Daniel Marans Profile picture
Apr 11, 2021 12 tweets 8 min read Read on X
New for @HuffPost: How New York progressives raised taxes on the rich to up public school funding, provide emergency rental assistance, and give unemployment benefits to undocumented immigrants.

It took a decade to defy Cuomo's opposition to tax hikes: huffpost.com/entry/new-york…
This story is a sequel to my January piece looking at the comparatively conservative fiscal policy of blue states in contrast with their leaders' rhetoric.

At the time, Cuomo was holding the line against tax hikes: huffpost.com/entry/budget-c…
How much has Cuomo been forced to change his tune since first taking office in 2011?

Back then, he compared his insistence on letting a millionaire's tax expire, despite the tax's popularity, to his father's principled opposition to the death penalty: nytimes.com/2011/10/18/nyr…
The fact that the state is set to raise $4.5-billion in revenue from increases in corporate and millionaire income taxes is all the more remarkable because Schumer has said the state is on track to receive ~$24B in federal aid: gothamgazette.com/city/10229-new…
My opening anecdote tells the story of how when @NYSenatorRivera arrived in Albany in 2011, being an outspoken progressive was grounds for "getting Percoco'd" by Cuomo enforcer Joe Percoco.

Now Percoco is in prison and Rivera is enacting policies he could only dream of.
What's different in 2021?

Obviously, for one thing, Cuomo is distracted by scandal -- and may not want to risk a fight the legislature. (The Assembly can impeach him.)
But two elections -- 2018 and 2020 -- had already shifted the balance of power in NY.

Democrats retook the state Senate in '18 and got a veto-proof majority in '20.

Influx of @nywfp- and @nycDSA-backed progressives shifted character of majorities leftward too.
I spoke to @rebeccabailin, others about how the #InvestInOurNY campaign succeeded:
--Simple message ("tax the rich") and clear target (Cuomo) -- emphasizing relief from Cuomo austerity, rather than COVID-linked
--Weekly meetings with lawmaker champions (Norquist-style) ...
-- Combination of traditional activism -- press conference w/ @JamaalBowmanNY & @AOC; undocumented worker hunger strike; Capitol sleep-in -- and expert research capable of rebutting concerns about rich flight
Here's one of the thousands of door-hangers that @nycDSA used to pressure fence-sitting lawmakers:
Is the left the proverbial dog that caught the car?

Centrists like @bradleytusk suggest they now bear responsibility for outcomes of tax-and-spend experiment.

“I hope the new spending does more than just make the left feel good ..."
Left-wing lawmakers and activists say, "Not so fast."

Cuomo is still governor. And a long list of priorities like universal pre-K, help for the homeless and single payer awaits.

“We’re not done yet,” @JabariBrisport said. “This is bittersweet to me ..."

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More from @danielmarans

Aug 3, 2023
.@justicedems laid off nine of its 20 staff members a few weeks ago.

I looked at both the proximate and deeper reasons, as well as the broader implications for the left -- at the ballot box and on Capitol Hill. huffpost.com/entry/justice-…
7 out of 9 people laid off were paid by Organize for Justice, the group's 501(c)4 -- the lobbying, organizing, and podcast arm.

The move signals a move away from leg. and organizing work, and a doubling down on core election mission.
Political giving is indeed down virtually across the board, which is affecting smaller, grassroots-money dependent groups more.

JD told me 62% of its donations thus far are in increments of <$200.
Read 20 tweets
Apr 10, 2023
New: Chicago Mayor-elect Brandon Johnson relentlessly defined his opponent as a "Republican" and presented a progressive plan for reducing crime that he had confidence would resonate with voters.

My deep dive into how he won: huffpost.com/entry/how-bran… via @HuffPostPol
A few key elements:
-- Johnson began inoculating himself on "defund" by leaning into public safety before the runoff
-- He hit Vallas hard as a "Republican" from the night he made the runoff
-- 15-second TV ads to establish name ID
...
...
-- "Brandon is better" message tailored to an electorate seeking change
-- One-third of Johnson's advertising budget went to digital, where precise targeting enables dollars to go further
-- Plan to raise taxes offset by promise not to raise property taxes
...
Read 10 tweets
Mar 17, 2023
Earlier today, Rep. Chuy García endorsed Brandon Johnson, bringing two Latino state lawmakers and City Council members along with him.

Given García's first-place finish in many majority-Latino precincts in the city, this could have some juice for Johnson among Latino voters. ImageImageImage
There was some tension between Johnson and García prior to the runoff.

Many progressives blamed García for getting in the race late, clogging the left's lane.

huffpost.com/entry/chuy-gar…
...
... Johnson has attacked García in late January for "abandoning the progressive movement" with, among other things, his plans to fill the police backlog. nbcchicago.com/news/local/bra… Image
Read 4 tweets
Mar 16, 2023
Scoop: @ClyburnSC06 is endorsing @Brandon4Chicago in the Chicago mayoral race, providing the progressive contender a critical boost in his showdown with centrist Paul Vallas.

Clyburn has already been bundling money for him for weeks.

huffpost.com/entry/jim-clyb… via @HuffPostPol
Johnson met with Clyburn in Selma, Alabama, and they developed a personal bond made stronger by their shared background as former teachers and sons of pastors.

Johnson also met with President Biden while he was there.
Clyburn: “Commissioner Johnson and I share many characteristics: our spirit of activism, our professional beginnings as public school teachers, our commitment to justice, and we are both PKs (Preacher Kids)."
Read 8 tweets
Nov 6, 2022
.@benwallacewells talked to Republican insiders about why they think Tuesday is going to be a "bloodbath" for Democrats.

newyorker.com/news/the-polit…
The key takeaway: GOPers believe that the Dobbs decision prompted more Democratic "super voters" to participate in polls, at once inflating Dem share of likely electorate, and encouraging Dems to over-rely on abortion rights, Jan. 6, and democracy themes as their salience faded.
Wallace-Wells paints a scenario in which Democrats are once again victims of the educational polarization that has increased their traction with college graduates and decreased it with non-college graduates, especially men, and increasingly Latino and Black non-college men ...
Read 6 tweets
Nov 5, 2022
New: Facing Republican Joe O’Dea, a construction CEO critical of Trump, Sen. Michael Bennet (D-Colo.) has emphasized economic policy differences.

My look at how Bennet, a Child Tax Credit champion, is running as a critic of "trickle-down economics": huffpost.com/entry/michael-…
Some highlights:
-- Even in increasingly blue Colorado, Bennet's tax-centric populism -- complete with denunciations of Reagan and "neoliberalism" -- is unique. Polis and Hickenlooper sound different.
-- He embraces the Bernie left's analysis that inequality gave oxygen o Trump.
-- It's kind of remarkable how different Bennet sounds *from himself* running in 2010. He had a whole section on his website on "entitlement reform." web.archive.org/web/2010101501…
Read 10 tweets

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