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Apr 15, 2021 14 tweets 8 min read Read on X
LABOUR MEMBERS POLL – today we’re publishing the results of a big poll of the party membership across four articles. See the rest of the thread for a data extravaganza!
How well do Labour members think Keir Starmer is doing as Labour leader?

Well – 64%
Badly – 34%

yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
And so far Labour members think Keir Starmer’s leadership has…

Changed the party for the better – 48%
Not made much difference – 27%
Changed the party for the worse – 22%

yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
Labour members likewise see Keir Starmer as doing better than Jeremy Corbyn

Better – 61%
Same – 10%
Worse – 29%

yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
When it comes to personal attributes, Labour members see Keir Starmer as…

Competent – 82%
Trustworthy – 73%
Likeable – 69%
Decisive – 57%
Strong – 55%

yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
Labour members tend to see themselves as more left wing than Keir Starmer, and indeed the Labour party.

% who see each as…

Very / fairly / slightly left wing
Myself 18% / 46% / 29%
Labour party 2% / 36% / 52%
Keir Starmer 1% / 17% / 50% (+20% centre)

yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
Labour members' opinion of senior Labour figures

Keir Starmer – 👍74% 👎24%
Lisa Nandy – 👍69% 👎16%
Anneliese Dodds – 👍56% 👎17%
Mark Drakeford – 👍40% 👎11%
Nick Thomas-Symonds – 👍25% 👎9%

yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
% of Labour party members who have a favourable view of each leader

Gordon Brown - 81%
Ed Miliband – 78%
Clement Attlee – 74%
Neil Kinnock – 69%
Jeremy Corbyn – 55%
Tony Blair – 54%

A quarter of Labour members don’t seem to know who Clement Attlee is…

yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
Labour members still don’t fancy their party’s chances in an election…

If an election were held tomorrow who would win/have most seats?
84% Con
12% Lab

If an election were held in May 2024 who would win/have most seats?
43% Lab
40% Con

yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
Following the churn in Labour membership after Starmer took over, the membership is now more willing to compromise in order to win the next election

Large compromise 15% (+3)
Moderate compromise 42% (+13)
Small compromise 29% (-13)
No compromise 11% (-3)

yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
The Scottish Parliament elections are coming up. If the SNP win, they will push for indyref2.

60% of Labour members already support having a second referendum on Scottish independence, and 56% think the party should too

yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
In fact, one in three Labour members think Scotland should be an independent country

Independent country – 31%
Devolve more powers – 28%
Status quo – 27%
Take back some powers – 2%
Scrap devolution – 4%

yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
When it comes to the EU, most Labour members want the party to campaign to re-join

Labour should campaign to re-join EU – 59%
Labour should not campaign to re-join EU – 15%
Neither – 22%

yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
Indeed, Labour members are much more likely to see Brexit as a top issue than the public

Top issues according to Labour members
Health 65%
Economy 51%
Brexit 46%
Environment 44%
Housing 24%
Education 24%
Welfare 14%
Crime 7%
Immigration 4%
Defence 2%

yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…

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More from @YouGov

Sep 24
Labour and Keir Starmer's favourability ratings have fallen to a new post-election low

Keir Starmer
Favourable: 30% (-14 from 8 Jul)
Unfavourable: 60% (+13)

Labour party
Favourable: 32% (-15)
Unfavourable: 59% (+13)

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…
Image
Negative attitudes towards Labour have not crystallised just yet. Most Britons (54%) still say they are willing to give the new government the benefit of the doubt

Have high hopes, think they will do well: 19% (-2 from 20 Jun)
Do not have high hopes, but give benefit of doubt: 35% (=)
Do not have high hopes, think they will do badly: 38% (+5)

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…Image
Nevertheless, many Britons feel let down by Labour. 23% say they expected them to do well in government, but have been disappointed so far

Expected to be bad, and they have: 39%
Expected to be good, but have been disappointed: 23%
Expected to be bad, but have been better than expected: 3%
Expected to be good, and they have: 11%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…Image
Read 5 tweets
Sep 17
25 years after devolution for Scotland, and 10 years after the independence referendum, what constitutional set-up do Scots support having?

