Typical reader question:

“I have money in the bank that I don’t know what to do with. I have never invested in stocks before. Where do I begin?”

I'm not a financial advisor but I can relate. You want to compound your capital but also be prudent and not gamble. Here is my advice
Some general advice:
• Diversify broadly. If you don't know what you're doing, just buy everything.
• Avoid leverage. Ruin kills compounding.
• Make contrarian bets. Buy before others do.
• Focus on long-term value. The long-term is easier to predict than the short-term.
1. First invest in freehold property with leverage

Most people who buy property do well because:
• True underlying inflation is probably 3%+
• You can use 5x leverage if not more

That causes the return on your initial housing deposit to reach double-digits. Hard to beat.
2. Set up an online brokerage account

I like Interactive Brokers and Saxo Bank for developed markets. For Asian EM, I recommend Boom Securities (HK) or Monex (Japan). Decent execution, market access, low commissions.

For EM, don't overtrade. Transaction costs can be very high.
3. Diversify broadly

Across:
• Property (including your own house)
• Equities: Equal-weighted ETFs
• Cash / bonds: Gov bonds or corporate bonds, especially if near retirement but money loser otherwise
• Commodities: True commodity funds or commodity producer equities.
4. If you have an interest in stock speculation, experiment with small money.

Your edge is as a consumer. Possible criteria:
• Product is unique / faces no competition
• Still potential to double in size
• PE below 20x
• Low debt
• Not popular among friends
5. Check your portfolio a maximum 4x per year

If you over-trade, you lose both commission money and panic out of positions. Just read earnings results 4x per year then form a view of whether fundamentals are improving or deteriorating. If the latter, you might want to get out.
Full write-up here. Or just send me a message.

asiancenturystocks.com/p/im-a-new-inv…

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More from @MikeFritzell

Jan 17
1/ Indonesia is conducting one of the largest land grabs in modern history.

Since March 2025, the government has seized over 4 million hectares of oil palm plantations. That’s an area the size of Switzerland, or roughly 30% of Indonesia’s total palm oil acreage. Image
2/ The justification? The government claims these plantations are in protected "forest zones."

But it looks more like outright nationalization. Assets are being transferred to a new SOE, "Agrinas Palma Nusantara," led by retired generals tied to President Prabowo. Image
3/ This will have broad ramifications. Indonesia produces 58% of the world’s palm oil.

With 30% of the country’s supply now under state control, palm oil prices are likely headed higher. Supply chains for everything from snacks to cosmetics will be affected.
Read 7 tweets
Oct 13, 2025
Let's compare the valuations of the US with Southeast Asia (1/x)
Grocery retailing:
US: Walmart @ 38x P/E w growth of 5% pa
Southeast Asia: Puregold @ 10x w growth of 10% pa
Paint:
US: Walmart @ 28 P/E w growth of 2% pa
Southeast Asia: TOA Paint @ 10x P/E w growth of 6% pa
Read 13 tweets
Sep 24, 2025
How to bootstrap a Bloomberg terminal in 2025: Image
Charts / price:
• Trading View (free but delay lag)
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• Godel terminal for NASDAQ ($80/month)
News:
• Twitter search (free)
• Google Alerts (free)
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• The Fly On the Wall ($45/month)
• Godel terminal ($80/month)
Read 16 tweets
Aug 25, 2025
The bear case for US stocks: Image
Everyone in the world is chasing US tech stocks, and MSCI World is now 73% US with the top 10 mostly US tech. Image
The US CAPE ratio is now 39x, the highest in the world and only eclipsed by the late 1990s Dotcom bubble. Image
Read 11 tweets
Jan 26, 2025
.@Nate93658762 suggested I read the annual report of Haad Thip HTC TB. Here's what I learnt Image
Haad Thip is a Coca-Cola bottler in Southern Thailand across 14 provinces. The typical brands, incl Coke, Fanta, Sprite, Minute Maid. Founded in 1969, two manufacturing plants. Seems to be a steady grower. 80% market share in sugar-sweetened soft drinks in the south. Image
91% sparking beverages and the rest non-carbonated (presumably Minute Maid). Image
Read 16 tweets
Jan 4, 2025
When should you sell, if ever?

Let's dig into the literature
Michael Price: sell when earnings growth is coming to an end, for example 1) when the return on invested capital is declining 2) business recessions are coming 3) industry cycles Image
Philip Fisher: "If the job has been correctly done when a common stock is purchased, the time to sell it is - almost never"

Exceptions: 1) you made a mistake in your original appraisal 2) the company ceases to qualify under the same appraisal method Image
Read 11 tweets

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