Trent Telenko Profile picture
Apr 18, 2021 17 tweets 8 min read Read on X
The US Naval Institute is commemorating the survival of the USS Laffey at Okinawa Picket Station #1.

This thread is about a critical planning mistake the USS Laffey crew paid for with their lives
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The day USS Laffey was attacked, 16 April 1945, was also the day that the island of Ie Shima, off Okinawa, was invaded by the 77th Infantry Division.
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history.navy.mil/content/histor… Image
The full panoply of amphibious firepower from air and sea also required a huge part of the radio spectrum to control.

USN warships, USN rocket & mortar gunboats and strafing planes each required separate radio frequencies.
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The SCR-522 used on USMC F4U Corsairs protecting USS Laffey only had four frequencies.

Most USN planes had newer radios with 10 frequencies. Whether they used four or 10 frequencies, both radios used polished quartz crystals. There were not
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radiomuseum.co.uk/scr522.html Image
...enough crystals of the right frequency types for picket DD's like USS Laffey, USMC low level Corsair CAP & to run the landing at Ie Shima at the same time due to a planning mistake by USMC Gen Oliver P. Smith.

He didn't bring enough staff officers.
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What that meant for USS Laffey come 16 Apr 1945, per John F. Wukovits' "Hell from the Heavens: The Epic Story of the USS Laffey and World War II's Greatest Kamikaze Attack" is the radio channels to control F4U CAP were filled with chatter from the Ie Shima landing air strikes
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There simply was not enough staff officer hours between Dec 1944, when Tactical Air Force-Tenth Army was stood up and the late Mar 1945 landing at Kerama Retto to consider more quartz crystal supplies to support picket DD's. USMC fighters were to provide close air support,
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not to protect picket DD's for a landing operation that was supposed to last 30 days...

...except the operation lasted 82 days.

Opps.
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While the 16 Apr 1945 Ie Shima invasion may have been one of the peak radio traffic days of the 82 day Okinawa campaign.

There were others nearly as bad, as radio directed artillery, naval gunfire & air strikes ground down Japanese positions.
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It's only by reading Richard J. Thompson Jr's "Crystal Clear: The Struggle for Reliable Communications Technology in World War II" that you can fully appreciate in full 4000K digital glory the screw up Gen. Smith's shorting TAF-10 staff officers caused
amazon.com/Crystal-Clear-…
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The cliff notes for Okinawa from Crystal Clear are this:
Imperfections in the cutting, grinding, & polishing of radio grade quartz crystals caused spikes to grow on these crystals that changed their resonant radio frequency.

This was called "aging."
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The more A/C missions quartz crystal radios flew. The faster the crystals aged.

The US Army Signal Corps was going crazy about this until their inspectors spotted that one of their contractor's crystals didn't have this problem.
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This contractor acid etched their crystals after cutting, grinding & polishing as a proprietary process.

Much drama & cash flow was involved with that fact, but the fix for the installed base of military radios were Signal Corps grinding teams with acid etch capability.
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This is where Gen. O.P. Smith's shorting TAF-10 staff officer needs grew consequences like compound interest.

No shipping space was given for a Signal Corps crystal grinding team. USMC fighter and USN float plane sorties caused a backlog of 5,000 radio oscillator crystals
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...by the end of the Operation Iceberg campaign.

It's unclear, who beyond the crew of USS Laffey, suffered preventable deaths from Gen. O.P. Smith's staff officer mistake driven communications problems.
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The one thing General Oliver P. Smith did prove as Assistant Chief of Staff Tenth Army was don't send the Navy & Marines to do a US Army Air Force job.

/End Image

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More from @TrentTelenko

May 23
This is another reminder that Peer-to-Peer drone warfare is all about attrition loss curves.

Ukraine's drones has made the roads of occupied southern Ukraine into an "anti-access area denial" (A2AD) kill zones for Russian trucks.
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Ukraine has achieved "Drone air superiority" over those roads rivaling WW2's Summer 1944 Allied air superiority over German occupied Normandy.

As a result, the Russian truck fleet is taking unsustainable attrition, particularly of its fuel tanker fleet.
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This AFU fuel interdiction campaign is causing panic:

"Fuel shortages are beginning in Sevastopol. This is the beginning of the consequences of the enemy's systematic strikes on oil refineries and tanker trucks along the land corridor to Crimea."
3/
Read 5 tweets
May 22
If true, it looks like Russian truck fuel logistics has completely fallen part on the Rostov-Dzhankoy highway.

This has a lot of strategic geo-political implications.

A2AD & Truck Logistics 🧵

1/
Given few/no trains, these are the Russian truck logistical facts of life:

1. At ~300 miles/480 km, tactical truck's only payload is fuel for a return trip**

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2. A 56 mile/90 km radius from a supply point allows three trips a day with refueling & mechanized logistics to load & unload a truck

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Read 19 tweets
May 21
Texas has seven unique advantages in terms of infrastructure, political culture, and resource geography that make it uniquely suited to be the next industrial heartland of the USA.

The seven industrial development advantages of Texas 🧵
1/
They are as follows:

1. About 94% of land in Texas is privately held. This vastly limits what the Federal, State and local governments can do to in terms of regulations and NIMBY games.

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2. Texas is mostly flat. Texas hill country is small beer compared to the Appalachian and Sierra Nevada mountain ranges. This compounds with #1 for industrial development.

3. Texas has a lot of water compared to the US west & sea access.

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Read 7 tweets
May 20
I am still trying to see the military relevance of the MV-75 Cheyenne II.

Especially when 3rd rate powers like Iran have Qaem-118” (Ghaem-118) / “Misagh-358” jet engine powered, loitering, surface to air munitions.

1/4
The MV-75 Cheyenne II can't outrun a jet powered munition.

These things. ⬇️

2/4

None of the standard US Suppression of Enemy air Defense (SEAD) radar sensor detection practices work on a “Misagh-358.”

3/4
Read 5 tweets
May 12
This is one of the most logistically incompetent hot takes by any German journalist in the Russo-Ukrainian War.

95% getting through is a 5% loss rate per trip
95%(x) for 10 to 20 kills means x = 200 to 400 trucks on this route
10 trips means 40% total fleet loss - 80 to 160 trucks
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You can follow the 5% loss curve in this 500 unit fleet at 10 exposures in the graphic below.

A 40% fleet loss in 10 days from a 5% drone loss rate is logistical collapse for the Russian Army in occupied Ukraine.

Only some trying to get AfD eyeballs would say different.

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This leaves out the fact that the Russian Army doesn't use *ANY* mechanized logistical enabler like pallets, Truck D-rings, forklifts, or telehandlers.

Russian trucks are in the drone kill zones 3 times as long as a Western truck due to loading times.

Receipts:
3/3
x.com/i/grok/share/e…
Read 4 tweets
May 10
Regarding this:

"The DF-26 intermediate-range ballistic missile, with a range of approximately 4,000 to 5,000 kilometers, was specifically designed and publicly nicknamed by Chinese military analysts as the "Guam Killer.""

I disagree with those analysts.
1/
The Chinese PD-2900 drone (2,500 km range, 12-hour endurance, 250 km/h speed, stealthy Su-57-like design) is far more a "Guam Killer" than the DF-26.

It is a matter of numbers.

2/
As laid out by warquants -dot- com, China is buying one million OWA drones to destroy all US/Taiwan/Taiwan allied military logistics from Guam to the China coast.

A quantity of one million "Shaheed plus" class OWA drones has quality all its own.

3/
Read 7 tweets

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