Trent Telenko Profile picture
Apr 30, 2021 33 tweets 13 min read Read on X
Two days ago plus a further 76 years (27 Apr 1945) the capstone logistical catastrophe of the Okinawa Campaign occurred.

The US Army ammo ship SS Canada Victory was given a berth far from the shipping off Hagushi beach by the SOPA. She was struck & ignited. The 7,400 tons
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...of artillery ammunition aboard her burned.

Nor was she the only Army ammo ship damaged off Hagushi Beach 27 Apr 1945.

The SS Clarksdale Victory was also struck by Japanese artillery & the SS Bozeman Victory took rudder and propeller damage from a ram from another ship...
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...maneuvering during the 27 Apr 1945 air attacks.

This is how page 36 of "Contribution to Victory - The Distribution and Supply of Ammunition and Ordnance in the Pacific Theater of Operations" describes the impact to the Battle of Okinawa.

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That 21,000 tons of ammo lost to sinking's number comes from the 2nd volume of the Tenth Army AAR here:

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The 21,000 ton number was very much soft peddled in the US Army Green book THE LAST BATTLE to make out -- by shell numbers -- that the horrendous damage done to 10th Army firepower at Okinawa...wasn't.

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Bar charts like that are why people say things like: "There are lies...

There are dirty lies...

And then there are statistics.

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Speaking of lying with statistics, attached is the 1st page of encl. 3 in the 10th Army Ordinance staff section. It lists ships, their ammo tonnage, where loaded, arrival date plus their beginning and ending unloading dates.

At 7,400 ton per sunken ship, there were 22,200...
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...tons of artillery ammo lost, not 21,000.

Nothing like "Rounding Errors" that magically disappear 1,200 tons of Army artillery ammo that got blow up because the US Navy Senior Officer Present Afloat refused to protect the ships carrying them.

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I've already had a thread on that here for more details on USN SOPA doctrine in WW2.


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This thread is a deep dive on what this 'capstone logistical catastrophe' in the 10th Army artillery did to the ground campaign on Okinawa & it's impact on Operation Iceberg Phase III operations.
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I've spoken in the other thread on how the loss of mortar and VT-fused ammo robbed 10th Army of the ability to engage the defilade dead space on the back of hill masses at Okinawa.

Photo source: FM 7-90, Ch7, Fig7-3 Artillery Dead Zones
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There was another very deadly detail in this wanton destruction of artillery ammunition...the data cards.

The 1996 version is shown attached.
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Ammunition data cards have fine details of manufacture that are essential for accurate placement of shellfire & screening out bad Mfg lots.

Photo clip from DODIG-2016-084
media.defense.gov/2016/Apr/29/20…
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The destruction of the three US Army Victory class ammo ships forced 10th Army to spread III Marine Amphibious Corps artillery & AA ammo across dozens of US Army artillery & anti-aircraft battalions in Mid-Apr 1945.

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The mixed ammo lots issued to some units were causing issues for ballistic computation.

One US Army 90mm AA gun battalion was firing ammunition from three different lots!

These AA gun battalions were the lucky ones.

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April 1945 was before the age of electrostatic copying. Ammo cards of that era were a typical triple copy carbon paper.

Mimeograph machines were heavy, required special chemicals plus paper to copy with...and 10th Army didn't plan print more cards.
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Tenth Army staff thought it brought more than enough ammo not to need to spread lots between gun battalions.

This meant that the initial infantry assaults on the Shuri line starting 9 Apr 1945 not only lacked dead space preparation. The artillery ammo on hand simply
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... could not be risked danger close.

And those were just the tactical effects on Okinawa ground operations.

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The operational effects were much larger.

Operation Iceberg was planned in three phases. Phase 1 - the taking of southern Okinawa - was to be 30 days.

Phase II - the taking of Ie Shima & Northern Okinawa - was to take another 30 days with only 40 days of heavy
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...artillery combat between them.

Taking Southern Okinawa took 82 days versus the 30 planned, and the US Navy lost 22,200 tons of artillery ammo intended to fight it.

