Where is Tyson coming from? A knee-jerk response to the post-modernist nonsense of the '90s, where tenured idiots maintained that the fact that scientists were biased meant that the scientific process was, regardless of time span, not deserving of privilege as a "way of knowing".
That was clearly horse shit.
And modern science is interlocking. There is a good deal of science that's so settled, we're not going to waste time rehashing it with every idiot just doing their own research.
So if you want to argue the Earth is flat, you've got to explain orbital dynamics (the moons' path would be much different around a disk), you've got to explain why gravity is pretty much the same everywhere on Earth (also not true on a disc) ...
as *well* as the obvious question of why ships disappear over the horizon instead of just getting smaller and smaller.
The Earth is round whether or not you believe it, and Science the institution has a lot to say about that using Science the methodology.
But where is Steak-umm coming from?
For a Science communicator (and let's be real, Tyson hasn't done any real science since the 90s, his job is STEM PR) Tyson has an infuriating habit of conflating fundamental concepts such as Science the institution and Science the method.
I fucking *hate* the phrase *Science says*.
Dude. Science doesn't say *shit*. It's inanimate.
ScientISTS say things, and some of those things are more disputable than others.
Interlocking, well established scientific theories that make correct predictions about the world around us and that have mountains of previously correct empirical predictions are not worth arguing about.
And the Sea Lions of society make it really tempting to use a pseudo argumentum ab auctoritate to just stop the bullshit - but anthropomorphizing "Science" IS committing that particular logical fallacy, and we shouldn't do it.
I'm fucking tired of arguing with Young Earth Creationists, too.
I deal with that by having stock questions that stop them in their tracks, not by retreating behind the walls of authority.
For example, the "just a theory" bullshit about evolution. ALL of Science the edifice is theory. The question is, how much evidence do we have for the theories ? (This is why I hate the Humanities use of the word to mean "intellectual framework". Theories make testable claims.)
We have more and better evidence for the Theory of Evolution than we do for the Theory of Gravity, but I don't see the YEC doofi complaining about teaching Newton's Laws.
Speaking of Newton's Laws, they're wrong, you know.
At least at Relatavistic speeds.
Those kinds of arguments are mostly foreign to YECs, and tend to reverse Bullshit Asymmetry Principle them into sidebars they can't win when you use them correctly.
That's a whole lot more in tune with the spirit of smug statements about Science that don't differentiate between the institution, the body of knowledge and the method, three overlapping, but distinct entities.
There have been too many scientists getting too many things wrong in this recent COVID experience to get as smug as Tyson about the institution. I leave you with an example of the *proper* scientific attitude, once again:
This is 100% wrong. Rare events with significant health impact regularly result in FDA clinical holds, temporary restrictions in distribution, or even permanent withdrawal. The FDA is more apt to act the the wider the use of the drug in people with no other health concerns.
For example, birth control gets more scrutiny than oncology drugs.
Trovafloxacin was withdrawn in the EU and severely restricted in the US based on 14 cases of liver failure in roughly 2.5 million administrations.
The public health risk / benefit calculation is also affected by other drugs on the market. The fact that we have 2 other effective vaccines without this cloud hanging over them also influences the FDA's decision.
I've seen quite a bit of nonsense from a variety of people pushing a narrative of "our kids will have PTSD from this year" and "we'll never undo the damage" from the lost schooling.
Horse shit.
In the wake of Gagarin's historic flight, let me remind you that he lost nearly *4 years* of schooling during the German occupation. I think he did OK.
Yes, we will need to conduct some remedial education, but if kids suffer from this, it will be due to lack of will to put resources against the problem. I would also note many of the people screaming about this are loathe to spend tax money on education in normal times.
There are a few people who follow me on here at least in part because of COVID, and for those I want to riff on this finding to explain some of my current attitudes, and in the true spirit of a Cargo Cult Scientist, also explain what data will *make me change my mind*.
So @sailorrooscout is an expert, so definitely listen to what they have to say about T cells and other elements of the immune system.
But you will have also, almost definitely, heard right wing pundits, especially a few months ago, espousing the idea that T cell immunity was sufficient for protection from COVID.
For all the stupid motherfuckers out there arguing that (and I quote this figure from some stupid motherfucker arguing with me) 99.97% of people will be fine.
First of all: your math is wrong. The 10:1 assumption on symptomatic to asymptomatic cases is just that: an assumption. Maybe true in NY and NJ, likely not elsewhere ... yet.
Second, just sticking to cases, and not stopping tom punch holes in the "a quarter of Americans have had it, so HERD IMMUNITY, YAY!!!" complete and utter horse shit you're peddling, we we had 143K new cases yesterday, and that's *without* the Thanksgiving surge in 5-7 days hence.
I understand why @C_Stroop has an anaphylactic reaction to calling the kinds of Evangelicals who wholly support Trump "fake Christians", but I was just reminded of why it's always a temptation for me.
The Evangelicals and Fundies have this expression "committed Christian" for themselves.
There is the not-so-subtle implication that everyone who doesn't believe what they do, or pepper every single phrase with God-bothering nonsense is not as committed to their faith.
So it's reeeeeeally tempting to return the favor by calling them fake Christians when they exhibit their typical exclusionary and mean-spirited behaviors.