Cases up in most of Canada, with several provinces having case rates similar to or exceeding those seen in the US (Alberta is 11th, Ontario 14th, Saskatchewan 17th, BC 23rd, Quebec 26th.
You can see the geographic distribution (by US Census region) of cases across the entire pandemic timeline in this animation.
Here's the equivalent animation for deaths per capita.
There's an uptick in some US states, notably in the northern-most ones.
Here are case split by non-northern and northern states, and Canadian provinces.
Here are current case levels and cumulative deaths per capita for each state and province.
You can see the entire pandemic timeline for the two countries in this animation.
Canada's 3rd wave is now plainly visible.
And here is the percent of the population of each state and province covered by at least one dose.
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For all the graphs, I have the national range in the background in grey: the bottom is the lowest per capita rate by any health region and the top is the highest per capita rate.
Quick thread on vaccines, outbreaks, and why *who* is vaccinated as much as how many (although both are very important)
There's a pre-print out that gives estimates (based on sero-prevalence) of the probability of needing to go to the hospital or dying if infected with SARS-CoV-2 for a series of age brackets: medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
If you know a population's age structure, you can somewhat estimate what an outbreak of a given number of infections will look like in terms of number of hospitalizations and deaths.
And if you know vaccine coverage, you can update those estimates for those effects, too.