Devolution, more powers: 51% support
Devolution, current powers: 46%
Autonomy within UK: 42%
Full independence: 41%
Abolition of devolution: 21%
Devolution, fewer powers: 19%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…Image
Which constitutional set-ups for Scotland are popular with the different parties?

Top 3 with 2024 Labour voters
Devolution, current powers: 56% support
Devolution, more powers: 43%
Autonomy within UK: 35%

Top 3 with 2024 SNP voters
Full independence: 85%
Devolution, more powers: 85%
Autonomy within UK: 67%

Top 3 with 2024 Conservative voters
Abolition of devolution: 58%
Devolution, fewer powers: 51%
Devolution, current powers: 41%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…Image
In Wales, existing or enhanced devolution are also the most popular options, though 31% would support abolishing devolution

Devolution, more powers: 40% support
Devolution, current powers: 39%
Autonomy within UK: 32%
Abolition of devolution: 31%
Full independence: 24%
Devolution, fewer powers: 23%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…Image
Read 4 tweets
Sep 17
With the 10 year anniversary of the Scottish independence referendum tomorrow, support for 'Yes' and 'No' among voters stands at effectively the same level as a decade ago

No: 56% (+1 from 2014)
Yes: 44% (-1)

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…
Image
But 'No' supporters are less likely to say their view on Scottish independence is strongly held

% saying their views are strongly held:
All Scots: 73%
Yes supporters: 90%
No supporters: 78%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…Image
'Yes' voters are more likely to have changed their minds since 2014, but are being replenished by younger voters who lean towards Scottish independence

All Scots
Yes: 37%
No: 47%

2014 Yes voters
Yes: 70%
No: 18%

2014 No voters
Yes: 11%
No: 79%

16-24 year olds
Yes: 39%
No: 31%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…Image
Read 7 tweets
Aug 27
A hypothetical merger of the Conservatives and Reform UK divides the Tory membership, four in ten supportive and half opposed

% of Conservative members...
Support: 42%
Oppose: 51%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…
Image
Nonetheless, most Conservative members feel the party should move to the right and primarily target Reform UK voters over the next parliament

% of Conservative members saying party should...
Move to right: 51%
Move to centre: 34%
Stay where it is: 12%

% saying party should primarily target...
Reform UK voters: 50%
Labour voters: 25%
Lib Dem voters: 16%
Some other group: 4%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…Image
Two-thirds of Conservative members want to be able to vote on policy at conference and be able to vote on all leadership candidates, with six in ten also wanting to elect a deputy leader

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…
Image
Read 4 tweets
Aug 6
Britons tend to think that Keir Starmer is handling the riots badly

Well: 31%
Badly: 49%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…
Image
52% of Britons think the police are handling the recent riots well

While 61-69% of Labour, Conservative and Lib Dem voters agree, this figure falls to 36% of Reform UK voters

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…
Image
While Britons generally think the police have handled the riots well, they lack confidence in their ability to protect people and property from further unrest

A lot/some confidence: 38%
Not a lot/no confidence: 58%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…
Image
Read 9 tweets
Aug 6
How have the public reacted to the recent riots?

Only 7% of Britons support the riots, 8% have sympathy for the views of the rioters, and just 12% think the riots are justified

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…
Image
Reform UK voters are the most likely to have positive opinions of the riots and rioters, although this is still a minority view among these voters

Support the riots
Reform: 21%
Con: 9%
Lab/LD: 1-3%

Have sympathy for the views of the rioters
Reform: 25%
Con: 8%
Lab/LD: 2-4%

Think the riots are justified
Reform: 33%
Con: 16%
Lab/LD: 2-4%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…Image
The views of those causing unrest at recent protests do not represent the views of most Britons, say the public

Do not represent the views of most Britons: 76%
Do represent the views of most Britons: 12%

yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…
Image
Read 9 tweets

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