Ben See Profile picture
Apr 24, 2021 11 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Remember:

1. Global crop failures by 2°C.
2. Most humans dead by 4°C.
3. Earth uninhabitable by 6°C.
4. We risk 2°C by 2035.
5. We risk 4°C by 2065.
6. We risk 6°C by 2095.

One tweet is worth a million newspaper front pages.
1. It will never be too late to try to limit the damage/suffering of the expanding ecological-climate catastrophe by challenging media silence, destructlive growth & short-term profit maximization.

We need economic system change action now to avoid 3-4C by 2050-2100.

Sources:👇
2. 'Risks of simultaneous crop failure.. increase disproportionately between 1.5 and 2°C'

Over 1.5°C represents 'a threat to global food security'
sciencedirect.com/science/articl…

'Agriculture is already at moderate risk, which becomes high risk around 2 degrees' vox.com/platform/amp/s… Image
3. Meta-analysis: 70% of studies show declines in crop yields by the 2030s (half indicate 10–50% declines):
sciencedirect.com/science/articl…

We are in the danger zone.

2°C will hit as early as 2034-2038 without stunning emissions cuts towards zero in the 2020s.
carbonbrief.org/analysis-when-…
4. Scientists still hope to stay below 2.5C but it would take a 'herculean effort' to avoid 4C, at which point 'mass death' would be likely:

From 2011
:smh.com.au/business/on-co…

And from 2009: 4C by the 2060s if emissions don't peak & plummet by the 2030s:
dumptheguardian.com/environment/20…
5. This recent study confirms 3-4°C looks increasingly likely by 2050-2100 as emissions continue to rise, and that >5C by the end of the century is beyond catastrophic for humanity, and entirely possible.

We must change everything to protect everybody.
6. This is tough information to take in. I feel better when I try to take action to support the Climate Justice Movement which has known for decades that capitalism must be transformed and replaced for decent survival. Individual-collective action is possible. Keep going.
7. Just to add, here's a thread full of key info on parts per million of CO2 (ppm) in the atmosphere and 'CO2-e' which includes all greenhouse gases and forcings. The thread has two more sources on 5-6°C being enough to make the planet uninhabitable.
8. Because the statements in the tweet are so extraordinary, I have to concentrate on extensive explanatory details which back them up as convincingly as possible in the thread.

It's also important to suggest actions, so here is a thread of ideas:

10. Some interesting quotations from high-profile scientists here, and see conversations under the tweet for further debate/discussion.

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More from @ClimateBen

Apr 30
BREAKING: scientists say global CO₂ emissions in the first months of 2024 remain as high as ever confirming the neoliberal energy transition project is a failure set to end in mass death and extinction without immediate economic system change 🧵
1. Capitalism means rapid mass extinction due to biodiversity destruction. Abrupt climate change is just one compounding factor in extinction catastrophe. Change this Extinction Economy now while it's still too late to protect species and everyone.

Thread
2. Emissions should've peaked and plummeted by 2015-2024 at the very latest to avoid the end of this world at 2/2.5°C according to scientists who assume ongoing economic growth. Mass media editors omit this reality. Only system change offers protection.
🧵
Read 4 tweets
Apr 6
BREAKING: staggered climate scientists warn anything is now possible (and they mean anything) after the biggest jump in temperature ever recorded anywhere on Earth occurs in the Antarctic
1. "if we had a 40C rise in the UK now.. that would be deadly for the population.”

Glaciologist Prof Martin Siegert, of the University of Exeter: “No one in our community thought that anything like this could ever happen."

“It is simply mind-boggling”

dumptheguardian.com/environment/20…
2. Capitalism means rapid mass extinction via biodiversity annihilation. Corporations have locked in the destruction of the planet as we knew it. Abrupt climate change is just one compounding factor in extinction catastrophe. Change this Extinction Economy.
Read 7 tweets
Apr 5
BREAKING: IPCC scientist reveals it's actually been years since their models first indicated the catastrophic global warming acceleration now happening was to be expected 🧵
1. The IPCC is still silent on it's own findings

a) models show the current catastrophic global warming acceleration of the 2020s was to be expected

Why wasn't this communicated back in 2018- 2022?


b) emissions should've peaked by ~2022 to avoid 3/3.5°Ccarbonbrief.org/factcheck-why-…
2. 'To keep global temperatures below 1.5C, 2C or even 2.5C, emissions must peak before 2025'

The IPCC still hasn't communicated this. It seems this is true for 3°C, too. Virtually the only mass media article that explained the situation back in 2022:
france24.com/en/environment…
Read 11 tweets
Apr 3
BREAKING: climate scientists confirm catastrophic accelerated warming set to hit this decade 🧵
1. 'we may expect an accelerated surface temperature warming in this decade'

'a positive EEI confirms the lag of the climate system in responding to forcing and implies that additional global warming will take place even without further forcing changes"
nature.com/articles/s4324…
Read 5 tweets
Apr 3
BREAKING: scientific community begins to confront widespread denial with team of distinguished scientists publishing a paper explicitly stating exploitative wealth-oriented capitalism must be replaced immediately as the extinction of 32- 70% of Earth's species in decades looms🧵
1/'a critical paradigm shift must occur that replaces exploitative, wealth-oriented capitalism with an economic model that prioritizes sustainability, resilience, and justice'

* increasing clarity on mandatory economic change

* flaws on carrying capacity
academic.oup.com/pnasnexus/arti…
2/ The recent research cited in the paper agrees with previous studies showing that up to 40- 70% of species risk extinction.

Read 8 tweets
Mar 28
BREAKING: as Earth's major forests begin to collapse a new report shows 95% of companies behind catastrophic rapid industrial-scale deforestation have failed to take meaningful action since pledging to stop the destruction 10 years ago with a 2025 tipping point deadline looming🧵
1. Rainforests in SE Asia have hit tipping points. 20- 26% of the Amazon Rainforest is in a state of collapse

"The tipping point is not a future scenario but rather a stage already present"

Savannization is already taking place in both Brazil and Bolivia.commondreams.org/news/2022/09/0…
2. Climate scientist and Amazon Rainforest expert Carlos Nobre warns that deforestation across the whole of the Amazon must end by next year.

Read 7 tweets

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