Nicholas Drummond Profile picture
Apr 13, 2021 9 tweets 3 min read Read on X
So, in the absence of detail from the recent Defence Command Paper, I thought I would provide a personal view on the British Army's strategy and answer that all important question: WHAT IS IT FOR? I'll start with the principal threats to note the resurgence of peer adversaries. Image
The UK's four overarching defence commitments translate into a range of roles with varying intensity. The specific tasks the Army aims to perform were not communicated clearly. The important shift in emphasis is a move to high-end expeditionary war fighting. Image
The four primary tasks are performed by Light, Heavy and Special Forces structures. Again, once you understand the intent, the logic is sound. An increased special forces component is consistent with the missions we anticipate. Image
The key missing component was the future force structure. Instead of trying to guess what this is, I have suggested what it should be. Heavy and Light Brigade Combat Teams all have the same structure. Six primary combat brigades are supported by eight further brigades. Image
A recommended change is to place Boxer, Ajax, and Challenger 3 in separate Heavy brigades to avoid mixing wheels and tracks. Light brigades utilise Foxhound and BVS10. The SFSG and 4 x Spec. Inf. Bns. become 2 x Ranger battalions and are rolled into an enlarged SF brigade.
To deliver the above structure, the following combat vehicles are required. Note 200 MBTs not 148. A second tranche of Boxers is needed for two wheeled brigades (allowing FV432 to be retired). Another 600 Foxhounds makes JLTV unnecessary. BVS10 adds extreme terrain flexibility. Image
This provides detail on artillery systems (based on the programmes that were announced. I have added a 120 mm mortar system to replace the 105 mm light gun. I have also suggested the Uvsion Hero 120 as a potential loitering munition, but Spike NLOS 2 or Brimstone GL would work. Image
I have also detailed the aviation brigade requirement. This includes RAF crewed helicopters (Chinook and Puma) plus the Watchkeeper RPAS. Image
Everything I've suggested is achievable within a headcount cap of 72,500. It's not all affordable now, but with an extra £1 billion per annum after 2025, it is achievable by 2030. If what I suggest is viewed as profligate and unrealistic, we might as well give up and go home.

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More from @nicholadrummond

May 10
THREAD ON AIRBORNE FORCES AND VEHICLES
Russia's failed attempt to seize Hostomel airfield in the early stages of its invasion of Ukraine provides confirmation (if any was needed after the lessons of Crete and Arnhem) that airborne assaults against well defended targets can be disastrous. The contemporary use of drones only adds to the risks.Image
This means that future airborne operations will primarily be conducted at battalion and company level for coup de main missions against bridges, airfields, and objectives that need to be physically seized and held by forces on the ground. Think WW2 Pegasus Bridge. Many previous airborne tasks, especially raiding tasks, can now be accomplished using PrSM, loitering missions, or armed drones, so demolition roles will be the exception rather than the norm.Image
Airborne missions at brigade level are likely to be risky, particularly for the large fleet of aircraft and helicopters required to deliver them. Where larger formations are needed, they will be used to occupy locations where there are no or limited enemy forces. In this respect, airborne units will become early entry forces rather than assaulting in contact with the enemy.Image
Read 11 tweets
May 8
The cancellation of the US Army's M10 Booker has little to do with the quality of the vehicle itself, and more about the lack of supporting infrastructure of Infantry Brigade Combat Teams, which cannot effectively support 40-tonne tracked vehicles. 1/4 Image
In the same way that the British Army's Ajax programme includes six different versions, so that armoured cavalry regiments are self-supporting, the Booker chassis lends itself to a whole range of variants based on the M10 Booker Repair & Recovery variant. 2/4 Image
In case Ajax's issues still aren't fully resolved, migrating each variant to the M10 Booker chassis would be a certain fix for Ajax, Ares, Athena, Argus, Apollo, and Atlas. You'd have to compromise on the original requirements, but you'd have an excellent vehicle. 3/4 Image
Read 4 tweets
Nov 23, 2024
It was right to retire the British Army's Thales Watchkeeper WK450 UAS. It took far too long to bring it into service and by the time it arrived, newer and better systems were available. It was also difficult to operate. The question is what do we replace it with? (1/6) Image
An obvious choice is General Atomics Mojave, which is optimised for STOL operations from austere locations. This has a larger payload, double the range and better ISR sensors. It can also carry up to 16 Hellfire missiles for strike tasks. Crucially, it is harder to jam. (2/6) Image
Mojave, which is a modified version of General Atomics' MQ-1C Gray Eagle UAS, weighs 1½ tonnes and has a reinforced undercarriage. Technically, it compares well to Watchkeeper while also being considerably less expensive to purchase and operate. (3/6) Image
Read 6 tweets
Jun 11, 2023
The @GD_LandSystems M10 Booker is not a derivative of the ASCOD platform, but an all-new design. The hull has well-sloped armour, an 800 hp diesel driveline and @Horstman_Group hydro-pneumatic struts. The 105 mm gun based on the UK ROF L7 and is mounted in an Abrams-based turret. Image
As impressive as the vehicle itself is the acquisition approach. 12 prototypes from two companies were down-selected. These were tested extensively. A winner was chosen and awarded a LRIP contract for 26. Now that all issues are resolved a full production contract can be issued.
At each stage of the process, risk was managed. The onus was on @GD_LandSystems to resolve any issues in order to move the program to the next stage. Brigadier Glenn Dean, who has assumed overall responsibility for MPF deserves credit for doing a fantastic job.
Read 5 tweets
Jun 4, 2023
Over the last 15 months, @LockheedMartin's M270 & HIMARS rocket launchers have performed extremely well, obliterating Russian targets while reducing collateral damage at ranges of 70 km, which is beyond the enemy's capacity to return effective counter-battery fire. ImageImage
Ukraine's success with HIMARS confirms what we already believed, that precision-guided deep fires rockets and missiles enable smaller armies to deliver an effect that belies their size relative to larger, less capable adversaries. Image
Before the Russo-Ukrainian War, the USA had already initiated an upgrade programme to increase GMLRS range from 70 km to 150 km, while the new Precision Strike Missile (PrSM) can hit targets at 499 km, versus the existing ATACMS with a 150 km range. This is a significant upgrade. Image
Read 10 tweets
May 27, 2023
The British Army's Protected Mobility Pipeline (PMP) programme will see 14 platforms merged into 5. Three PM platforms (light, medium, & heavy) will replace Foxhound, Mastiff, Ridgeback, Wolfhound, Husky, Foxhound, and Panther. This will streamline through-life support. Image
As good as Boxer is, only 4 infantry battalions will be equipped with it. So having a larger fleet of lower cost PMVs will be essential. Also, the way in which they're being used in Ukraine, as battlefield taxis that move infantry out-of-contact, points to a new way of operating. Image
For some roles, it makes sense to purchase an off-the-shelf solution from abroad (e.g., Oshkosh JLTV) where the price is lower than domestically produced vehicles can match. But for others, British industry is perfectly capable of producing a state-of-the-art 4x4 or 6x6 PMV. Image
Read 6 tweets

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