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Apr 4, 2021 19 tweets 11 min read Read on X
Today in the #AtlanticBubble

18 new cases were reported in the region today: 7 in Nova Scotia and 11 in New Brunswick.

11/19 were traced at the time of reporting (ooof)

There are now 213 known, active cases in in Atlantic Canada.
It's the weekend, so I'm reporting on testing.

The region's test positivity rate was 0.27% this week.
PEI didn't update their numbers today, so there are still 13 known, active cases in PEI.
PEI's test positivity rate this week was 0.19%. Testing is down a bit after their recent cluster seems to have cleared (fingers crossed).
NL isn't reporting this weekend because of the holiday, so as far as anyone knows there are still 4 known, active cases in NL.
NL's test positivity rate for the week was 0.14%.
NB reported 11 new cases today: 2 in the Saint John area (1 close contact of an existing case and 1 related to travel), and 9 in the Edmundston area (2 close contacts of existing cases and 7 under investigation).

There are now 162 known, active cases in NB.
Updated case levels and restrictions map for NB and case timeline at the health region level for NB with Edmundston emphasized.
NB's test positivity rate this week was 0.8%
NS reported 7 new cases today: 1 travel related case in the Eastern zone, 3 close contacts of existing cases in the Western zone, and 3 in the Halifax area (1 travel-related and 2 close contacts).

There are now 34 known, active cases in NS.
NS test positivity rate for the week was 0.11%.
Here's the updated pandemic timeline for the Atlantic region and surrounding areas.

Western NS is visible on the map - it seems a group of migrant workers in isolation have tested +.

Things getting steadily worse in both Maine and the parts of Quebec adjacent to New Brunswick.
Provincial and Territorial Vaccine Roll-Out

Top of the ribbon is doses distributed, bottom is doses administered.

The higher the ribbon goes, the more people are being vaccinated. The wider it gets, the more doses sit unused.

National ribbon outlined in black.
Vaccine Roll-Out Metrics

1st graph is percent of distributed doses that have been used.

2nd graph shows how many days since each province had enough doses to cover their current usage.

3rd graph shows percent of eligible population that is newly vaccinated each day.
This animation shows each province's vaccination pace as a percent of the pace they need to each 80% first dose coverage by the end of June (based on how many they have already vaccinated and how much time is left.

Older data becomes less visible over time.
Here is each province's coverage of the eligible population by at least one dose (2nd graph shows the Territories).
% eligible with at least one dose / % eligible that can get a first dose with what's in storage right now:

BC: 15.9% / 4.6%
AB: 15.4% / 5.5%
SK: 18.5% / 1.9%
MB: 12.9% / 12.5%
ON: 16.8% / 3.2%
QC: 20.8% / 7.0%
NB: 15.6% / 4.6%
NS: 9.7% / 9.4%
NL: 13.1% / 3.6%
PEI: 13.4% / 5.0%
NB is now the fastest vaccinating province, QC has passed 20% with most of the country in hot pursuit, and NS should pass 10% early this week. Nice!
That's it for tonight's update.

It's a holiday so you may be out and about more than usual and visiting family from out of town. Make sure to swing by and get tested if that's available where you are.

Have a great rest of the holiday weekend!

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More from @WilsonKM2

Aug 15, 2021
The Great Big Canadian Pandemic Summary Thread (5th edition)

First a summary of the pandemic in Canada.

Bonus analysis on pandemic outcomes in Canadian health regions and US counties
For all the graphs, I have the national range in the background in grey: the bottom is the lowest per capita rate by any health region and the top is the highest per capita rate.

So everything will be visible on the same scale.

Examples:
Read 32 tweets
Aug 14, 2021
Today in the #AtlanticBubble

No one updated their numbers, so I'll just do the full weekend report on yesterday's numbers.

There are currently 126 known, active cases in the region.
The test positivity rate in the region was 0.3%
There are currently 9 known, active cases in PEI, but no known outbreaks/community transmission, and no one is in hospital.
Read 17 tweets
Aug 14, 2021
Quick thread on vaccines, outbreaks, and why *who* is vaccinated as much as how many (although both are very important)
There's a pre-print out that gives estimates (based on sero-prevalence) of the probability of needing to go to the hospital or dying if infected with SARS-CoV-2 for a series of age brackets: medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
If you know a population's age structure, you can somewhat estimate what an outbreak of a given number of infections will look like in terms of number of hospitalizations and deaths.

And if you know vaccine coverage, you can update those estimates for those effects, too.
Read 14 tweets
Aug 13, 2021
Today in the #AtlanticBubble

27 new cases were reported:

2 in PEI (travel-related)

4 in Newfoundland and Labrador: 1 in Labrador-Grenfell, 3 in the Eastern Health region (all travel)

2 in Nova Scotia: 1 each in the Northern (travel) and Eastern (under investigation) zones ImageImageImageImage
New Brunswick reported 19 new cases:

2 each in Fredericton (under investigation), Campbellton (under investigation), and Bathurst (close contacts).

3 in Saint John (2 travel-related, 1 under investigation)

10 in Moncton (5 contacts, 5 under investigation).
There are now 126 known, active cases in the Atlantic region, of which 84 are in NB (and62 are in the Moncton area).
Read 12 tweets
Aug 12, 2021
Today in the #AtlanticBubble

18* new cases were reported

11 in New Brunswick: 2 in Saint John (travel), 9 in Moncton (3 close contacts, 6 under investigation)

7* in Nova Scotia: 1 each in Western (travel) and Eastern (contact), and 5 in Halifax (all travel, 3 old/unreported) ImageImageImageImage
Regional Summary

Remains quiet save for the outbreak in the Moncton area.

Things still getting worse in Maine. Image
Zoom in on NB:

1st graph is case timeline for NB

2nd is cases per capita for all health regions with Moncton emphasized.

3rd is hospitalizations

4th is deaths ImageImageImageImage
Read 5 tweets
May 31, 2021
Today in the #AtlanticBubble

33 new cases were reported: 2 each in PEI, and Newfoundland and Labrador, 12 in New Brunswick, and 17 in Nova Scotia.

There are now 709 known, active cases in the region.
PEI reported 2 new cases today, both related to travel outside the region and both detected during routine testing in isolation.

There are now 14 known, active cases in PEI.
NL also reported 2 new cases today:

1 each in the Central (close contact) and Western (travel-related) health regions.

Neither new cases is connected to each region's respective clusters, both of which remain under investigation.

There are now 101 known, active cases in NL.
Read 23 tweets

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