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Okinawa occurred in the middle of a world wide US Army shell shortage. Worse, it was after General MacArthur's assault on Spanish Intramuros fortress in Manila.
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There simply was no more US artillery ammunition anywhere for General Buckner to draw upon until after the Germans surrendered...and it would take 45 to 90 days from a US port of embarkation to Okinawa.
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General Buckner's logistical "bill payers" to complete Okinawa phase I were all the Phase III Operations.

In Feb 1945 Phase III A (OKINO DAITO JIMA. THREADWORM) and Phase III B (KUME SHIMA/KNOWLEDGE) had been cancelled to concentrate on Okinawa Phases I & II.
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Iceberg Phase III C (MIYAKO JIMA/ADJUTANT) was a 3 division assault by III Marine Amphibious Corps planned for 1 June 1945 and was to build 2 Ftr Strip & 1 HB Strip.

It's cancellation on 27 Apr 1945 freed up 21,200 tons of artillery for Okinawa Phase I.

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That this was almost exactly replaced the 22,200 tons of artillery ammo lost in the burning hulks of the SS Hobbs Victory, SS Las Vegas Victory & SS Canada Victory the day the last of them sank was just a..."happy accident."

And Joe Izuzu has a truck to sell you.
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The next two Phase III operations cancelled were Phase III E (Tokuno/ADJOURN) and then Phase III D (KIKAI SHIMA/FRICTION).

Both were reinforced division sized assaults and neither had the ammo tonnage payoff that MIYAKO JIMA/ADJUTANT did.
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Essentially the German surrender on May 7, 1945 allowed Adm Nimitz to commit all of his Marianas theater artillery stock to complete Okinawa. Since his theater was now America's top priority for replacement artillery ammunition.
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The price of these Phase III invasion cancellations can be seen in Olympic May 1945 and June 1945 air coverage maps.

This map shows convoy air cover from KIKAI SHIMA/ FRICTION vs Okinawa (green lines).

The former covered Kyushu beaches and Okinawa did not.
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This Operation Olympic planning map is from June 1945 & shows completely changed planning assumptions. Land based airpower will no longer provide air superiority coverage.

These ranges reflect long range strikes against fixed targets vs Japanese strike ranges.

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The US Navy had signed up for providing air superiority over Kyushu beaches for 10 days in Operation Olympic until land based air could arrive in force.

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The massive Japanese troop build up on Kyushu in the final days before Japanese surrender was such that General MacArthur pronounced that it would take 20 days, not 10, before land based air would arrive in force.
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Whether it was 10-days or 20-days.

But for the miracle of the A-Bomb, the price of CentPac's failure to protect General Buckner's artillery in April 1945 was placing the entirety of the US Pacific fleet into a Kamikaze kill jar.
/End.

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More from @TrentTelenko

Apr 19
It turns out that, in addition to "TAF-10" USMC SCR-270 radars, the USMC 90mm Heavy AA Battalion SCR-584 radars saw quite a few of the Japanese Balloon Radar Decoys at Okinawa in/near Hagushi Beach, Yonton & Kadena air fields.

WW2 Radar Decoy🧵
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The Marine AA troops didn't know what they were, but their descriptions match known aerodynamic templates for them.  

The balloon decoy tended to fall through different levels of wind direction & updrafts.  So the decoy often went in different directions than the ground wind.
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The 1st Marine Provisional Anti-Aircraft Group Hqtrs saw the radar decoy balloons most often when the Japanese engaged in a night time tactic they referred to as "Ice-Tong attacks."

Pairs of Japanese planes established themselves in orbits just outside effective 90mm gun

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Read 14 tweets
Apr 19
There was a lot more electromagnetic deception in WW2 than is in US Military histories.

The silence on such matters is jarring.

This text report (left) is from USS Pennsylvania in June 1944 during the Mariannes campaign describing the decoys drawn by Section 22 (right).

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The one of the previous drawing is of a captured decoy from Roi island in March 1944. 

