19 new cases were reported in the region today: 8 in Nova Scotia and 11 in New Brunswick.
All but one was successfully traced at the time of reporting (part of the Edmundston outbreak).
There are now 219 known, active cases in Atlantic Canada.
PEI didn't update their numbers today, leaving them with 7 known, active cases.
NL also did not update their numbers today, which leaves them with 18 known, active cases.
NB reported 11 new cases today:
1 in Moncton (close contact)
3 in Saint John (1 travel and 2 close contacts)
7 in Edmundston (5 close contacts, 1 travel, and 1 still under investigation)
There are now 150 known, active cases in NB.
Updated restrictions/case level map and case timeline with the Edmundston region emphasized.
Pretty good week for contact tracing in NB.
NS reported 8 new cases today:
1 in the Western zone (travel related)
5 in the Eastern zone (4 travel and 1 close contact)
2 in the Halifax area (1 travel and 1 close contact)
There are now 44 known, active cases in NS.
Here's what the region looks like today. Basically everything shaded in the Atlantic region that's not Edmundston is travel related (and close contacts thereof)
Absolutely wild the volume of travel cases we're getting from the rest of the country right now
Hurray for quarantine
You can see the entire pandemic timeline for the Atlantic region and surrounding areas in this animation.
Each tick is a week since the beginning of March last year.
Vaccine Roll-Out Ribbon Graphs.
Top of the ribbon is doses per capita distributed, bottom is doses used.
Vaccine Roll-Out Metrics
By a hair, NS is currently the fastest* vaccinating province.
*This position changes constantly but NS has historically been the slowest, so it's a bit of a big deal
Here's the pacing graph. Most are approaching a solid pace for hitting target.
Here is the percent of the eligible population of each province covered by at least one dose (Territories in the 2nd graph).
I'm not going to type out the vaccination percentages on my phone because it would be annoying.
If twitter stops sucking I'll cover test data tomorrow and update my national maps too.
Have a great rest of the night!
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For all the graphs, I have the national range in the background in grey: the bottom is the lowest per capita rate by any health region and the top is the highest per capita rate.
Quick thread on vaccines, outbreaks, and why *who* is vaccinated as much as how many (although both are very important)
There's a pre-print out that gives estimates (based on sero-prevalence) of the probability of needing to go to the hospital or dying if infected with SARS-CoV-2 for a series of age brackets: medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
If you know a population's age structure, you can somewhat estimate what an outbreak of a given number of infections will look like in terms of number of hospitalizations and deaths.
And if you know vaccine coverage, you can update those estimates for those effects, too.