I’ve come across several explanations for Biden not mentioning @navalny (in either the read out of his call to Putin, or Thursday’s statement). They suggest it was done to avoid further enraging Putin and thus increasing the risk to Navalny’s life...(1/6)
Or perhaps a behind the scenes deal is being negotiated for a prisoner exchange. Here’s why I think both arguments are wrong:

1) Putin can’t be placated once he views someone as an existential threat/enemy (which is how he views Navalny). (2/6)
2) Just yesterday, The Kremlin deemed Navalny and his team “extremists”, putting all of their supporters in legal jeopardy.

3) Navalny will never leave Russia in a prisoner exchange. He voluntarily returned to Russia after being poisoned, knowing he would likely be jailed. (3/6)
4) Navalny knows he becomes irrelevant if he leaves the country. A country he hopes to one day lead.

Navalny’s health is rapidly deteriorating. He is on day 18 of a hunger strike after being denied his right to an outside doctor for ailments he’s developed while in prison. (4/6)
Just today, a Russian medical union urging that he be examined by a doctor, warned that he is at imminent risk of kidney failure and deteriorating vision.

Biden missed 2 opportunities - one private and one public- to express condemnation for the abuses against Navalny... (5/6)
And to remind Putin that he bears responsibility for anything that happens to him. Biden calling Putin a killer really got under his skin. But that is not enough.

Nothing in Putin’s latest actions- Navalny, Ukraine, increased police state- suggests he is de-escalating. (6/6)

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More from @biannagolodryga

16 Apr
@navalny's team responds to Russian prosecutors seeking to declare them extremists:
"The darkest time is coming for free-thinking people, for civil society in Russia. Kremlin has just demanded that anyone who disagrees with it be recognized as extremists... (1/4)
I disagree with palaces and rising prices, raising the retirement age and corruption. Those who are ready to protest against this will now be declared extremists. It is clear that the Kremlin's new attack is linked to the upcoming rally and the elections in September. (2/4)
So it is clear what the answer should be: hold a rally (perhaps this is generally the last rally in the next few years), and win elections (perhaps this is generally the last elections for many years to come). (3/4)
Read 4 tweets
16 Mar
While today's IC report on Russia's effort to influence the 2020 election in Trump's favor is not surprising, a few things worth noting:
- Putin continues to rely on US social media companies to undermine US confidence in elections and "increase sociopolitical divisions"...(1/5)
At the same time, the Kremlin is threatening to censor or even ban the same social media companies from inside Russia out of fear of @navalny and other Kremlin opponents gaining support from younger Russians disenfranchised with Putin (ahead of Sept. Duma elections). (2/5)
- The report calculates that Moscow will continue its election interference campaign because "the Kremlin has long deemed that a weakened US would be less likely to pursue assertive foreign and security policies abroad and more open to geopolitical bargains with Russia"...(3/5)
Read 5 tweets
20 Feb
Another powerful speech from @navalny today as he returns to court in his libel suit involving a 95 year old veteran.
He brilliantly lays out the the hypocrisy and corruption surrounding the case and connects it directly to Putin’s government. (1/6)
zona.media/online/2021/02…
Navalny: the government has provided the veteran with less than $150 in aid over 4 years. The cost of the investigation amounts to more than the veteran has received for all his life.
Contrast that with the opulence of Putin’s palace and his $675 toilet brushes (each) (2/6)
“Where does this money come from? It’s stolen from veterans like this one. Someone didn’t get a wheelchair, someone didn’t get their medicine, so that Putin’s could get a palace. So that his mother in law could get an apartment. So Medvedev could have 4 palaces... (3/6)
Read 7 tweets
28 Jan
A visibly angry and defiant @navalny addresses the court (from prison):
I expected lawlessness, but not to this degree. To be detained after an impromptu hearing for one month?How is this possible?
"I expected Putin to come out and say, haha. Welcome back. It was a joke" (1/5)
“No one understands why I'm here. I'm not even under arrest. I'm detained for a month. How is that even possible? Under criminal code, there are certain crimes where people can be held for 30 days. I don't meet any of them.” (2/5)
“I have an explanation for why this is being done in such an obviously lawless manner. it is intentional. To scare me and the country. This isn't even coming from the courts. But directly from the people who have robbed the country for 20 years...”(3/5)
Read 6 tweets

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