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15 Apr, 9 tweets, 2 min read
Live update and modeling from Dr. Henry on B.C.'s COVID-19 response. I'm not doing a full breakdown, just things that stand out to me, from the north. cbc.ca/news/canada/br…
Good news: Rates of new infections in northwest are going down, particularly because of targeted vaccinations in Prince Rupert.
Bad news, but not suprising if you've been paying attention: Peace River South (Dawson Creek) has second highest rate of new cases in the province, behind Howe Sound.
Last month, the mayor of Dawson Creek asked Northern Health if his city could get communtiy-wide prioritization as Prince Rupert did. The answer, thus far, is no cbc.ca/news/canada/br…
Henry: "Relatively low infection rate" at schools "in proportion to their percent of the population". Says school-age kids 10x less likely to be infected ... now presenting an overview of reviews that have been done
No slide for Northern, Interior, or Island health
Henry: You're probably seeing infectious people. See fewer people. I know many of you already arre doing this, but stick to your household, and if you don't, stick to the same group, outdoors, with masks

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Andrew Kurjata Profile picture
16 Apr
One thing I haven't seen much about but I think is interesting is how many times B.C. has let perfect be the enemy of potentially good in pandemic response (short thread)
Most obvious example in interprovincial border restrictions. Argument is it would be too tough to enforce perfectly, so they didn't try

But also federal COVID app: Henry expressed concern it might not work perfectly, so never used bc.ctvnews.ca/covid-19-alert…
Masks in schools: While other provinces were implementing, B.C resisted because some kids might not be able to wear them properly all day.
Read 6 tweets
Andrew Kurjata Profile picture
16 Apr
They could have closed ski hills
They could have provided alerts when there were localized outbreaks
They could have set up checkpoints on busy highways
Instead they said the strategy was working and this is the result
But let's not pretend there were no other tools to use ImageImageImage
"What are we going to do, arrest people?"

Before going there you could take away incentives to engage in behaviour you are strongly encouraging people not to engage in. Don't want people traveling for spring break? Make it harder or less enticing
Even now the dominant message is "what we are doing as government is good enough, we just need the people to listen to us"

As long as the situation worsens, that is a demonstrable failure of the strategy
Read 7 tweets
Andrew Kurjata Profile picture
16 Apr
Missed this. He just keeps at it with his Facebook page
Previously:
Previously:
Read 4 tweets
Andrew Kurjata Profile picture
15 Apr
My hot take is that even if everyone has vaccines by the end of the summer we should still question Canada's approach to the pandemic because we are seeing record-high case counts and hospitalizations NOW, as vaccines are being distributed and with a year's worth of knowledge
The thing I keep thinking about is: Those vaccines were made fast. Faster than most people predicted. It is very possible we could have been in this position with vaccines still a year away. How effective would our response look then?
Because I have bad news: theconversation.com/the-next-once-…
Read 4 tweets
Andrew Kurjata Profile picture
15 Apr
Nov. 17, 2020: Premier John Horgan says a Vancouver Island travel ban is a possibility — B.C. leader says he will 'absolutely' tighten travel restrictions if necessary cbc.ca/news/canada/br…
Nov. 18, 2020 — B.C. premier calls for restriction on non-essential travel between provinces

But he said B.C. would not... attempt to create a provincial "bubble."

Feds: 'The federal government encourages Canadians to adhere to health advice'

cbc.ca/news/canada/br… Image
Jan. 21, 2021 — John Horgan says legal review has shown 'we can’t prevent people from travelling to British Columbia'
cbc.ca/news/canada/br…
Read 8 tweets
Andrew Kurjata Profile picture
12 Apr
I think the coolest thing about the way B.C. is handling the pandemic is how the people in charge never think they could have done things better and always disagree when people ask why things are confusing or unclear
It's just really neat how despite me getting messages from people all weekend confused about whether they should be allowed to book appointments or not, the Minister just says "no, I think it's clear" when asked about it
You just really get the sense that they are willing to learn and get better when every time a question comes up about how people are confused by the rules or mesaging, the idea that they could be communicated better is dismissed out of hand
Read 6 tweets

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