Roi was subject to several IJN air raids using this decoy, as USS New Mexico reported its effects 14 Feb 1944, later reported in a Section 22 Current Statement dated 3 April 1944.
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Somehow the report in General Douglas MacArthur's Section 22 radar hunters current statement was scrubbed from all the Feb-March 1944 period after action reports and war diaries of USS New Mexico I've checked.

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Read 12 tweets
Apr 18
There is an tragi-comic story behind this Russian foreign ministry claim.

The Russian use the term "direct participation" because of a lie by Chancellor Scholz a year ago when he claimed the computer system used to program the Taurus missiles...
1/
...was a huge supercomputer in Germany that could not be replicated for Ukraine.

But German computer scientists found an article that described the 20 year old computer system used by Taurus.

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BLUF: Today that Taurus mission planning software could be operated on a MacBookPro.

But the lie was never retracted by Scholz and the Russians still use it for propaganda.

So Russians can not exploit Scholz's lie to scare Germans, because they know it's a lie.🤡

3/3 Image
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Read 4 tweets
Apr 17
The CO of the top scoring Buk [Nato designation SA-11 Gadfly] battery in the PSU did an interview ~2 years ago (early 2023).

He said they used their own Mavic drones to check that their camouflage and

Zoltan Dani & A2/AD doctrine🧵
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...that their battery concealment was good enough to fool Russian drones.

So, the PSU does a drone quality assurance check on its camo during the "hide" phase of the hide-shoot-scoot cycle, AKA you have to survive in order to have the opportunity to shoot enough to become the highest scoring SAM battery.


2/
In contrast, the Russian VKS parks their missile TELARs in the middle of a field to get maximum obstacle clearance and range. Then they are shocked when hit by deep strike assault drone or GMLRS rocket.


3/
Read 18 tweets
Apr 16
In 2005, the Strategypage -dot- com web site had the following on the downing of an F-117 over Serbia.

These tactic are the heart of Ukrainian IADS doctrine.
---
How to Take Down an F-117

November 21, 2005: The Serbian battery commander, whose missiles downed an American F-16, and, most impressively, an F-117, in 1999, has retired, as a colonel, and revealed many of the techniques he used to achieve all this. Colonel Dani Zoltan, in 1999, commanded the 3rd battery of the 250th Missile Brigade. He had search and control radars, as well as a TV tracking unit.

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The battery had four quad launchers for the 21 foot long, 880 pound SA-3 missiles. The SA-3 entered service in 1961 and, while it had undergone some upgrades, was considered a minor threat to NATO aircraft. Zoltan was an example of how an imaginative and energetic leader can make a big difference. While Zoltan’s peers and superiors were pretty demoralized with the electronic countermeasures NATO (especially American) aircraft used to support their bombing missions, he believed he could still turn his ancient missiles into lethal weapons

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The list of measures he took, and the results he got, should be warning to any who believe that superior technology alone will provide a decisive edge in combat. People still make a big difference. In addition to shooting down two aircraft, Zoltan’s battery caused dozens of others to abort their bombing missions to escape his unexpectedly accurate missiles. This is how he did it.

3/Image
Read 15 tweets
Apr 15
Lots of US military officers like to believe Ukraine is identical in most ways to Saddam's Iraq & some are foolish enough to say so publicly.

It'd just not true in terms of Ukrainian IADS leadership, equipment, organization, training and doctrine.

1/
The #2 of PSU in Feb 2022 had been imbedded in Serbian air defense in 1999 during Operation Allied Force.

Where Col Zoltan Dani SA-3 Goa unit not only defeated USAF SEAD doctrine from 24 Mar to 10 June 1999 with good training & tactics.

Zoltan also bagged an F-117.

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Ukraine spent 23 years duplicating Zoltani's emissions control and mobility doctrine for it's IADS.

Additionally in 2014-2015, the PSU IADS operated under the Russian long range MLRS/TBM park directed by UAV's that were cued by EW-Sigint for a year.

Minimally the Ukrainians
3/
Read 11 tweets

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