Phil Kerpen Profile picture
21 Apr, 5 tweets, 1 min read
Ontario posted 7.9% positive today, lowest since April 11.
Western New York posts 4.47% positive, lowest since April 3.
Michigan posts 12.28% positive, lowest since March 26.
That 4.47% for Western NY was the 7-day average. The 1-day today was 3.06%, lowest since April 1.
Lake Erie Testing Chart, Updated 4/21

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More from @kerpen

23 Apr
Friday Fluday Thread: Influenza-Like Illness Data for MMWR Week 15, ending April 17, 2021
United States Influenza testing, MMWR week 15.

CDC flu view. cdc.gov/flu/weekly/ind…

2016 to 2019 4-year average: 2,637 cases; 13.34% positive
2020: 97; 0.59%
2021: 18; 0.05%

docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d… Image
United States Influenza testing, season to date (28 weeks, MMWR 40 to 14)

Five-year average: 201,794 cases; 18.72% positive

This year: 2,009; 0.15% Image
Read 13 tweets
22 Apr
450? Yesterday's CDC print has total age 0-17 deaths with COVID from January 1, 2020 to April 17, 2021 at 266.
We also have 1 pediatric flu death this season, and the apparent crowd-out effect happened everywhere there was COVID, including places like Sweden with no school closures or masking.

It is likely COVID net *reduces* pediatric infectious disease risk.
Read 6 tweets
19 Apr
Did the White House put out the word to its journalistic foot soldiers to prep the ground for a 100 days declaration that says now we can end outdoor masking... but re-up for another 100 days inside?
Read 8 tweets
18 Apr
Schools update from @BurbioCalendar:

% US K-12 students attending "virtual-only" schools = 9.4% (from 12.2% last week)
% US K-12 students attending "traditional" in-person/every day schools = 62.4% (from 59.4%)
% US K-12 students attending "hybrid" schools = 28.2% (from 28.4%)
Just 1.8% of districts are now virtual only, but they hold 9.4% of students. Image
"Several large California districts announced intentions for full-time in person next year, but with qualification language and emphasis that is unique to California." Image
Read 8 tweets
16 Apr
Friday Fluday Thread: MMWR Week 14, ending April 10, 2021
United States Influenza testing, MMWR week 14.

CDC flu view. cdc.gov/flu/weekly/ind…

2016 to 2019 4-year average: 3,407 cases; 15.4% positive
2020: 215; 0.95%
2021: 15; 0.05%

docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
United States Influenza testing, season to date (28 weeks, MMWR 40 to 14)

Five-year average: 197,308 cases; 18.80% positive

Last year: 291,269; 21.02%

This year: 1,965; 0.15%
Read 26 tweets
15 Apr
CDC has added another week of HCoV surveillance. HCoV-NL63 has turne back up and HCoV-OC43 has continued to rise sharply. HCoV-229E rise continues too.
cdc.gov/surveillance/n…
Midwest
Northeast
Read 6 tweets

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