Finland had a special year in 2019, worth a look...
In terms of Primary Energy, the largest energy source in Finland is now bioenergy, passing oil in 2019!
Finland also has a high share of nuclear...
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As of 2019, Finland now emits less CO₂ than Sweden & Norway in aggregate terms.
Finnish CO₂ emissions went down 9% in 2019.
Interesting to see how things look in 2021 (after 2020 changes).
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Though, CO₂ emissions per person are still relatively high in Finland, more than twice the global average.
In good news, Finnish CO₂ emissions per person are falling relatively fast.
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And here are total GHG emissions up until 2018, showing the size of the LULUCF sector in Finaldn...
(more later)
/end
Continued...
Here are the CO₂ emissions including LULUCF. The net CO₂ emissions have risen, due to a weakening sink (the gross emissions should be the same as tweet #2)
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The LULUCF CO₂ emissions have increased (got less negative) due to less update in forests.
I do not know why, would have to ask a Finn! Could be increased harvest, management, age class effects, etc.
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Methane emissions have continued downwards, primarily due to less methane emissions in the waste sector.
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N₂O emissions have been flat, except from a dramatic drop around 2008/2009. This is probably a factory closure.
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Record high emissions means record high radiative forcing.
We have you covered, we also include aerosols (SO2, etc) & have done so for decades. Also shipping!
Short-lived aerosols are important, but should not distract from the drivers of change: greenhouse gas emissions!
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Most of the energy put into the system ends in the ocean (90%), so the Ocean Heat Content (OHC) has been increasing along with emissions and radiative forcing.
This also means the Earth Energy Imbalance is also increasing.
This question is ambiguous: "How high above pre-industrial levels do you think average global temperature will rise between now and 2100?"
* ...pre-industrial... between "now and 2100"?
* Where we are currently heading or where we could head? This is largely a policy question?
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One of the key arguments that Norway uses to continue oil & gas developments, is that under BAU it is expected that oil & gas production will decline in line with <2°C scenarios, even with continued investment.
Let's look closer at these projections & reality...
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Here is the projections from the 2003 report from the petroleum agency.
In reality (tweet 1) there was a dip around 2010, but production is now up around 250 million cubic again.
The forecast was totally & utterly WRONG!
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In 2011 there was a forecast for an increase in production to 2020, but then a decline. This is probably since they started to put the Johan Sverdrup field on the books.
The increase in production was way too low, again, they got it wrong.