1. Global crop failures by 2°C. 2. Most humans dead by 4°C. 3. Earth uninhabitable by 6°C. 4. We risk 2°C by 2035. 5. We risk 4°C by 2065. 6. We risk 6°C by 2095.
One tweet is worth a million newspaper front pages.
1. It will never be too late to try to limit the damage/suffering of the expanding ecological-climate catastrophe by challenging media silence, destructlive growth & short-term profit maximization.
We need economic system change action now to avoid 3-4C by 2050-2100.
Sources:👇
2. 'Risks of simultaneous crop failure.. increase disproportionately between 1.5 and 2°C'
5. This recent study confirms 3-4°C looks increasingly likely by 2050-2100 as emissions continue to rise, and that >5C by the end of the century is beyond catastrophic for humanity, and entirely possible.
6. This is tough information to take in. I feel better when I try to take action to support the Climate Justice Movement which has known for decades that capitalism must be transformed and replaced for decent survival. Individual-collective action is possible. Keep going.
7. Just to add, here's a thread full of key info on parts per million of CO2 (ppm) in the atmosphere and 'CO2-e' which includes all greenhouse gases and forcings. The thread has two more sources on 5-6°C being enough to make the planet uninhabitable.
8. Because the statements in the tweet are so extraordinary, I have to concentrate on extensive explanatory details which back them up as convincingly as possible in the thread.
It's also important to suggest actions, so here is a thread of ideas:
BREAKING: extreme record high sea surface temperatures intensify terrified scientists' suspicions cataclysmic rapid warming of 2°C will likely hit for the first time in 7-14 years making economic system change essential for a chance of protecting vulnerable species like humans🧵
1.
'Targeting a sustainable world involves fundamental changes to political and economic systems'.
(IPCC)
If even official scientific consensus documents are going this far, we should be clear that economic system change must be achieved to protect all. ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg2…
2. We must anticipate catastrophic dislocations to human systems at 2°C (as a trend) by the 2030s or 2040s.
BREAKING: fury and disgust as mass media remain silent despite scientists confirming cataclysmic global warming of 1.7-2°C by 2030-2050 is now unavoidable even in best-case emissions scenarios 🧵
1. "We inevitably face..overshoot" (beyond 1.5°C)
'by.. probably multiple tenths of a degree even under the highest possible ambition'
BREAKING: scientists warn humanity has 66 months to organise and implement a massive unprecedented transformative shift away from today's short term profits and economic growth to halt biodiversity destruction and curb extinction rates which are now the fastest in Earth history🧵
1. Corporations block change
Achieving the Biodiversity Plan will require massive, unprecedented transformation and shifting from short term profits to long term sustainability..high ambition must prevail..halt and reverse biodiversity destruction by 2030.iucn.org/cbdcop16
2. 'moving away from the conception of economic progress based solely on GDP growth'
See joint IPCC-IPBES 2020-2021 report totally ignored by mass media.
2. Abrupt climate change is just one (major) compounding factor in extinction catastrophe. Scientists dreaming of 1.4-1.5°C by 2100 face a new reality. The recently updated best-case scenario 1.6-1.8°C by ~2050 is very unlikely. Expect 1.9-2°C by 2030-2050.nature.com/articles/s4155…
BREAKING: new terrifying best-case global warming scenario of 1.6-1.8°C and falling is based on profoundly speculative assumptions with 95% of scientists actually fully expecting 1.9-2.1°C and rising fast towards 21st century extinction for the majority of Earth's species 🧵
1. Few IPCC experts expect the extraordinary emergency action in the coming years of capitalism required (in theory) to avoid 2.7-3.3°C. They expect 1.9-5°C.
Change this Extinction Economy now while it's still too late to protect species and everyone.
2. With the consensus best case scenario now realistically ~1.75°C, time to recall the IPCC second best scenario has been shown to have a 66-68% chance of >2°C by 2044-2065 in a major study recognised by mainstream scientists.