them off. And so, we’re going to continue doing so, until the end. That’s the strategy,” said Macron during the COVID-19 pandemic
In a new article, we show the risks of such moralized cost-imposition:
Similar, but less strong, rethoric was used by the Danish primeminister during a press conference on Nov 8, 2021.
During the time, we collected daily representative surveys of trust in the response etc. in the @HopeProject_dk. 2/7
@HopeProject_dk Our findings show that, as result of the press conference, unvaccinated lost 11 %-points of trust in the response. It also decreased their motivation to contribute to the collective action problem of reducing infections as well as their felt ability to cope with the pandemic. 3/7
I was asked by the board of the Danish National Research Foundation, @GrundforskFond, to give a talk at their annual meeting.
They asked me to talk under the theme: "Preprints"
Here is what I said 👇
🧵 1/18
@GrundforskFond A key challenge facing the dissemination of knowledge is delays in publication ().
The social sciences are hard hit. 18 months from submission to publication in Economics & this is only *if* the paper is accepted in that journal. 2/18 sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
@GrundforskFond The evidence suggest that the delay is getting worse, not better, over time (). This is mostly due to increased time in review.
@concitoinfo Tal fra @ HopeProject_dk viser, at der ikke er helt aMMW konsensus om hårde instrumenter som skatter og afgifter, men selv er der kun ca. 30 %, der er uenige: 3/8 https://t.co/yV5W77QaHxgithub.com/Hopeproject202…
The Danish government has appointed me to direct a 5-year audit of Danish democracy in the 21st century: ufm.dk/aktuelt/presse…
Political scientists can think of Dahl's classic, "Who Governs?", but for an entire country. It is a monumental research challenge.
🧵 1/5
Parliament-initiated studies of power & democracy constitute a Scandinavian tradition. The last Danish study ended in 2003. In the following year Facebook was launched & fundamental societal changes have happened since. 2/5
A core focus is thus how and whether "slow-speed" democracy is fundamentally threatened by current "high-speed" society -- characterised by rapid technological innovation, increasing problem complexity, fast-paced media reporting & rising inequality. 3/5
I denne tråd skitserer jeg det, der ligger forude, og nogle af de udfordringer, som demokratiet står foran i det 21. århundrede.
🧵 1/14
Magtudredninger er en særlig skandinavisk tradition, hvor parlamentet beder uafhængige forskere om at vurdere om de - og andre magtaktører - lever op til demokratiets idealer og udstyrer forskerne med væsentlige ressourcer til den opgave. 2/14
Én gang tidligere har man gennemført en magtudredning i DK (magtudredningen.dk). Bl.a. under overskriften "et ganske levende demokrati" konkluderede man, at DKs demokrati var robust, og at forskydningerne af magt i høj grad var politisk bestemte & dermed under kontrol. 3/14